mackerel_sky Posted February 16, 2015 Author Share Posted February 16, 2015 This illustrates how eastern upstate seems to fare better than western upstate about 90% of the time. For situations like this when clouds come in late in the day - you guys have a couple more hours of clear skies under the stars to cool off while we get insulated. In CAD situations - you are just positioned closer to the cold air source, get below freezing sooner, and have more precip to receive while below freezing. You also have less effects of dry slotting from the mtns. The only time we do better is when the precip arrives just before daybreak - you tend to warm a couple degrees by the time it gets to you.Are you freakin' kidding me ???!! I just rose a tenth of a degree!! Underestimating the cold FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Are you freakin' kidding me ???!! I just rose a tenth of a degree!! Underestimating the cold FTL Interesting temperature contrasts tonight all over the place just looking at weather station data. I feel fortunate to be in a colder spot right now, although I'm sure y'all will catch up as the night goes on. Down to 24.8° now. Edit. Uh oh scratch that just rose to 25.3°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILMRoss Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Use Anchos - dried poblanos. Makes it smokier and more sweet. Also a good pint of dark lager beer and then a bunch of chili powder to taste. Meaty, smooth, sweet, and spicy as you want it. 2 hours of simmer after everything is cooked. Hmm, literally never heard of anchos before. I'll try them out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Sisk Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Let me know how to make snow cream out of sleet and freezing rain!? I thought you were looking for cold rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 RGEM actually looks snowy for the first few hours in the eastern upstate. I may have to give it a hug. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justicebork Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 RGEM let me love you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 16, 2015 Author Share Posted February 16, 2015 Interesting temperature contrasts tonight all over the place just looking at weather station data. I feel fortunate to be in a colder spot right now, although I'm sure y'all will catch up as the night goes on. Down to 24.8° now. Edit. Uh oh scratch that just rose to 25.3°.[/quote Yeah I'm up to 32.7 a 3 tenth rise in 30 minutes! Is there a warm front around?] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Interesting temperature contrasts tonight all over the place just looking at weather station data. I feel fortunate to be in a colder spot right now, although I'm sure y'all will catch up as the night goes on. Down to 24.8° now. Edit. Uh oh scratch that just rose to 25.3°.[/quote Yeah I'm up to 32.7 a 3 tenth rise in 30 minutes! Is there a warm front around?] That's pretty normal when it starts to cloud over. Give it an hour or 2 and I bet it will start dropping pretty quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 When is the last time RDU actually got the amount they were forecast to get winter weather wise?Possibly the 2/12 storm last year, and only for the snow part. The ZR event failed to materialize (thankfully). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 16, 2015 Author Share Posted February 16, 2015 I thought you were looking for cold rain?That's all I'm expecting now for here, I was responding to Brick. I've been having my temp rise over the past hour! How many ways can we get screwed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhill Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Hmm, literally never heard of anchos before. I'll try them out. Any respectable taqueria will have them. Much better for the stew than poblanos. BTW - the heat is in the seeds, the peper shell/meat is the flavor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lookingnorth Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 How is it that we're 24 hours out and no one seems to have much of an idea what's going on? I mean I don't recall anything close to this level of uncertainty and confusion in past events, but maybe I'm misremembering and this is a common phenomenon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhill Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Possibly the 2/12 storm last year, and only for the snow part. The ZR event failed to materialize (thankfully). Let's hope for that on Monday night - Tuesday too! more QPF early on salted/brined roads... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 That's pretty normal when it starts to cloud over. Give it an hour or 2 and I bet it will start dropping pretty quickly. Not unless the cloud cover clears out. Maybe a slow drop, but not fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Let's hope for that on Monday night - Tuesday too! more QPF early on salted/brined roads...That would basically mean no event at all. Which I guess is okay because I have work to do and I like my routine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 He's kidding. You can't chase without knowing what is going on. Do yourself a favor and NEVER try to chase tornados.Hahahahahhahahah!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 I know people don't enjoy reading "negative" posts. It's a lot easier to get less snow/frozen than the models are showing than it is to get more...or even at least what they're showing. This system will do a good job illustrating if someone is truly just a debbie downer or whether they are correct. And vice versa on the other side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILMRoss Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Possibly the 2/12 storm last year, and only for the snow part. The ZR event failed to materialize (thankfully).I still kind of think of it as a bust. Without mixing issues we'd be talking about how we got 8 inches instead of our forecasted foot. I also kind of wanted an ice storm because I'm young and naive and never experienced more than .25 inches of ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justicebork Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Model thread is having another "on the 4s" spike in retardedness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 That's all I'm expecting now for here, I was responding to Brick. I've been having my temp rise over the past hour! How many ways can we get screwed? http://www.thekamasutra.co/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 I know people don't enjoy reading "negative" posts. It's a lot easier to get less snow/frozen than the models are showing than it is to get more...or even at least what they're showing. This system will do a good job illustrating if someone is truly just a debbie downer or whether they are correct. And vice versa on the other side. Widremann is a troll. I'm fine with everyone else. He picks the worst model runs and mocks everyone else with them. Has he mentioned the RGEM, you know, the best short range model? Of course not. I have no clue why the mods have such a short trigger with some people and allow him to go on and on and on. I guess he's figured out exactly where the line is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 TARHEELPROGRAMMER!!!! LOL!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 http://www.thekamasutra.co/ Oh my Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JacobNC Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Damn you, Virginia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 TARHEELPROGRAMMER!!!! LOL!!!! He's just expressing an opinion dammit!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 TARHEELPROGRAMMER!!!! LOL!!!! Hopefully the mods will let us know who it is. I'm curious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Widremann is a troll. I'm fine with everyone else. He picks the worst model runs and mocks everyone else with them. Has he mentioned the RGEM, you know, the best short range model? Of course not. I have no clue why the mods have such a short trigger with some people and allow him to go on and on and on. I guess he's figured out exactly where the line is. I kinda feel like he's trying to get people to explain why we shouldn't be concerned if there looks to be a bad step or trend or why we shouldn't be concerned about something that could pop up to ruin our storm...a later onset of precip, clouds rolling in early, limiting cooling, convection in the Gulf, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 lol at GFS snowfall map. Meanwhile my temp has gone up to 26.8° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 16, 2015 Author Share Posted February 16, 2015 World record ban speed record .... Incoming! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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