Animal Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Any word on the UK. Assume is was not great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Any word on the UK. Assume is was not great Amped and north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Amped and north. looks like most will be cooked at this point. A front end bump over to mix or rain. Toss the NAM & Canadian Last hope will be the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 looks like most will be cooked at this point. A front end bump over to mix or rain. Toss the NAM & Canadian Last hope will be the euro why are you just arbitrarily tossing the NAM and Canadian? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 id hate to be an nws employee right now . nothing is going easy for those guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stlirish Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 I think there will definitely be some surprises with this storm. How the models verify vs. what happens tomorrow night through Monday should be interesting Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 31, 2015 Author Share Posted January 31, 2015 why are you just arbitrarily tossing the NAM and Canadian? Ukmets the outlier, if it scores a coupe I will give up on all model guidance lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Ukmets the outlier, if it scores a coupe I will give up on all model guidance lol GFS sort of in it's camp now, but the UKmet has definitely been the farthest north the last few days. I'm not saying rule it out either, i dont love the lack of blocking, my point was it just seems silly to toss half the model suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsteff Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Ukmets the outlier, if it scores a coupe I will give up on all model guidance lol It's like herding cats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stlirish Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Canadian and GFS are big hits of snow and ice. UK is outlier. NAM has slowly reversed its trend to be colder at 850s. This is far from over folks Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Canadian and GFS are big hits of snow and ice. UK is outlier. NAM has slowly reversed its trend to be colder at 850s. This is far from over folks Sent from my iPhone has anyone posted the GFS or UK output yet? Have seen NAM/Canadian... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 GGEM 30 mm of snow at KNYC between the front and back. Not sure who said long island would rain under the CCB on long Island. That was just awful analysis Great works guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nygmen Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 all models have winter storm warning snow totals for Li and nyc except the ukie and gfs it seems... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nygmen Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 GGEM 30 mm of snow at KNYC between the front and back. Not sure who said long island would rain under the CCB on long Island. That was just awful analysis Great works guys. does nyc and Li flip to plain rain on the ggem? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 31, 2015 Author Share Posted January 31, 2015 all models have winter storm warning snow totals for Li and nyc except the ukie and gfs it seems... Gfs is 6+ for nyc and NW Long Island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 GGEM 30 mm of snow at KNYC between the front and back. Not sure who said long island would rain under the CCB on long Island. That was just awful analysis Great works guys. I hope you mean LE, since 30 mm of snow is about 1.2" of snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stlirish Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Who's got play by play for Euro? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 id hate to be an nws employee right now . nothing is going easy for those guys Seems pretty straightforward to me. 5-10" for NYC and Long Island is likely overdone. With trends today, it might be hard to reach warning criteria. I said 3-6" yesterday afternoon, that still looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 GGEM 30 mm of snow at KNYC between the front and back. Not sure who said long island would rain under the CCB on long Island. That was just awful analysis Great works guys. The surface is warm for LI. Mid 30's. Your analysis with this entire event has been awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 If the Euro goes south I'm gonna pull my hair out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Canadian and GFS are big hits of snow and ice. UK is outlier. NAM has slowly reversed its trend to be colder at 850s. This is far from over folks Sent from my iPhone GFS is an inferno. It would be maybe a few hours of snow/sleet over to rain anywhere near the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Shore snow Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 I hope you mean LE, since 30 mm of snow is about 1.2" of snow... Move decimal point to the right one spot....30mm = 3cm = 12 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 I hope you mean LE, since 30 mm of snow is about 1.2" of snow... It's a foot of concrete with crap in between Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 12Z Summary Sun (2/2) - Mon (2/3) Storm. Start: Sunday 5- 10PM / End: Mon evening. NYC (5 boroughs / EWR/ CNJ N of 195)) QPF / Pcc type snow totals NAM: 1.25 - 1.50 (3 - 6 front end, mix, rain to snow) GFS : 1.25 - 1.50 (2 - 4, mix, rain to snow) GEFS: missed GGEM: 1.50+ (6 - 12, snow to mix to heavy snow) UKMET: 1.50+ ( 3- 6 snow to rain, back to heavy snow) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nygmen Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 The surface is warm for LI. Mid 30's. Your analysis with this entire event has been awful. i said it once and i will say it again...there will never be a time where nyc is getting hammered by the ccb and the north shore hills of Li are raining...so that wouldnt verify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 The Euro looks less amped than 00z but I'm on mobile so I don't have all my tools Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Snow to Western PA by Noon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsteff Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Move decimal point to the right one spot....30mm = 3cm = 12 inches huh, I think you mean 30 cm 11.88 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 GGEM 30 mm of snow at KNYC between the front and back. Not sure who said long island would rain under the CCB on long Island. That was just awful analysis Great works guys. I hope you mean LE, since 30 mm of snow is about 1.2" of snow... Move decimal point to the right one spot....30mm = 3cm = 12 inches sorry, but 30 mm = 3 cm = 1.2" - it's only 12" of snow if he's talking about liquid equivalents and he said "snow" not LE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 sorry, but 30 mm = 3 cm = 1.2" - it's only 12" of snow if he's talking about liquid equivalents and he said "snow" not LE. Yes . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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