wxjunkie Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 We only get a couple days a winter, at most, with highs at or below freezing. Usually when that happens we have snow on the ground. Yeah, i know, i shouldnt be rambling on..LOL It is sorta depressing tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 So, are we feeling good about this, or should we get the towel ready? The towel! 2 of the 21 GEFS members were amped like the Op. That's two to many for my liking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 So, are we feeling good about this, or should we get the towel ready? Funny thing about this event is everybody on this board can score big but also can get screwed. Suppression, low can go too far north, high can slide out early, etc. Models have been horrible the last couple of days. Hope is high but confidence is low. Buckle in folks, It's going to be a long weekend of model watching... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 The towel! 2 of the 21 GEFS members were amped like the Op. That's two to many for my liking. Hahaha! 2 of 21. That does it! I'm out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Funny thing about this event is everybody on this board can score big but also can get screwed. Suppression, low can go too far north, high can slide out early, etc. Models have been horrible the last couple of days. Hope is high but confidence is low. Buckle in folks, It's going to be a long weekend of model watching.. . Hahaha! 2 of 21. That does it! I'm out! Well we do have some consistency with the emsembles, both GEFS and EPS. The CMC ens is similar too. I will feel better if the UK ticks SE some tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.C. Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Man, i thought it was supposed to be 'cold' here today..LOL 42/23 hi/lo.... thats not cold. its amazing what just a couple hundred miles can do. Back home it was 27/11. Thats what i think of as ' cold'... Its like friggin impossible to have a high of 32 or below here..amazing. It is hard pressed to get highs to stay below freezing anywhere on the southeast side of the Appalachians. Just yesterday it was in the 30s above 2000' feet and in the 60s at GSP. The west side of the apps gets many more days around or below freezing because of the upslope cloudcover behind strong cold fronts. Two different worlds man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Well we do have some consistency with the emsembles, both GEFS and EPS. The CMC ens is similar too. I will feel better if the UK ticks SE some tonight. We definitely have a legitimate chance. I'll start feeling better tomorrow if the models are (still) showing a favorable setup. **Man this hobby is going to kill me.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 14, 2015 Author Share Posted February 14, 2015 Funny thing about this event is everybody on this board can score big but also can get screwed. Suppression, low can go too far north, high can slide out early, etc. Models have been horrible the last couple of days. Hope is high but confidence is low. Buckle in folks, It's going to be a long weekend of model watching...So goes every winter storm in the South, EVER! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 We definitely have a legitimate chance. I'll start feeling better tomorrow if the models are (still) showing a favorable setup. **Man this hobby is going to kill me.. I'm very excited that I can stay up for the Euro and get some decent sleep tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I'm very excited that I can stay up for the Euro and get some decent sleep tonight. I won't make the euro but will make the GFS. In years past I stayed up so much tracking the models that by the time the storm got here I was too tired to really enjoy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 So goes every winter storm in the South, EVER! Yes, that's why it's fun to track. We live is a place where it's possible(but not probable) to get a winter storm. Very addicting... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 So, are we feeling good about this, or should we get the towel ready? We usually don't start cliff diving until a few hours before the event because one of the models showed something different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 We definitely have a legitimate chance. I'll start feeling better tomorrow if the models are (still) showing a favorable setup. **Man this hobby is going to kill me.. Tracking winter storms in the SE is a lot like a dog playing frisbee. One minute everything is going great and the next it turns on you and gets you right where it hurts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Tracking winter storms in the SE is a lot like a dog playing frisbee. One minute everything is going great and the next it turns on you and gets you right where it hurts. lol....Yep that's us...If you play the game be ready for the hurt... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 and some of us go for the "fake throw" every time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Tracking winter storms in the SE is a lot like a dog playing frisbee. One minute everything is going great and the next it turns on you and gets you right where it hurts. Lol we have a Boston terrier. that about sums it up for all of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Well we do have some consistency with the emsembles, both GEFS and EPS. The CMC ens is similar too. I will feel better if the UK ticks SE some tonight. Yeah the ensembles are what I'm hanging on to. Though both the ensemble s and ops have been so bad this year, I really have very little confidence. I wouldn't be surprised with suppression or rain at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I'd still like to hear Wildremann's take on all of this. He's been missing for a couple of weeks. He's like the chorus in a Greek tragedy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I'd still like to hear Wildremann's take on all of this. He's been missing for a couple of weeks. He's like the chorus in a Greek tragedy.brick ran him off with his optimism. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 14, 2015 Author Share Posted February 14, 2015 I'd still like to hear Wildremann's take on all of this. He's been missing for a couple of weeks. He's like the chorus in a Greek tragedy.He may have discovered girls? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 14, 2015 Author Share Posted February 14, 2015 Lol we have a Boston terrier. that about sums it up for all of us.I've got a dog that's supposed to be a Boston, let me find a pic, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 14, 2015 Author Share Posted February 14, 2015 My back yard , by Wednesday ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Going to bed. Wish I could stay up and watch the GFS and Euro election returns, but my daughter has a swim meet in Hillsborough bright and early in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 14, 2015 Author Share Posted February 14, 2015 Here he is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 14, 2015 Author Share Posted February 14, 2015 Precious... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Going to bed. Wish I could stay up and watch the GFS and Euro election returns, but my daughter has a swim meet in Hillsborough bright and early in the morning.yikes! Too early on a Friday night, are you older than burns? Jk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Precious...his name is precious? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 14, 2015 Author Share Posted February 14, 2015 his name is precious?No, sorry, his name is - chomperA face only a mother could love , lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southernskimmer Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Anybody have an idea how ratios affect virga duration? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Alchemist Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I forgot what tab was which thread... Trying to figure out why you were posting pet pics in the storm thread... Edit: I'm not too much of a dog man, but I like that dog!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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