Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 12Z Nam looks like its trying to get its act together at 63hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nor Easter Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Wow 12Z NAM 500mb @63 starting to align the streams and phase. This run could be a hit for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 12z Nam... So close @72... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Wow 12Z NAM 500mb @63 starting to align the streams and phase. This run could be a hit for us. No, the front is too fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 At least it's worth watching.....unless your one of those who think the NAM is never right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PCT_ATC Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Wow 12Z NAM 500mb @63 starting to align the streams and phase. This run could be a hit for us. Now it wont, because you said it might. Hasn't anyone learned their lesson this winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Now it wont, because you said it might. Hasn't anyone learned their lesson this winter? Yeah, our comments change the atmosphere. The lesson I've learned about this winter is that there is no limit on the number of dumb posts that can be made. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nor Easter Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 No, the front is too fast. Not about the front. Its all about what's going on at 500mb. NAM is clearly trending with each run towards digging the northern s/w and phasing it in. This was very close to being big. Hopefully the trends of digging and an earlier phase continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 At least it's worth watching.....unless your one of those who think the NAM is never right. #faithintheflakes Actually, this wasn't too far off, and 60-80 hrs has been the timeframe when most threats this year have come into focus (read: been suddenly jogged north, or done some funky SNE end-run). I think there's at least a chance that something more could come of this - if that northern cold front slows down only slightly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nor Easter Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Now it wont, because you said it might. Hasn't anyone learned their lesson this winter? Makes sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Not about the front. Its all about what's going on at 500mb. NAM is clearly trending with each run towards digging the northern s/w and phasing it in. This was very close to being big. Hopefully the trends of digging and an earlier phase continue. Happy to stand corrected, but it seems like an earlier phase would only result in a solution that is better for SC/NC. We need the front to slow slightly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Yeah, our comments change the atmosphere. Butterfly effect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nor Easter Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Happy to stand corrected, but it seems like an earlier phase would only result in a solution that is better for SC/NC. We need the front to slow slightly. With an earlier phase the heights out in front rise which slows the advance of the front. We need an earlier phase for this to come up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 At least it's worth watching.....unless your one of those who think the NAM is never right. Streams are pretty close on the NAM (yes, my curiosity got to me and I looked). The NAM gets way too much hate, but I mean, it really is out of it's range at that time period. Probably noise and will adjust according soon. If I saw that on say the GFS or Euro, it would be legit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 We're in the shift to slam Boston time frame now so maybe the NAM is a sign. I wouldnt bet on it though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 We're in the shift to slam Boston time frame now so maybe the NAM is a sign. I wouldnt bet on it though.Speaking of which.. Decent chance this somehow crushes Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 We're in the shift to slam Boston time frame now so maybe the NAM is a sign. I wouldnt bet on it though. I can't remember who said that they thought the front would slow down and capture the low. I thought it was someone with some knowledge. Anyone remember? Someone reliable or just a weenie like me? I'm going to believe it's going to happen. Until it doesn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Streams are pretty close on the NAM (yes, my curiosity got to me and I looked). The NAM gets way too much hate, but I mean, it really is out of it's range at that time period. Probably noise and will adjust according soon. If I saw that on say the GFS or Euro, it would be legit. I'm bettin' we do, or start to, this run. Every gulf low has made it up to us this year, albeit as rain. Can our luck be that bad? Please, no one answer that rhetorical question as I fear the answer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Speaking of which.. Decent chance this somehow crushes Boston. Euro already showed how last night...wide hook around us and back for the slam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Euro already showed how last night...wide hook around us and back for the slam The blizzard was a bad sign... at least in recent history. Once big snow migrates to New England it's hard to get it back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 I can't remember who said that they thought the front would slow down and capture the low. I thought it was someone with some knowledge. Anyone remember? Someone reliable or just a weenie like me? I'm going to believe it's going to happen. Until it doesn't. This 'storm' has never looked like much in the real world IMO. It might happen but if it does not sure I'd be able to credit anyone from distance on the call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 The blizzard was a bad sign... at least in recent history. Once big snow migrates to New England it's hard to get it back. I thought the same d@mn thing....pattern set....game and match BUT, sometimes the pattern breaks down or so ever slightly shifts as we get near the end of the season to make a difference, so hopefully that happens or we are toast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Butterfly effect Yeah your post warmed the server just enough to bring this storm into position to slam us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 I'm bettin' we do, or start to, this run. Every gulf low has made it up to us this year, albeit as rain. Can our luck be that bad? Please, no one answer that rhetorical question as I fear the answer. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 At this lead for today's storm the north trend had already begun and would keep going until start time. Reason enough to not give up on this one till tomorrow afternoon IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 lol I said "DON'T ANSWER THAT!" lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 This 'storm' has never looked like much in the real world IMO. It might happen but if it does not sure I'd be able to credit anyone from distance on the call. For a while (and even now) I couldn't figure out what this thread was about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 For a while (and even now) I couldn't figure out what this thread was about. I think we are just making threads now hoping we catch something. I feel like Seattle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 For a while (and even now) I couldn't figure out what this thread was about. I know there was a run or two of the Canadian or something that had a decent event to our south. It is somewhat intriguing though the overwhelming consensus is for nothing too exciting.. the 500mb flow is flat and northern stream dominated. The anafront idea might be about the best/most believable one that's come out of it so far. Even that's a tough one to do well on here though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 The 500 looks a little better at 60... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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