sparklecity Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 GSP sitting at 37°/-9° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I agree w/ Pack and Cold Rain w/ the loss of qpf during the transfer. I believe we're looking at around .5 total qpf her at RDU. I'm still amazed at the shift north starting last night. I really thought we were good and had already had the shift north. Oh well, it is what it is! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I can't believe I'm sitting at 41 !!?? Coldest air in 25 years, massive arctic attack! Don't know how anybody can survive out side ! It's like metal left his door open to hell and the heat is funneling up here! I can't even get an ice storm! Really think it was a mistake to put me under a WSW ! I guess it's easier to go worse case scenario, than to go advisory and up to warning as precip unfolds!? it's okay. You'll live. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I agree w/ Pack and Cold Rain w/ the loss of qpf during the transfer. I believe we're looking at around .5 total qpf her at RDU. I'm still amazed at the shift north starting last night. I really thought we were good and had already had the shift north. Oh well, it is what it is! We say it and Allen shows it. Maybe it'll be different this time. Stranger things have happened. I don't expect any significant changes from here. I expect the Rap and HRRR to show less precip and slightly warmer temps. Unless there are some big shifts, we'll stay frozen and have a moderate event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 We say it and Allen shows it. Maybe it'll be different this time. Stranger things have happened. I don't expect any significant changes from here. I expect the Rap and HRRR to show less precip and slightly warmer temps. Unless there are some big shifts, we'll stay frozen and have a moderate event. With a Miller B transfer there's usually some area that gets very little. I wouldn't be surprised if someone ends up with flurries and freezing mist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 We say it and Allen shows it. Maybe it'll be different this time. Stranger things have happened. I don't expect any significant changes from here. I expect the Rap and HRRR to show less precip and slightly warmer temps. Unless there are some big shifts, we'll stay frozen and have a moderate event. Euro is nailing temps today for the area (NC/SC). It has very close to getting above freezing at end of precip, it's shifts 25-50 miles north it's a non-event for us. If we were getting all snow then 0.5" QPF this would be a great event, when we look back on this winter and we see a 0.5" of sleet with 0.2" of freezing rain we are just going to laugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Euro is nailing temps today for the area (NC/SC). It has very close to getting above freezing at end of precip, it's shifts 25-50 miles north it's a non-event for us. If we were getting all snow then 0.5" QPF this would be a great event, when we look back on this winter and we see a 0.5" of sleet with 0.2" of freezing rain we are just going to laugh. What do you make of the latest RGEM? Flatter and farther south. Lol! Maybe Larry is right and it will end up tracking under the wedge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Dang you RGEM. I was planning a cliff dive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 This may turn out to be basically a minor event and then only for I-40 north. I can easily see this trend drier in SC and NC and perhaps not starting until after dark east of the mountains. There's also a chance that no one east of the mountains south of I-40 even gets more than 1-2 hours of precip. This would make this a repeat of 2011-2012 since there is no way we get another winter weather threat this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 What do you make of the latest RGEM? Flatter and farther south. Lol! Maybe Larry is right and it will end up tracking under the wedge. This has been the upstate's storm all along. Widespread foot plus amounts along the 85 corridor! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 This has been the upstate's storm all along. Widespread foot plus amounts along the 85 corridor! All in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Winter Storm Warning for 3-5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 This has been the upstate's storm all along. Widespread foot plus amounts along the 85 corridor! Amen to that. We're getting a foot. I don't care what anybody says. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 All in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 What do you make of the latest RGEM? Flatter and farther south. Lol! Maybe Larry is right and it will end up tracking under the wedge. It was south/weaker early through the run but by end of the run it ticked north. It's really good inside 24 hours, let's see what it looks like at 0z. About 0.5" QPF, a little sleet and mostly freezing rain...zzzzzzzz. It's really a, "oh don't the pine trees look pretty with a glaze" type event. DC get's a foot a snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 It was south/weaker early through the run but by end of the run it ticked north. It's really good inside 24 hours, let's see what it looks like at 0z. About 0.5" QPF, a little sleet and mostly freezing rain...zzzzzzzz. It's really a, "oh don't the pine trees look pretty with a glaze" type event. DC get's a foot a snow. No, Upstate SC gets a foot of snow. Pay attention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 No, Upstate SC gets a foot of snow. Pay attention. Huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Huh? This thing will continue to trend south and the cold will remain in place. All of that snow in Boston is there for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 What twilight zone is this where NAM has lower qpf than the GFS in the upstate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southernskimmer Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 This thing will continue to trend south and the cold will remain in place. All of that snow in Boston is there for a reason. Because everything trended north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 We're gonna need a trend south, we're gonna need a stronger CAD, and for the love of all things wintery, WE'RE GONNA NEED A LOT MORE COWBELL!! So looking forward to SNL anniversary tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Because everything trended north It went about 10 miles south of the previous model runs. All snow now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 We're gonna need a trend south, we're gonna need a stronger CAD, and for the love of all things wintery, WE'RE GONNA NEED A LOT MORE COWBELL!! So looking forward to SNL anniversary tonight. I forgot about that. What time is it? I can't find my TV Guide. I need to go buy a tape so I can record it and watch it back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 15, 2015 Author Share Posted February 15, 2015 18z GFS gives me 1.2 and not far from 1.4 QPF ! That's alot of sleet and freezing rain!!! If it stays cold enough??? I just want anything but rain! The QPF is even higher in Pickens and oconee counties and extreme Ne Ga! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 15, 2015 Author Share Posted February 15, 2015 I forgot about that. What time is it? I can't find my TV Guide. I need to go buy a tape so I can record it and watch it back.Pretty sure it's 8 pm - 11:30! That's gonna be awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 18z GFS gives me 1.2 and not far from 1.4 QPF ! That's alot of sleet and freezing rain!!! If it stays cold enough??? I just want anything but rain! The QPF is even higher in Pickens and oconee counties and extreme Ne Ga! Gonna be a lot of chainsaws going if that holds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Pretty sure it's 8 pm - 11:30! That's gonna be awesome! Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 15, 2015 Author Share Posted February 15, 2015 I forgot about that. What time is it? I can't find my TV Guide. I need to go buy a tape so I can record it and watch it back.You need to upgrade! They got these great new things out called Laser Disks!! They are like silver records, but you have to flip them halfway through tho!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilotwx Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Got a feeling the models are wrong on duration of the event. I think this will be a longer than advertised event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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