UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Figured since things may get a little congested we can keep the model discussion in here and all other thoughts regarding the storm in the main thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 rumor has it the srefs came north. not a great start if correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
christhesnowman Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Nam it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 its south at 36 will post graphics deeper in run light snow at 39 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam/2015013112/nam_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_12.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 31, 2015 Author Share Posted January 31, 2015 Nam through 42 seems a tad South but not buy much, just as amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 31, 2015 Author Share Posted January 31, 2015 HR45 NAM heavy snow for all of NYC, Long Island, northern Jersey, and LHV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Nam through 42 seems a tad South but not buy much, just as amped take the pbp OC thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 31, 2015 Author Share Posted January 31, 2015 Hr48 heavy snow NNJ, LHV, NYC is the battle ground for mix line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 31, 2015 Author Share Posted January 31, 2015 HR51, heavy snow continue for NNJ LHV, Long Island, NYC heavy mixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 31, 2015 Author Share Posted January 31, 2015 Everyone is back to all snow by hr 57 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 HR51, heavy snow continue for NNJ LHV, Long Island, NYC heavy mixedYou gotta figure theres a chance if it's heavy it could stay all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Don S , NAMs Highest 850 at 0z KNYC 3.1 6z it was 1.3 Do you have the 12z top tick ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Nice tick south from 6z as its beginning to see how formidable that CAD is going to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 31, 2015 Author Share Posted January 31, 2015 You gotta figure theres a chance if it's heavy it could stay all snow I would agree.. It's sooo close, if nyc stays all snow they're well over a foot.. Puts out 1.0"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 This looks a little colder/south of 2 prior runs.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Nice tick south from 6z as its beginning to see how formidable that CAD is going to be. KNYC sleets for about 3 hours . Great run . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 NAM looks like a peltfest for the City. 850 0C creeps up to about the Merritt. Plenty cold at the surface though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 NAM was south @ 6Z and further now at 12Z. At least it keeps Middlesex County in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Don S , NAMs Highest 850 at 0z KNYC 3.1 6z it was 1.3 Do you have the 12z top tick ? Surface freeze line can't make it past Sandy Hook this run. So we have Sandy Hook for NAM and Toms River for 0z Euro surface 32 line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 31, 2015 Author Share Posted January 31, 2015 Nam puts out 1.0"+ for everyone except far NW burbs.. With ratios I would say a general 12-15" north of rockland and depending on if nyc can stay all snow or not 6-10 before a changeover, if they stay all snow nyc could see 12" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 This looks a little colder/south of 2 prior runs.... How far north does the 0 line tick? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Verbatim 8"+ rt.78 north....consistent with nws New York forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Don S , NAMs Highest 850 at 0z KNYC 3.1 6z it was 1.3 Do you have the 12z top tick ? .7 - So that's 3 runs in a row Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 31, 2015 Author Share Posted January 31, 2015 Central Jersey is almost 1.5"qpf too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 How far north does the 0 line tick? About rt.78/280 for a couple hours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Nice tick south from 6z as its beginning to see how formidable that CAD is going to be. This is prob all snow for the N shore of Nassau County where there is still 20 inches OTG . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 http://climate.cod.edu/data/forecast/NAM/12/NE/namNE_prec_precacc_057.gif hr 57 --4:00 pm Monday http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/ do we toss???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Nice start clown maps anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 So the mixing will be more sleet or freezing rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metsfan Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 NAM looks like a peltfest for the City. 850 0C creeps up to about the Merritt. Plenty cold at the surface though. Agree. esp City on East. Hour 51 on the soundings per plymouth site show Long Island with +2 850s with surface well below freezing. Sleet only last three hours though, but will certainly cut down accumulations a tad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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