Fab February Banter

[BullCityWx]

Hopefully 12z GFS shows us the goods otherwise board meltdown in 3....2....1....

We've asked for winter all year long and we finally get it. People seem to forget we whiff on these events more than we make contact. No matter how this event unfolds tomorrow, we're headed into an extraordinarily wintery period.

[shaggy]

I don't mind super cold or super hot as long as I don't have to work in it            

 

No heat or AC at work for me. I work in a warehouse thats huge so they don't spend the money trying to keep it controlled. Winter time i'm wearing a pair of thermals a short sleeve shirt then a heavy long sleeve shirt and sometimes 2 coats along with two pair of pants. Summer time it has been as hot as 94 degrees at my work station so its unbearable.

[CherokeeGA]

CSRA forecasters now calling for Monday night wintry mix/Tuesday rain/Tues night wintry mix again... KCAE AFD calls for wet bulb temps above freezing in AGS. This low ought to make up its mind. I'm getting nervous, don't want last year redux here. If the models are getting this wrong, a lot of N GA folks could be in for a shock :/

 

I'm not sure that anyone in GA could legitimately complain they didn't get notice of potential weather on Monday/Tuesday.  FFC issued a watch yesterday.  I mean, as of now the models largely have most everything north of ATL, right?  But when I got up this morning, I noticed FFC kept the Watch (although they acknowledge the northerly shifts in wintry precip in the discussion, how many regular joes read that).  At this point even if it falls as rain they seem mostly to be concerned about black ice forming in the early AM.  So anyone who is aware that there is a Watch should not be shocked if there is wintry precipitation.

 

This time last year for the daytime storm that caught everyone flatfooted, nothing was being talked about seriously in the days before and IIRC, there were not watches being trumpeted 48 hours prior to the event, either.  I think FFC only got serious about Warning it at 3am before it started at 10am which was too late.  A lot of people are too busy in the morning getting out the door for a leisurely stroll through the weather forecast.  Winter weather Warnings really need to happen the afternoon before, when news has a chance to spread.

 

Cobb County schools have already decided to close on Monday.  (I'm not sure they should have, but since it's been a bland winter, they certainly have the days banked to use, so might as well use them.  It's almost March already.) 

 

Cherokee County was already closed this whole week for Winter Break.  Not sure if any other NGa counties are on 10 month calendars with a break this week.  And also, tomorrow is President's Day and therefore a holiday for some workers. 

 

So even if we do get more precip than the models indicate, I don't imagine we'd see another debacle on the roads like last year.

[metalicwx366]

We've asked for winter all year long and we finally get it. People seem to forget we whiff on these events more than we make contact. No matter how this event unfolds tomorrow, we're headed into an extraordinarily wintery period.

Agreed. Looks like another potential wintry event next weekend.

[sparklecity]

Looks nasty for the upstate!

StnID: kgsp Profile Thermal Adjust: 0.0 Cloud RH threshold: 85% Average Hourly Sounding: NO

Date/hour FHr Wind SfcT Ptype SR |Snow||Sleet|| FZRA|| QPF CumSR|TotSN||TotPL||TotZR|| TQPF S%| I%| L%

============================================================================================================================

150215/1300Z 1 01012KT 19.7F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150215/1400Z 2 36012KT 20.9F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150215/1500Z 3 36012KT 22.4F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150215/1600Z 4 36010KT 24.5F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150215/1700Z 5 34008KT 27.0F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150215/1800Z 6 34007KT 29.6F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---

150215/1900Z 7 34006KT 31.7F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150215/2000Z 8 35005KT 33.2F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150215/2100Z 9 36004KT 33.5F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150215/2200Z 10 01004KT 33.0F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150215/2300Z 11 VRB02KT 31.0F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150216/0000Z 12 07003KT 29.9F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---

150216/0100Z 13 07004KT 28.1F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150216/0200Z 14 06004KT 27.9F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150216/0300Z 15 06005KT 27.6F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150216/0400Z 16 06005KT 28.1F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150216/0500Z 17 07004KT 27.9F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150216/0600Z 18 08004KT 27.8F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---

150216/0700Z 19 VRB02KT 26.7F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150216/0800Z 20 08003KT 26.1F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150216/0900Z 21 07003KT 25.8F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150216/1000Z 22 08003KT 25.2F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150216/1100Z 23 09004KT 24.9F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150216/1200Z 24 10006KT 26.7F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---

150216/1300Z 25 10006KT 27.0F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150216/1400Z 26 10007KT 28.1F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150216/1500Z 27 11006KT 28.3F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150216/1600Z 28 11007KT 29.0F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150216/1700Z 29 12007KT 29.7F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150216/1800Z 30 12007KT 32.1F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---

150216/1900Z 31 13007KT 35.3F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150216/2000Z 32 12008KT 35.0F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150216/2100Z 33 12008KT 35.7F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150216/2200Z 34 10006KT 33.3F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.006 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.01 0| 3| 97

150216/2300Z 35 06003KT 31.2F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.01|| 0.007 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.01|| 0.01 0| 0|100

150217/0000Z 36 04006KT 30.5F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.01|| 0.008 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.02|| 0.02 0| 0|100

----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---

150217/0100Z 37 04010KT 29.7F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.02|| 0.019 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.04|| 0.04 0| 0|100

150217/0200Z 38 05011KT 29.6F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.04|| 0.036 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.07|| 0.08 0| 0|100

150217/0300Z 39 05011KT 30.6F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.14|| 0.138 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.22|| 0.21 0| 0|100

150217/0400Z 40 04012KT 30.5F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.13|| 0.121 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.35|| 0.34 0| 0|100

150217/0500Z 41 02009KT 30.3F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.13|| 0.125 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.48|| 0.46 0| 0|100

150217/0600Z 42 01009KT 31.0F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.16|| 0.156 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.64|| 0.62 0| 0|100

----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---

150217/0700Z 43 08007KT 31.2F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.07|| 0.068 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.71|| 0.68 0| 0|100

150217/0800Z 44 02006KT 31.4F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.02|| 0.023 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.74|| 0.71 0| 0|100

150217/0900Z 45 02007KT 31.5F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.05|| 0.050 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.79|| 0.76 0| 0|100

150217/1000Z 46 03006KT 31.5F FZRA 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.02|| 0.015 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.81|| 0.77 0| 0|100

150217/1100Z 47 03005KT 31.7F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.81|| 0.77 0| 0| 0

150217/1200Z 48 03004KT 30.8F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.81|| 0.77 0| 0| 0

----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---

150217/1300Z 49 01005KT 31.5F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.81|| 0.77 0| 0| 0

150217/1400Z 50 36008KT 32.8F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.81|| 0.77 0| 0| 0

150217/1500Z 51 36009KT 32.6F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.81|| 0.77 0| 0| 0

150217/1600Z 52 36007KT 33.0F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.81|| 0.77 0| 0| 0

150217/1700Z 53 35006KT 34.1F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150217/1800Z 54 35005KT 35.5F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---

150217/1900Z 55 34005KT 36.9F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150217/2000Z 56 33004KT 38.2F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150217/2100Z 57 33003KT 38.9F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150217/2200Z 58 35003KT 38.6F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150217/2300Z 59 03003KT 36.6F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150218/0000Z 60 04003KT 34.8F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---

150218/0100Z 61 04004KT 34.2F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150218/0200Z 62 04005KT 32.4F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150218/0300Z 63 03005KT 32.1F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150218/0400Z 64 03005KT 31.2F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150218/0500Z 65 03005KT 30.8F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150218/0600Z 66 03004KT 30.8F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---

150218/0700Z 67 04003KT 30.8F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150218/0800Z 68 VRB02KT 30.6F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150218/0900Z 69 VRB01KT 30.6F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150218/1000Z 70 VRB01KT 30.8F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150218/1100Z 71 VRB02KT 31.0F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150218/1200Z 72 22003KT 29.6F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---

150218/1300Z 73 24007KT 28.8F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150218/1400Z 74 26011KT 30.3F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150218/1500Z 75 26013KT 31.7F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150218/1600Z 76 26015KT 33.5F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150218/1700Z 77 27017KT 34.6F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150218/1800Z 78 27017KT 35.1F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---

150218/1900Z 79 27018KT 35.1F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150218/2000Z 80 28018KT 34.8F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150218/2100Z 81 29018KT 33.7F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150218/2200Z 82 29016KT 31.9F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150218/2300Z 83 29014KT 29.0F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

150219/0000Z 84 30012KT 26.9F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0

[AJF0602]

I feel for any pro mets who are in the grasps of this storm, definitely a tough one to forecast with all of the constant changes.

[mackerel_sky]

.8& of zr, I love my power, that would suck

[superjames1992]

GFSSSSSSS.  Model Madness.

[lilj4425]

Just put me out of my misery already.

[sparklecity]

I might be crazy but I like ice storms ever since I went through one when I was younger.  It sounded like a war zone outside with the constant sound of limbs and trees falling plus the bright flashes and booms of transformers exploding.  I got my 4 season sleeping bag, wood for the fireplace, and gas stove ready to go.  Only thing that really bothers me is not having hot water.  I'll still have internet on my phone too unlike last time   Hope the cell phone towers don't get taken out!  If that happens I may change my mind!

[sparklecity]

GFSSSSSSS.  Model Madness.

 

Touche GFS!  Man if those 850's could just be a little more south and hold on just a little longer, the upstate could have been good on that run.

 

Et Tu Euro?

[featherwx]

Just a quick question: when people refer to the I-85 corridor on this forum, how far west/east are you implying? I live about a mile on either side of 85 at both my parents' houses in Durham and Orange counties, so I don't know if I should get excited when people say "crush job for I-85!" I have a feeling that some posters think of the "I-85 corridor" as meaning the triad and not more central parts of the piedmont, so it would be helpful to clarify this.

[AirNelson39]

Not really.....a lot of us would like to see it further south

He didn't say beautiful for everyone, he was obviously referencing for his area...I think it looks beautiful as well. I hate it's not trended well for some but for some it's trended much better

[buckeyefan1]

He didn't say beautiful for everyone, he was obviously referencing for his area...I think it looks beautiful as well. I hate it's not trended well for some but for some it's trended much better

He just stated it was beautiful. That's all. Nothing more. Nothing less. I stated it wasn't beautiful for a lot of peeps. Nothing more. Nothing less.     

[jshetley]

It does look like it may be trying to trend back to the south. Hopefully we can get snow, or at least sleet with this though. 1/2-3/4 of ice would be no fun at all. And that is what a map I saw from WSPA-TV had for the heart of the upstate.

[lilj4425]

I'm beautiful.

[rduwx]

As weather enthusiast we always pull for extremes.  Well we could be looking at one of those extremes here in central NC.  Although I would rather have a snow event, this could possibly be a ice event we talk about for many years down the road.  Looks like I'll be checking the generator today and filling up the gas tanks.

[mackerel_sky]

The Dec 2002 mega ice storm, was slated to be all zrn, but we ended up having a lot of sleet mixed in, and made the crust on the roads crazy

If we get an inch of snow, then crust on top, it may be on the ground all week, based on temps after the storm

[rduwx]

The Dec 2002 mega ice storm, was slated to be all zrn, but we ended up having a lot of sleet mixed in, and made the crust on the roads crazy

If we get an inch of snow, then crust on top, it may be on the ground all week, based on temps after the storm

 

Here in Raleigh, it was a crippling zr event.  My youngest daughter had just been born in July and it was brutal trying to keep everyone warm.  I remember heating up bottles in the fireplace.  We ended up going to Home Depot just to get warm when we found out people were waiting on a truck full of generators.  Well we ended up buying a generator that night.

[NC_WX10]

I'm guessing for folks north of I-40 we should get a solid 3-5 before changing over to sleet than freezing rain?

[mackerel_sky]

Holy crap!!!!!! At those maps Allan posted!! Somehow has my back yard at 8-10 inches and the other one has me with 1.50- 1.75 QPF !?!??!!

That would be epic epicness

[Amos83]

The Concord regional airport is currently reporting a dp of -11f!!

-11! Crazy

[knowledgeispwr]

Holy crap!!!!!! At those maps Allan posted!! Somehow has my back yard at 8-10 inches and the other one has me with 1.50- 1.75 QPF !?!??!!

That would be epic epicness

Of course, those maps count everything frozen or freezing as 'snow', I think.

[WidreMann]

We won't get an ice storm without CAD. If it turns to ZR it'll quickly turn to rain.

[metalicwx366]

Holy crap!!!!!! At those maps Allan posted!! Somehow has my back yard at 8-10 inches and the other one has me with 1.50- 1.75 QPF !?!??!!

That would be epic epicness

Yep, quite an epic rainstorm for your backyard.

Jk

GFS has Cuba hitting 101 degrees at 54 hours. Da fuq?

[Jonathan]

Wonder what the odds are of the 0c 850 line setting up on the VA/NC border?

 

Looks like the GFS kept me all snow for the duration. No low transfer.

 

NAM/RGEM switch me to sleet (I hope) at the end. With a low transfer.

 

Looks like I'll be hugging the GFS inside of 36 hours! :lmao:

[rduwx]

We won't get an ice storm without CAD. If it turns to ZR it'll quickly turn to rain.

 

Thanks but I think I'll still get prepared.

[mackerel_sky]

We won't get an ice storm without CAD. If it turns to ZR it'll quickly turn to rain.

In situ and meso low for the win!!

[jburns]

I just want my average 2" of snowfall. Is that too much to ask ? Especially in a winter with lots of cold air around ?

 

Be careful what you wish for.  If it started snowing, you'd have to move further south.

[metalicwx366]

Be careful what you wish for. If it started snowing, you'd have to move further south.

:lmao: You're so mean.