IrishRob17 Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Good to see you back with the crew as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Sup cell mate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 Sup cell mate I broke out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 I've been dying to post this... It seems this year the models all have their own piece of the pie in regards to a storm system, example. The GFS might have the 850s and surface temps correct but fail on the track and qpf, the euro will nail the qpf but be off on the track and temps, and the GGEM will get the qpf reading right but play catch up on the track and cold temps... The Nam is so hit or miss it's crazy so why bother Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 1" from round 1.................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 What is everyones snowfall YTD ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 euro looks pretty good for the lower hudson valley.. keeps ticking south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeinzGuy Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Im somewhere between 24-26". Not bad with a shutout in December. Good to hear the ECM looks good. Edit: There was the one freezing rain event on the 9th and 6 days with light snow at POU according to wunderground. What is everyones snowfall YTD ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 What is everyones snowfall YTD ?35.8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 What is everyones snowfall YTD ? 45.5" Welcome back btw... looks like I missed some interesting goings-on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 euro looks pretty good for the lower hudson valley.. keeps ticking south. 00z 12z Much better trend imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Good to have you guys back! The Euro looks great, has 0.75-1" of precipitation with 850's below zero throughout the event. The WxBell snow maps have 10"+ for Dutchess, Ulster, and Northern Orange counties with 6-9" for everyone else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 35.8" Oh. Figured you be would closer to 40". How much did you end up with from Mondays storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Good to have you guys back! The Euro looks great, has 0.75-1" of precipitation with 850's below zero throughout the event. The WxBell snow maps have 10"+ for Dutchess, Ulster, and Northern Orange counties with 6-9" for everyone else. What's the word on ratios? I'm assuming not that great but haven't looked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 41.0" total so far at home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Much better trend imo Trend has definitely been way south with the low coming from great lakes in the last 24 h.. wouldn't be surprised to see that continue tonight. maybe a POU jackpot by the 12z runs tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 45.5" Welcome back btw... looks like I missed some interesting goings-on! lol.. Thanks. Blown way out of proportion& wayy too many sensitive ppl down there. 44.2" here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 Trend has definitely been way south with the low coming from great lakes in the last 24 h.. wouldn't be surprised to see that continue tonight. maybe a POU jackpot by the 12z runs tomorrow. Nice YTD so far! You guys are finally racking up up there. Long time coming.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 lol.. Thanks. Blown way out of proportion& wayy too many sensitive ppl down there. 44.2" here.. U ain't kiddin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Oh. Figured you be would closer to 40". How much did you end up with from Mondays storm?9.5". There's those times too when the higher elevations had a couple to few inches and I got nada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 Uptons latest map.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Uptons latest map.. That was at 1230 right? Or that recent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 That was at 1230 right? Or that recent Its their most recent.. Matches up well with other offices. There is gonna be a sharp cutoff on the southern edge and we so happen to be on that edge. Both the GFS & Euro give the area 6-10" from S to N. Lets see if they bite.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Nice YTD so far! You guys are finally racking up up there. Long time coming.. Yea I'm loving the amount of events so far this winter, lots of nickel and diming. I don't if i'd rather see a 90"+ seasonal total or a 20"+ storm.. I don't think alb has had either since 02'-03' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 Yea I'm loving the amount of events so far this winter, lots of nickel and diming. I don't if i'd rather see a 90"+ seasonal total or a 20"+ storm.. I don't think alb has had either since 02'-03' That was an awesome winter down here as well. Whats your avg up there? 60-70" range? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 That was an awesome winter down here as well. Whats your avg up there? 60-70" range? Yeah, I think the most recent 30 year average knocked us down from 62" to 59" or something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeinzGuy Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 That was an awesome winter down here as well. Whats your avg up there? 60-70" range? The "Big 3" that winter totaled over 50" here Im pretty sure. Ive talked to locals who say that winter is top 3 with 78-79 and one in the 1930s. Edit: It was 77-78 and apparently 1888 was also bigger. 2nd edit: 81-82 had 90" while 02-03 only had 82" according to mohonk resort data in New Paltz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 THE ON GOING WINTER WEATHER EVENT WILL BECOME MORE LIKELY AS LOWPRESSURE MOVES ALONG THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY. RAIN ALONG THECOAST...AND A WINTRY MIX INLAND WILL BECOME A WINTRY MIX ACROSSTHE ENTIRE REGION AS SUNDAY NIGHT PROGRESSES AS COLD AIR MOVES INAT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT. A WINTER STORM WATCH WILL CONTINUESUNDAY NIGHT INTO LATE MONDAY NIGHT WITH THE POSSIBILITY OFREACHING WARNING SNOW CRITERIA ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER OF ZONESFROM ORANGE COUNTY EAST TO NORTHERN NEW LONDON. WILL BE A RATHERTIGHT GRADIENT OF SNOWFALL AND JUST THE EXTREME NORTHERN PORTIONSOF THE WATCH AREA MAY SEE 8 PLUS INCHES FROM LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOONINTO LATE MONDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN WILLALSO BE LIKELY SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH ICEACCUMULATIONS REMAINING BELOW A HALF INCH. THERE STILL WILL BEIMPACTS TO TRAVEL AND ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED LATER FOR AREASOUTSIDE THE WATCH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeinzGuy Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Does anyone have a map of average snowfall for the Hudson Valley? Ive seen 2 of them or so but I dont think any of them are right and average Catskills precipitation is increasing so that makes it even more difficult. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeinzGuy Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 THE ON GOING WINTER WEATHER EVENT WILL BECOME MORE LIKELY AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES ALONG THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY. RAIN ALONG THE COAST...AND A WINTRY MIX INLAND WILL BECOME A WINTRY MIX ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION AS SUNDAY NIGHT PROGRESSES AS COLD AIR MOVES IN AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT. A WINTER STORM WATCH WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO LATE MONDAY NIGHT WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF REACHING WARNING SNOW CRITERIA ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER OF ZONES FROM ORANGE COUNTY EAST TO NORTHERN NEW LONDON. WILL BE A RATHER TIGHT GRADIENT OF SNOWFALL AND JUST THE EXTREME NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA MAY SEE 8 PLUS INCHES FROM LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO LATE MONDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL ALSO BE LIKELY SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH ICE ACCUMULATIONS REMAINING BELOW A HALF INCH. THERE STILL WILL BE IMPACTS TO TRAVEL AND ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED LATER FOR AREAS OUTSIDE THE WATCH. Sounds good...hoping to be AOB 35" come Tuesday. Just hope that mix line stays south and todays trend is real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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