bluewave Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 The long range guidance agrees that NYC below normal temperature departures will continue from January into February. If the current model forecasts are correct, then it would be the first 2 years in a row that NYC recorded below normal temperature departures for January and February since 1970. Several years since then featured 3 out of the 4 two year January and February months with below normal temperature departures. NYC temperature departures Jan.....14.......-4.0 Feb.....14.......-3.7 Jan.....15.......-2.7 Jan....03.......-4.6 Feb....03.......-4.5 Jan....04........-7.3 Feb....04......+0.4 Jan....93......+4.8 Feb....93......-2.8 Jan....94......-5.9 Feb....94......-3.0 Jan...77......-10.1 Feb...77......+0.1 Jan...78......-4.2 Feb...78......-6.2 Jan....68......-6.5 Feb....68......-4.5 Jan....69......-1.4 Feb....69......-0.8 Jan....70......-8.1 Feb....70.....-0.4 http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/IPS/lcd/lcd.html?_page=1&state=NY&stationID=94728&_target2=Next+%3E Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Christopher Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 The long range guidance agrees that NYC below normal temperature departures will continue from January into February. If the current model forecasts are correct, then it would be the first 2 years in a row that NYC recorded below normal temperature departures for January and February since 1970. Several years since then featured 3 out of the 4 two year January and February months with below normal temperature departures. NYC temperature departures Jan.....14.......-4.0 Feb.....14.......-3.7 Jan.....15.......-2.7 Jan....03.......-4.6 Feb....03.......-4.5 Jan....04........-7.3 Feb....04......+0.4 Jan....93......+4.8 Feb....93......-2.8 Jan....94......-5.9 Feb....94......-3.0 Jan...77......-10.1 Feb...77......+0.1 Jan...78......-4.2 Feb...78......-6.2 Jan....68......-6.5 Feb....68......-4.5 Jan....69......-1.4 Feb....69......-0.8 Jan....70......-8.1 Feb....70.....-0.4 http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/IPS/lcd/lcd.html?_page=1&state=NY&stationID=94728&_target2=Next+%3E Huh...........not according to your graph.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Wow that is interesting...you would think that would have happened more often...My records go back to the late 70's and I couldn't find any consecutive years either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 if February averages 32.0 or lower it would be the first time two consecutive years had a January and february average less than 32.0...1941-42 was the last time that happened... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 Wow that is interesting...you would think that would have happened more often...My records go back to the late 70's and I couldn't find any consecutive years either. I was thinking the same thing until I looked up all the individual monthy departures. if February averages 32.0 or lower it would be the first time two consecutive years had a January and february average less than 32.0...1941-42 was the last time that happened... Interesting stat. Getting the strong blocking on the Pacific side really made the difference for cold the last two winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBG Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 NYC temperature departures Jan...77......-10.1 Feb...77......+0.1 Jan...78......-4.2 Feb...78......-6.2 January and February 1979? Looked at Wunderground and not sure if January 1979 was below, above or at normal. Certainly February 1979 was frigid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 2, 2015 Author Share Posted February 2, 2015 January and February 1979? Looked at Wunderground and not sure if January 1979 was below, above or at normal. Certainly February 1979 was frigid. NYC would have had 2 years in a row had January 1979 not finished above normal. Jan...79....+1.4 Feb..79.....-7.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 NYC would have had 2 years in a row had January 1979 not finished above normal. Jan...79....+1.4 Feb..79.....-7.9 I like -4 for Feb @ KNYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 2, 2015 Author Share Posted February 2, 2015 I like -4 for Feb @ KNYC The below normal signal is pretty consistent across all the guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 The below normal signal is pretty consistent across all the guidance. CFSv2.NaT2m.20150131.201502.gif There is guidance that is minus 10 . But I can`t go there . - 4 and the bust is that it is to low . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.