MJO812 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Snow is about to move back into the area over the next hour And should give the area a few inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stlirish Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 So far there's been no warm push to the south of us... Interesting... Just read what Paul Kocin had to say... What did Paul say if you don't mind sharing here? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 For those that do warm up and change over to rain/freezing rain / sleet tomorrow... it looks like an inverted trough might be setting up for tomorrow afternoon. Its showing up on the 15h HRRR... could bring a few more inches on the backside of this event for those in NY. http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/ppapin/hrrr.php#diag Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 What did Paul say if you don't mind sharing here? Sent from my iPhone Check the vendor thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 For those that do warm up and change over to rain/freezing rain / sleet tomorrow... it looks like an inverted trough might be setting up for tomorrow afternoon. Its showing up on the 15h HRRR... could bring a few more inches on the backside of this event for those in NY. http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/ppapin/hrrr.php#diag I enjoy your posts in our regional sub forum. Thank you, we need more mets in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 2, 2015 Author Share Posted February 2, 2015 For those that do warm up and change over to rain/freezing rain / sleet tomorrow... it looks like an inverted trough might be setting up for tomorrow afternoon. Its showing up on the 15h HRRR... could bring a few more inches on the backside of this event for those in NY. http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/ppapin/hrrr.php#diag Rap does this as well, great post thank u Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
viking70 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Check the vendor thread. Can you post a link to the vendor thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Can you post a link to the vendor thread? It's another thread in this forum.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 2, 2015 Author Share Posted February 2, 2015 Newest HRRR is impressive, suggest coastal redevelopment and has many back in HEAVY snow till 3pm Rap looks identical as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 So far there's been no warm push to the south of us... Interesting... Just read what Paul Kocin had to say... Warm air and mix line have been screaming NE ward for a few hours - went from Wilmington to Trenton in under 2 hours and should be up here in Edison by 3 am. No idea why you think there's been no warm push to the south of you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Upton raised snow amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Anyone have access to the short term models for an ending time? Or, iow, am i the only one having issues with the hrrr and other stuff? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stlirish Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 RGEM, GFS, NAM, UK....blew this one. This one goes to the Euro. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 2, 2015 Author Share Posted February 2, 2015 Anyone have access to the short term models for an ending time? Or, iow, am i the only one having issues with the hrrr and other stuff? Latest HRRR run keeps the entire area in moderate/light snows till after 6pm, it's really liking the idea of a back end band setting up from eastern PA points west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 2, 2015 Author Share Posted February 2, 2015 City isn't done accumulating yet according to HRRR.. This is 3pm but it keeps this band overhead till after 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 KNYC LGA now down to 29. 29 to 30 across the N shore. 31 to 33 on the S shore and dropping. Long Island could be looking at ice amounts of .25 now. Then when the 850 fly S then we flip back to snow. The BL got stuck. Once the coatal took over . There is plenty of precip off to the SW moving NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeysed Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 is the freezing line retreating? Temps are dropping and radar looks to reverse the precip types back south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 I ran the OZ NAM soundings for my lat/long. Surface stays below freezing the entire time, in fact it is warmest when it is snowing and then starts to fall as the uppers warm. Between 12z and 18z Monday is basically an icestorm on the north shore...possibly .5"+. The depends on how much falls as sleet during the first and last parts of that period, but Monday could be pretty ugly. We snow up until about 7AM at which point we go over to sleet. Not sure how long the transition to Freezing rain will take because I get the soundings in 3 hour increments, but at 10AM it is a frozen mess (ZR). By 1PM we are transitioning back and are either sleet or a sleet/snow mix. We get close to .75" liquid during that period and my interpretation is that it falls mostly as freezing rain. Again, this is a reading of the 0Z NAM soundings, not a forecast, although it could conceivably work out similar to that. Also, looks like about 5" of snow prior to the taint. Ends as snow, but only light amounts. Not sure about other parts of the region, but the NAM actually did quite well on this one and also had good run to run consistency. Just when you thought it was safe to ignore it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.