snywx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Go.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 12z GFS @ 24... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 12z GFS @ 30... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 It's really going to be interesting to see everyone's obs during this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 So what, a couple of inches on the front end, a consolidating layer of frozen gobbledygook with a glazed coating before the bottom drops out and the whole area turns into a block of ice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 Im thinking along the lines of 8-10" few miles either side of 84 to 4" down in White Plains.. Anyone north of 84 by at least 10 miles is probably game for 10"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 It's really going to be interesting to see everyone's obs during this storm. We could have two different worlds in the county as in precip type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 I think 8" or 9" will probably do it imby. Going to be hard to approach 12" without some hefty mesoscale banding, and that's looking a whole lot less likely now than it was a couple days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Starting to run out of having an excuse not to go to work in the morning. The bosses problem is me getting there, my problem now is becoming getting home. I'd love to see a 30-50 mile bump south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 I think uptons totals are overdone especially after today's trends Most of will probably see a period of heavy sleet that really compacts totals, I think 6-8 is a safe bet tho for myself atleast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Rgem rain maps?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Rgem rain maps?? Our old thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Rgem rain maps??Posted above.Edit: forgot about the new thread! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 I think uptons totals are overdone especially after today's trends Most of will probably see a period of heavy sleet that really compacts totals, I think 6-8 is a safe bet tho for myself atleast It will be interesting to see what they do. Mt Holly NWS is going with 6-10 inches for my county. Reasonable call imop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 This storm is gonna put my new blower to the test. 8" of cement looks likely.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cold&cloudy Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Looking iffy at this point. Might end up having to go to work tomorrow after all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 The Euro looks great for many of us, doesn't look any warmer. No comments? How the mighty has fallen! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Have a hard time believing that the warmer air will win out up here. We have a cold front passing through now, within 8 hours of the onset and temps in the mid teens North of Albany with low dews all pressing Southward. The high will be in a good feeding position through the storm. While this is a potent precip storm, it is not a rapidly deepening low coming across PA with an overwhelming amount of warm air surging North. If cold doesn't win out in this situation it's only because the low pretty much gets to our latitude. Some pingers during lighter precip maybe, but a changeover, I just don't see in Orange/Putnam on North. Time will tell.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 As I stated in the earlier thread, as of now all the short term guidance like rap and HRRR seem to be favouring the euro, keeps nyc snow into early morning hours (3-4 am) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 The Euro looks great for many of us, doesn't look any warmer. No comments? How the mighty has fallen!Part of it could be the way the Euro screwed us but I think there are other distractions today too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 The Euro looks great for many of us, doesn't look any warmer. No comments? How the mighty has fallen! What did the Euro show for us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 What did the Euro show for us? Looked cooler Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 What did the Euro show for us? 00z 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 Actually its warmer down near the coast... Gives the interior more precip which falls as snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Actually its warmer down near the coast... Gives the interior more precip which falls as snow Right but keeps us colder, I believe the mix line is south by quit a bit on the euro, still doesn't effect the city tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Right but keeps us colder, I believe the mix line is south by quit a bit on the euro, still doesn't effect the city tho The 850 freezing line still briefly surges north of 84 on the Euro. I think that'll end up being pretty close to reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 euro text output has KPOU 850 temp at 0C at 18z tomorrow. that's probably near the northern extent of the mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 The 850 freezing line still briefly surges north of 84 on the Euro. I think that'll end up being pretty close to reality. Wouldn't be the first time we see sleet mid storm and a change back lol I'm ready for it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Gotta think that the low is going to track along the front which has now sagged South of NYC. I just don't see how in such a short time that fresh push of cold is going to be nudged very far northward from wherever it goes stationary (either central or S. Jersey) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Gotta think that the low is going to track along the front which has now sagged South of NYC. I just don't see how in such a short time that fresh push of cold is going to be nudged very far northward from wherever it goes stationary (either central or S. Jersey) Nowcast..nowcast...nowcast.... Lol There will be busts both high and low at this point we gotta nowcast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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