packfan98 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 On 2/25/2015 at 1:56 AM, packbacker said: Robert brings up gulf convection limiting moisture transport....always something. LOL I knew it would come up eventually. I thought his map was interesting with a gap in the heavier totals in the western Piedmont where others have a stripe of heaviest snowfall. I could see his idea verifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 Hate to go Wilkes on y'all , but had ravens at the bird feeder today, and have never seen that in my life! The animals know!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 On 2/25/2015 at 1:58 AM, WidreMann said: And then Brick claims that it's going to rain or whatever. He's worse than me. I can't figure him out, except that he's trying to live up to his namesake. I don't know. We're lucky to have a met like Fishel. He's gotten more conservative as he's learned that the big snow progs days in advance usually don't verify. He gave a balanced forecast tonight at 5 and 6. The other ones on there won't say anything with any real meat on it. It's like they wait for him to talk turkey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 On 2/25/2015 at 2:03 AM, Cold Rain said: I don't know. We're lucky to have a met like Fishel. He's gotten more conservative as he's learned that the big snow progs days in advance usually don't verify. He gave a balanced forecast tonight at 5 and 6. The other ones on there won't say anything with any real meat on it. It's like they wait for him to talk turkey.He's right to go conservative. And we've had some big busts in the 2000s and early 2010s. He's found that the safe rule is that if there's a reasonable chance something could go wrong, it probably well. If we're concerned about WAA keeping temps up, then it probably will. If we're concerned about moisture transport and there's modelling or regular meteorology to back it up, it probably will happen. There's a reason our climo is 5-6" and not 20". If these storms performed the way the models advertised, we'd get a lot more snow and ice each year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhill Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 On 2/25/2015 at 2:06 AM, WidreMann said: He's right to go conservative. And we've had some big busts in the 2000s and early 2010s. He's found that the safe rule is that if there's a reasonable chance something could go wrong, it probably well. If we're concerned about WAA keeping temps up, then it probably will. If we're concerned about moisture transport and there's modelling or regular meteorology to back it up, it probably will happen. There's a reason our climo is 5-6" and not 20". If these storms performed the way the models advertised, we'd get a lot more snow and ice each year. Plus, the fountain at the WRAL gardens is all iced over. Nowhere to put the lawn chair if he made a bet this time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 On 2/25/2015 at 2:06 AM, WidreMann said: He's right to go conservative. And we've had some big busts in the 2000s and early 2010s. He's found that the safe rule is that if there's a reasonable chance something could go wrong, it probably well. If we're concerned about WAA keeping temps up, then it probably will. If we're concerned about moisture transport and there's modelling or regular meteorology to back it up, it probably will happen. There's a reason our climo is 5-6" and not 20". If these storms performed the way the models advertised, we'd get a lot more snow and ice each year. That's exactly right. But some do not like to acknowledge that or hear about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhill Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 On 2/25/2015 at 2:03 AM, mackerel_sky said: Hate to go Wilkes on y'all , but had ravens at the bird feeder today, and have never seen that in my life! The animals know!! Yep, had at least a hundred robins in the field on Monday eating everything they could find. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I wish...That's all I have to say about the 0z nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Hires nam really hates me. Every run I have that minimum dot over mby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Low of 28 tonight and already down to 32.2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Anyone have panels of the RGEM for NC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 man if the nam verified with those rates i think i may just set up a lawn chair outside all night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 On 2/25/2015 at 2:40 AM, burgertime said: Anyone have panels of the RGEM for NC? 10:15pm or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 On 2/25/2015 at 2:40 AM, burgertime said: Anyone have panels of the RGEM for NC?not out yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 On 2/25/2015 at 1:51 AM, jburns said: Which thread? On 2/25/2015 at 2:03 AM, mackerel_sky said: Hate to go Wilkes on y'all , but had ravens at the bird feeder today, and have never seen that in my life! The animals know!! I have no idea what that second picture is, Mack. I think you're shooting images with a 0.05 megapixel camera, or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 On 2/25/2015 at 2:41 AM, packbacker said: 10:15pm or so. I need that image meme of Dave Chapelle as a crack head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 On 2/25/2015 at 2:19 AM, rduwx said: I wish...That's all I have to say about the 0z nam. LOL...what I take from the NAM runs is the SLP track and temps, both were good. I think 0.5-0.7" QPF looks reasonsable, hopefully the RGEM agrees in about 20 mins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 On 2/25/2015 at 2:42 AM, calculus1 said: I have no idea what that second picture is, Mack. I think you're shooting images with a 0.05 megapixel camera, or something. Hahaha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Just out of curiosity what are the qualifications/requirements to get the Meteorologist tag on this board? Do you have to provide documentation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Webbers map...someone post it, on my phone. https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/570400954337652737 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 On 2/25/2015 at 2:45 AM, packbacker said: Webbers map...someone post it, on my phone. https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/570400954337652737 I always did like that kid... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 On 2/25/2015 at 2:42 AM, calculus1 said: I have no idea what that second picture is, Mack. I think you're shooting images with a 0.05 megapixel camera, or something. It was an old iPhone camera , through a window with a screen and rushed, lol! It's not everyday you see a bird with a 3ft+ wingspan , eating under a bird feeder , where you normally see little sparrows and stuff! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 And NC State is about to win their national championship.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 If that hires nam verifies for mby tomorrow, I'm done forever! I'll just give up. I don't understand how it is possible to show that same 5 square mile green dot over my house every time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 That map of Webber's is quite nuanced. Multiple levels of thought into that one. And, much better than MS Paint... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 lot of howling gonna be going on tonight, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 On 2/25/2015 at 2:51 AM, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: And NC State is about to win their national championship.... In what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Fun fact, this storm is not even formed. Who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 On 2/25/2015 at 2:52 AM, NCSNOW said: lot of howling gonna be going on tonight, For what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Roy going to be pissed at dem crowds again at the dome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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