White Gorilla Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 This is the most frustrating hobby of all time, and yet, I love it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I'm keeping my expectations low for this one, especially today. Should be a rather dull day compared to what we were hoping for. I do think we see some good snow overnight into tomorrow, but I wouldn't expect widespread totals of more than 6" as Julian mentioned last night. In any event, this week looks pretty solid for snow and cold chances. The Euro develops four coastal lows in ten days including a 978 east of the BM on Sunday, most are too late to significantly impact us but it's still good to have chances. Plus, as of now, the cold looks borderline historic for next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I'm keeping my expectations low for this one, especially today. Should be a rather dull day compared to what we were hoping for. I do think we see some good snow overnight into tomorrow, but I wouldn't expect widespread totals of more than 6" as Julian mentioned last night. In any event, this week looks pretty solid for snow and cold chances. The Euro develops four coastal lows in ten days including a 978 east of the BM on Sunday, most are too late to significantly impact us but it's still good to have chances. Plus, as of now, the cold looks borderline historic for next weekend. And of course Boston will get 5 more feet in the next two weeks while we get 5 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 And of course Boston will get 5 more feet in the next two weeks while we get 5 inches. I don't begrudge them their snow. I don't see why some of them want to cliff jump if they get 15" instead of 20", but I guess that's just the mentality of most snow enthusiasts. As I've said before, I grew up in Buffalo and since I've moved away, they've had an incredible run of historic storms, so I think I've become numb to the whole snow envy thing that most snow enthusiasts have. Doesn't mean I wouldn't love 2' with every storm, but I'm happy to have something to track and something to measure. Though if I lived in DC, I would definitely have found a new hobby by now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I don't begrudge them their snow. I don't see why some of them want to cliff jump if they get 15" instead of 20", but I guess that's just the mentality of most snow enthusiasts. As I've said before, I grew up in Buffalo and since I've moved away, they've had an incredible run of historic storms, so I think I've become numb to the whole snow envy thing that most snow enthusiasts have. Doesn't mean I wouldn't love 2' with every storm, but I'm happy to have something to track and something to measure. Though if I lived in DC, I would definitely have found a new hobby by now!Great post. It must be something to get dumped on like that but then there's plenty of trouble that comes with snow like that but like I said it still must be something to see. At the end of the day there's nothing anyone can do about it, no one can control it. One thing I'm pretty sure about is next year if they are in suppression city there will be many whining about not getting their fair share of snow, LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DRVTS Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Any one have a link to a good simulated/futurecast like model Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Any one have a link to a good simulated/futurecast like model Thanks I believ the HRRR is actually free on WXbell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I think I found the cold front. Went from 21 at my house near Hyde Park to 32 in East Fishkill over the span of maybe 20 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I have to give credit to Bill and Alex at www.hudsonvalleyweather.com as some of the people whining about a bust on their facebook page just goes to show that you can't possibly dumb down a forecast enough for some to understand. You can't fix stupid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I have to give credit to Bill and Alex at www.hudsonvalleyweather.com as some of the people whining about a bust on their facebook page just goes to show that you can't possibly dumb down a forecast enough for some to understand. You can't fix stupid. Agreed. The most spectacular view of a dumbing America is from social media commentary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DRVTS Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 abc's Amy Freeze has 6-12 line from norther Putnam north. Sharp cutoff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 abc's Amy Freeze has 6-12 line from norther Putnam north. Sharp cutoff. Is Freeze her real last name? lol. It's like a surgeon whose last name is Sharp. There is actually a whole list out there whose last names match their professions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DRVTS Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 My Wife's Gastroentorologist's name is Dr Tongue. Beat that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 Upton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 Orange county was downgraded to advisory This is why.. WILL BE A LONG DURATION EVENT FROM TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. SNOW TOTALS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES POSSIBLE INLAND...MAINLY ACROSS THE EXTREME NORTHERN PORTION...SO NOT QUITE REACHING THE 8 INCHES IN 24 HOURS FOR WARNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 UptonIf I reach 6" I'll be pleasantly surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 If I reach 6" I'll be pleasantly surprised. I agree... I think the max for anyone from POU south is most likely 6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 12z RGEM keeps the mix line right at the NY/NJ line for most of the event. 6-8" areawide up here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 12z RGEM keeps the mix line right at the NY/NJ line for most of the event. 6-8" areawide up here.. A model to take seriously at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 The 6z high-res RGEM seems pretty close to what I'm expecting. It looks like the 12z RGEM just came in a bit drier regionally, so I don't expect this to change much for the better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 GFS continues to harp on downsloping for some areas... Also reduced precip throughout the northeast.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 My Wife's Gastroentorologist's name is Dr Tongue. Beat that. Sorry about the off topic humor.....but here are a few more real life examples Sue Yoo- Lawyer Harry Beaver- Gynecologist Ivan Slaughter- Surgeon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Sorry about the off topic humor.....but here are a few more real life examples Sue Yoo- Lawyer Harry Beaver- Gynecologist Ivan Slaughter- Surgeon Went to a pediatric conference once and there was a lecture on urology, given by Dr Weiner, a pediatric urologist. Not even joking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 Sorry about the off topic humor.....but here are a few more real life examples Sue Yoo- Lawyer Harry Beaver- Gynecologist Ivan Slaughter- Surgeon lol.. classic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DRVTS Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Went to a pediatric conference once and there was a lecture on urology, given by Dr Weiner, a pediatric urologist. Not even joking. Hey are you a Dr? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 There's a blob of something, rain I'm guessing, in PA heading towards Orange County now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DRVTS Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 That must be sleet in Wilkes Barre Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 That must be sleet in Wilkes BarreI was wondering that too due to the radar returns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 Whatever falls right now will prob be sleet.. 850s are around +1 while 925 temps are around -1. Surfaces temps throughout are at or just below freezing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Idk how the NWS has me where I am in Northern Westchester in the same Advisory as NYC and Northern Nassau... Doesn't seem likely to have the same amounts of snow and ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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