DAFF Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Wonderful morning AFD from DTX. Hits the high points and reasons well. Also notes the potential for flake fracture to possibly inhibit higher end totals. Is "Flake Fracture" due to the friction between flakes creating heat as they move across the ground ?? I know from plowing a 1.5' drift will have a much different composition than the surrounding normal snow. Such a fun event !! Cant wait to start stacking flakes with the loader!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparky333 Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Here in NW Ohio Im in a dryslot at the moment. A bit worried about the shift North if we will even hit 8" with this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Yeah...everyone does need to keep in mind cant necessarily count on ratios...other than that...all is going great! I never count on ratios but that being said just because it is windy doesn't mean we can't get great ratios ... i.e. Boston Blizzard had like 40-60 MPH winds and they still got 25:1 ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 I'm a little concerned, but not overly concerned yet, about the dryslot cutting through central IA right now on W/V imagery, which you can also see on the radar mosaic in southern IA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparky333 Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Snow just started here again kinda light. Ready for the heavier stuff to come in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 KORD 011251Z 06014KT 1/2SM R10L/5000V6000FT SN FZFG OVC006 M01/M02 A2995 RMK AO2 SLP151 SNINCR 1/5 P0005 T10111017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 6" at 7:15am CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 LOT backed down on totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 0600 AM SNOW MILWAUKEE INTERNATIONAL 42.94N 87.90W02/01/2015 M4.9 INCH MILWAUKEE WI OFFICIAL NWS OBSSTORM TOTAL SNOW THROUGH 6 AM CST. On their way to at least 10". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 looks like some nice convergence popping up near cook then extending west into the metro and along 80 in particular Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 I'm a little concerned, but not overly concerned yet, about the dryslot cutting through central IA right now on W/V imagery, which you can also see on the radar mosaic in southern IA. Still have SSE 850s and WAA snows but look to be transitioning towards the defo here now and mid-level lapse rates are steepening in N. MO near that dry slot, so returns should be rather persistent over NE IL for a while. Temp just under freezing here along the lake with a solid SN. LOT backed down on totals Assuming that is additional as KLOT is already near what that shows. Everything looks on track for widespread 10-12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 LOT backed down on totals Elaborate...cause I don't really see this. I think their well within a 10-14 inch call. Flake size beginning to increase here as snow takes on a drier consistency. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 LOT backed down on totals According to the Blizzard Warnings it says this: SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED TOTALS UP TO 18 INCHES POSSIBLE. Were they higher than this for you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 I'm a little concerned, but not overly concerned yet, about the dryslot cutting through central IA right now on W/V imagery, which you can also see on the radar mosaic in southern IA. Edit: Alek beat me to it. Spot on analysis. Plotted DGZ (-12 to -18C RH) and then 700-300 mb RH on Euro, GFS and NAM. DGZ stays saturated along and north of I-80 in IL and IN, but dry slot does punch into areas south of there. Looks like there's drying above the DGZ on the 700-300 mb layer, probably above 500 mb, that does get farther north into IL, which could act to actually steepen lapse rates and lift in the deformation axis. Area of concern in IA and northern MO is already filling in with snow. Bottom line is, all systems go for deformation snows in northern IL along and north of I 80 after the heavy advection snows this AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Elaborate...cause I don't really see this. I think their well within a 10-14 inch call. Their total snowfall map - to me total is total storm, not additional from the 7:10 posting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Their total snowfall map - to me total is total storm, not additional from the 7:10 posting. It's additional. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tongboy Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Does the LOT snowfall forecast map include snow that has already fallen? I didn't think it did. Sent from my 831C using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonbo Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 A little over 9 inches and still coming down at a decent rate just east of Des Moines. Beautiful looking outside with the snow sticking to everything but also scary once the winds kick up. Already seeing branches laying on power lines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 MKE, RAC and ENW all reporting 1/2 mile visibility or less. Nice band setting up over Northern Milwaukee through Northern Dane County that's slowly sinking south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 A little over 9 inches and still coming down at a decent rate just east of Des Moines. Beautiful looking outside with the snow sticking to everything but also scary once the winds kick up. Already seeing branches laying on power lines. Yeah, although it won't be like December 20, 2012. The snow was extremely wet in nature and the winds gusted to 50 mph numerous times. This snow is higher ratio than on December 20, 2012. Got around 6.5 inches of snow so far. Some of the branches are very low to the ground due to the weight of the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Pouring sugar out there at a decent clip and it's just starting to blow a bit now, which tells me that it's now a drier snow and we're seeing some winds. I measured about 4.5" at 7:30 am. I turned on the snowcam now that we've got daylight. Many hours to go. I'll make the first pass with the snowblower down the long driveway a little later this morning, which you'll be able to clearly see on cam. I love these long-duration events.Snowcam: http://ustre.am/16Txc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Drip drip. Whopping 0.8" of slop here - 0.31" of liquid. Still a tick below freezing but starting to creep up. My 6-9 call is starting to look in trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Does the LOT snowfall forecast map include snow that has already fallen? I didn't think it did. Sent from my 831C That Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonbo Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Yeah, although it won't be like December 20, 2012. The snow was extremely wet in nature and the winds gusted to 50 mph numerous times. This snow is higher ratio than on December 20, 2012. Agreed, it won't be that bad. But I haven't seen a cakey snow of this amount since that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Agreed, it won't be that bad. But I haven't seen a cakey snow of this amount since that. We only got about 4-5 inches of snow from that and it was enough to make the power flicker due to the winds. Extremely low ratio snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 The snowfall map available on our website only includes additional snow amounts from 6am onward. For our storm total forecast, refer to our graphical Weather Story. Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 As of 30 minutes ago, my total is 6.8", with the melted down total a ridiculous 0.94".... that's a 7 to 1 ratio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 MKE, RAC and ENW all reporting 1/2 mile visibility or less. Nice band setting up over Northern Milwaukee through Northern Dane County that's slowly sinking south. Looks like it's thinning but the band in Kenosha County is spreading northward, would be nice to have a broader band spread through like that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 9z SREF plumes don't seem to be updating. Probably for the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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