White Gorilla Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Why is the snow drying up as it heads our way from the NW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Nam would be a dusting to 3" for anyone in ulster South lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 guys, i am thinking about going to mt snow, vt tomorrow or hunter, ny watching the models. need the 15 + confirmed. storms looks to bust imby, but ready to drink and tube Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Nam would be a dusting to 3" for anyone in ulster South lol riding the gfs to the end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I don't know what to expect anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 riding the gfs to the end I dont even know why I bother looking at the models anymore, this winter has me feeling like when I was a kid, hear about snow, check the local on the 8s six times an hour hoping for a change and then watch radar lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I don't know what to expect anymore. folllow the gfs. we as americans spent good money on the upgrade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 SREF ensembles for Newburgh aren't bad looking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 11/21 members like .75"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 The NAM has been pretty overamped with the initial part of this system, at least compared to the other models (except the GEM), so it's no big surprise that it continues to be north. It does look like it develops the second part of the system on Monday a little more favorably for our area as compared to previous runs, so the end result is a little more snow. Does look like a close call with sleet and freezing rain though, especially as you head south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 The NAM has been pretty overamped with the initial part of this system, at least compared to the other models (except the GEM), so it's no big surprise that it continues to be north. It does look like it develops the second part of the system on Monday a little more favorably for our area as compared to previous runs, so the end result is a little more snow. Does look like a close call with sleet and freezing rain though, especially as you head south. The most snow anyone South of Albany sees on this nam run is about 4"... It's way out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 SREF ensembles for Newburgh aren't bad looking Where do you get those charts? Are they available on Tropical Tidbits? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Where do you get those charts? Are they available on Tropical Tidbits? I'm not sure, I get them off a pay site, so I don't use tidbits... I'm sure someone here knows tho.. If not just ask me for a specific area, I'll be more than happy to post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 0z RGEM @ Hr 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 RGEM agrees w/ a snowy monday am commute Hr 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 RGEM looks significantly better than before, GGEM might just come around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 RGEM is quite snowy for many of us. Its pretty much a 36 hr snow event. 18z wasn't bad for many as well.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 tick...tick...tick......trend is our friend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 RGEM is quite snowy for many of us. Its pretty much a 36 hr snow event. 18z wasn't bad for many as well.. Drops 4-6" by early afternoon Monday and still snowing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Watching this cold front sink south is painful. Just south of Albany now looking like its moving less than 10 miles an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 RGEM is quite snowy for many of us. Its pretty much a 36 hr snow event. 18z wasn't bad for many as well.. Still snowing at hour 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DRVTS Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 RGEM is quite snowy for many of us. Its pretty much a 36 hr snow event. 18z wasn't bad for many as well.. when does the real accum start? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 Drops 4-6" by early afternoon Monday and still snowing Upton has the right call right now for many of us... I believe its 6-8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 Still snowing at hour 48 Damn look at that cutoff just to our south.. Ouch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 when does the real accum start? Monday 00z from what I see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Damn look at that cutoff just to our south.. Ouch. Looks like a lot of frozen in the southern parts of this region and then down into the city, LI, and NJ. Going to be a mess in some places. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Snywx, you reay clean up out there in wester orange with the latest GFS lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 Snywx, you reay clean up out there in wester orange with the latest GFS lol I noticed... Its been consistently giving us here 1"+ qpf. You can clearly see on the map below the HV effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I noticed... Its been consistently giving us here 1"+ qpf. You can clearly see on the map below the HV effect. I'd like to see that also shift about 30 miles east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 GFS has to be overdoing the orographic effects, the easterly flow isn't even that strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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