BullCityWx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 2:23 PM, superjames1992 said: Our wintry precip comes from the initial overrunning, and it could be significant, as it was on the 00z Euro. I don't think most of us are envisioning an all-frozen event at this point, unless the UKMET pulls a coup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 2:11 PM, metalicwx366 said: Yay the 6z GFS gave me snow. Me too On 2/12/2015 at 2:25 PM, Queencitywx said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Nice QC. The mother country needs to bring it home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 2:22 PM, Queencitywx said: I know you guys arent as used to getting those glaciers as we are but they stay around forever.yeah, usually ice turns to rain fairly quickly here with our elevation. Temps are going to start very cold and dew points extremely low with a huge slug of precip coming in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Group hug with the ukie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rawlee Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 E Gardner calling for cold rain Tuesday and Weds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 This "bobbit/ronald b" dude has TWO Twitter accounts and they're both going hard in the paint with tweet after tweet after tweet to Allan (RaleighWx) What the hell is wrong with that dude? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 2:43 PM, Jonathan said: This "bobbit/ronald b" dude has TWO Twitter accounts and they're both going hard in the paint with tweet after tweet after tweet to Allan (RaleighWx) What the hell is wrong with that dude? Bobbit used to be on on here but didn't last long. What a goob! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 2:43 PM, Jonathan said: This "bobbit/ronald b" dude has TWO Twitter accounts and they're both going hard in the paint with tweet after tweet after tweet to Allan (RaleighWx) What the hell is wrong with that dude? bad grammar and all? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 You've got mail (Hanover, MA from DT FB) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 2:23 PM, superjames1992 said: Most of our wintry precip comes from the initial overrunning, and it could be significant, as it was on the 00z Euro. I don't think most of us are envisioning an all-frozen event at this point, unless the UKMET pulls a coup. Hard to get excited about a few hours of frozen which then gets washed away. The GFS and Euro has us getting to upper 50's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Who is going to start "the thread"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 3:01 PM, packbacker said: Hard to get excited about a few hours of frozen which then gets washed away. The GFS and Euro has us getting to upper 50's. I agree. It's nice to see other models show great solutions but we need these two to trend SE soon for me to get excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJF0602 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Smh I keep getting suckered back into these models lol... I hope this pans out for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 3:01 PM, packbacker said: Hard to get excited about a few hours of frozen which then gets washed away. The GFS and Euro has us getting to upper 50's. Both are 2-4 on the front-end here, so I don't care. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 3:01 PM, packbacker said: Hard to get excited about a few hours of frozen which then gets washed away. The GFS and Euro has us getting to upper 50's. I agree pack...I'm happy for others but for our area, I'm just not too excited right now. We need to see a S and E solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 3:09 PM, rduwx said: I agree pack...I'm happy for others but for our area, I'm just not too excited right now. We need to see a S and E solution. TN looks to be in a good spot, that's where I would want to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 3:15 PM, packbacker said: TN looks to be in a good spot, that's where I would want to be.east or west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 12, 2015 Author Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 3:15 PM, packbacker said: TN looks to be in a good spot, that's where I would want to be.You can move! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 3:15 PM, packbacker said: TN looks to be in a good spot, that's where I would want to be. I agree but who knows where the bulls eye ends up. The way the models have been this year it could be Chicago... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 3:16 PM, franklin NCwx said: east or west? I'd say West of 77 in NC all the way to Memphis looks pretty good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VABILLUPS1 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 A sneaky 1" for E/SE VA tonight? NAM is spitting out .10 QPF, should be mostly snow. Can't get it wrong from > 12 hours out can it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 2:10 PM, SnowNiner said: Yeah, this storm has that written all over it IMO. I guess the trend south is something to watch. If it can get into GA/SC maybe it's a nice storm (like the UK shows currently?). But I still think this is a cutter or Apps runner and that's what we get, a shot of frozen followed by sweet, sweet cold rain. Am I the only one not impressed with the cold shot? CLT is forecasted to go mid teens for lows and low 30s for highs. That's cold sure, but it's nothing we don't see a few times a winter. Probably. Highs in the 20s here on Sunday with lows possibly in the single digits on both Sunday and Monday mornings happens at most five days out of the year here in Hickory. Thus, we're talking about something that happens less than 1.5% of the days of the year. I call that impressive and memorable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 3:16 PM, franklin NCwx said: east or west? BNA is a good spot, but really anywhere along and north I-40 I think would be OK, unless all of a sudden this thing doesn't dig down into TX. Who knows really though, the models have been so bad at this range, I don't what we are seeing with model runs is what is going to verify. Though once it gets inside day 4 I would think we would have some idea. Seeing the big high in the atlantic it's hard to imagine the low tracking anywhere but over us or NW west of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 3:27 PM, calculus1 said: Probably. Highs in the 20s here on Sunday with lows possibly in the single digits on both Sunday and Monday mornings happens at most five days out of the year here in Hickory. Thus, we're talking about something that happens less than 1.5% of the days of the year. I call that impressive and memorable. Yeah, I guess if I had that forecast....single digit lows and mid 20 highs, that would indeed be impressive. Teens and 30s not so much IMO. I guess it could trend colder than that. Perhaps the most impressive thing about it is the very low dew points, the evaporational cooling that could take place. On 2/12/2015 at 3:39 PM, packbacker said: BNA is a good spot, but really anywhere along and north I-40 I think would be OK, unless all of a sudden this thing doesn't dig down into TX. Who knows really though, the models have been so bad at this range, I don't what we are seeing with model runs is what is going to verify. Though once it gets inside day 4 I would think we would have some idea. Seeing the big high in the atlantic it's hard to imagine the low tracking anywhere but over us or NW west of us. Agreed. Synoptically this just does not seem to be a good set up. Perhaps the high could trend more NW and the storm SE and we're in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NGA WINTER Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Is this turning into a minor event before we turn into rain? Optimism seems low here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 On 2/12/2015 at 3:45 PM, NGA WINTER said: Is this turning into a minor event before we turn into rain? Optimism seems low here. No...Most of us that don't seem too excited are on the eastern half of NC. Imo, at this point the further west you are the better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 I'm optimistic, though I am in a lot better spot than RDU, etc. Then again, I'm always optimic, though the trends have been good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 I'm quite excited about the potential here in Hickory. First chance in a year. As you can see in my sig below, I'm still waiting for even the first flake this winter season. Trends overnight were wonderful, and I hope they continue going forward. It's still 4+ days out, so it could turn out to be all rain once again, but I like my chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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