Gilbertfly Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 gonna come in very wet...by H33....00Z and 18Z again... 00Z 18Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Not at all. I was just surprised by the method. It is crazy. Sorry, didn't mean to make it like I was yelling at you. More like shaking my fist in the air and yelling at nobody in particular All is well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 More ridging as well out ahead of it at 30hr along the Mississippi River. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Epic NAM run taking shape. Interested to see how it handles the lake effect Sunday night into Monday. The more I looked at soundings and low level convergence and omega, the more impressed I got. 18z NAM had 950-900 mb omegas pegging 10 at 9z Monday morning in the convergent band across northeast IL and extreme NW IN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 00z NAM a touch farther south with the rain/snow line west of here at 36 hours. May help us down the line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geddyweather Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Epic NAM run taking shape. Sent from my SM-G900V Bring it. Definitely looks to be another juicy run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Continues to be a bit stronger than the 18z thru 42 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Wow, this run is loaded. Might get a band of close to 1.5" precip somewhere by the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 850mb low is strengthening faster and looks like it will turn more ENE already after 36hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wegoweather Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Epic NAM run taking shape. LoL. After explaining to my wife (who hates snow) who RC is, she read this and dropped an F bomb in front of the kids.Last she had heard was 3-6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainman Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 More aggressive building in trailing high pressure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 00z NAM a touch farther south with the rain/snow line west of here at 36 hours. May help us down the line.Because there didn't look to be any sneaky warm layers above 950 mb, good forcing and wet bulbing should have a better chance to (hopefully) keep you guys as snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 850mb low is strengthening faster and looks like it will turn more ENE already after 36hr. Yeah the LP is moving more ENE than E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 LoL. After explaining to my wife (who hates snow) who RC is, she read this and dropped an F bomb in front of the kids. Last she had heard was 3-6. Haha wow. How was she aware if I may ask? From the AFD or something else? If you want you can PM me to avoid cluttering the thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Its been fun watching the the shortwave interaction and the impact it has had on the amplitude of the trough and a more defined surface and low level circulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 I hope the Super Bowl is as exciting as everyone's model play by play here lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Because there didn't look to be any sneaky warm layers above 950 mb, good forcing and wet bulbing should have a better chance to (hopefully) keep you guys as snow. That is good to hear. I was even starting to sweat it here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainman Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Yeah the LP is moving more ENE than E. Detroit ftw? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Looking forward to your updated sig on Monday! Haha, yeah me too. Deleting that will be a treat. Interesting to see it's snowing in Kansas where they were in the 80s a few days ago. NAM is looking great so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Detroit ftw? Looks like a solid 10"+ for DTW on the Nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Its been fun watching the the shortwave interaction and the impact it has had on the amplitude of the trough and a more defined surface and low level circulation. Totally agree. This has had fun interaction effects causing quite the various solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Nam 54 hrs http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015013100&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=054 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Sharp cut-off for the GTA between north and south. Precip isnt as extensive as the 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 If anything the sfc low is a touch weaker/SE at 48hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Clowning hard, avg of 12.5 with none under 7.0" for DTW. The biggest, the op nam with 17.5" 21z SREF mean for DTW is now 12.8", FWIW... EDIT: ninja'd If this happened it would totally redeem and validate this entire garbage winter in my eyes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Sharp cut-off for the GTA between north and south. Precip isnt as extensive as the 18z. Without ratios looks like a solid 3-5" on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afterimage Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Because there didn't look to be any sneaky warm layers above 950 mb, good forcing and wet bulbing should have a better chance to (hopefully) keep you guys as snow. do you think the overall pattern suggests the NAM type solution, more north, or a blend of the 3, and not as much WAA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 00Z NAM Snow Map: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Both the 0z NAM/4km NAM are drier across northeast IL, not by huge amounts but not the 1" liquid values Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 If this happened it would totally redeem and validate this entire garbage winter in my eyes. 00z NAM still looks solid for us. No better or worse than the 18z NAM run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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