cyclone77 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Nice. Good luck to you cyclone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Well its about time. IMO i think there should be a SWS for the GTA. I think they will hoist one, but I dunno. Lambton, Middlesex, Oxford, and Brant counties should all be under watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Through 39h, 16-20" across far SE Michigan and NW Ohio on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 42h, 18-22" across SEMI/NWOH, still snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Good luck to you cyclone! You too. Gonna be a fun one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 IWX going HAM: URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA327 PM EST SAT JAN 31 2015MIZ081-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-010430-/O.EXT.KIWX.WS.W.0002.150201T0300Z-150202T1200Z/HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HILLSDALE...LITCHFIELD...JONESVILLE...BRYAN...MONTPELIER...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...FAYETTE...SWANTON...DEFIANCE...SHERWOOD...HICKSVILLE...NAPOLEON...DESHLER...LIBERTY CENTER...PAULDING...ANTWERP...MELROSE...OTTAWA...PANDORA...KALIDA...FORT JENNINGS327 PM EST SAT JAN 31 2015...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO7 AM EST MONDAY...THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENINGTO 7 AM EST MONDAY.HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * HEAVY SNOW...10 TO 15 INCHES STORM TOTAL. THE PERIOD OF HEAVIEST SNOW EXPECTED DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS ON SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY EVENING. * BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...ESPECIALLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.IMPACTS... * PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW MAKING TRAVEL DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE. SOME UNPLOWED ROADS WILL BECOME IMPASSIBLE. * BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. * VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES IN HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.TIMING... * SNOW WILL BEGIN LATE THIS EVENING AS IT SPREADS FROM WEST TO EAST. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY...THEN TAPER LATE SUNDAY NIGHT FROM WEST TO EAST.CONFIDENCE... * CONFIDENCE IS VERY HIGH THAT HEAVY SNOW WILL OCCUR. HOWEVER THERE IS MEDIUM CONFIDENCE WITH RESPECT TO AMOUNTS AND THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE HEAVIEST SNOW.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING AND DRIFTINGSNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OROCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILLMAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUSTTRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOURVEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 trends are just amazing with this storm...hope it keeps up! First flakes about 12 hours away... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 I think they will hoist one, but I dunno. Lambton, Middlesex, Oxford, and Brant counties should all be under watch. They'll probably get warned at some point. Are you in London or Etobicoke? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mogget Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Winter Storm Warning for Green Country, Wisconsin. I think all the border counties of Wisconsin have gone to Warnings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 I think that's kind of nuts, especially for their southern tier of counties. Models are really coalescing around the I-94 corridor getting slammed. I can't help but find GRR very irritating. All the models now are showing much of their area getting 6 to 12 inches, and they JUST budge the southern counties in a warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Extrapolating that map makes me a happy man. Also for reference, CLE's thoughts from FB: That's a rare map from Cleveland NWS. I might want to frame it and put it on the wall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 They'll probably get warned at some point. Are you in London or Etobicoke? The 'coke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 I can't help but find GRR very irritating. All the models now are showing much of their area getting 6 to 12 inches, and they JUST budge the southern counties in a warning. At least they're touting possibility of 12"+ now... URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 322 PM EST SAT JAN 31 2015 MIZ064>067-071>074-010430- /O.UPG.KGRR.WW.Y.0006.150201T0000Z-150202T1100Z/ /O.NEW.KGRR.WS.W.0002.150201T0000Z-150202T1100Z/ ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOLLAND...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE... LANSING...SOUTH HAVEN...KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON 322 PM EST SAT JAN 31 2015 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND BECOME MODERATE TO HEAVY SUNDAY. * TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 8 TO 12 INCHES EXPECTED BY MONDAY MORNING. HIGHEST AMOUNTS WILL OCCUR FROM SOUTH HAVEN TO JACKSON WHERE A FOOT OR MORE OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE. * NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT CREATING BLOWING AND DRIFTING CONDITIONS. IMPACTS... * VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS * EVENT DELAYS AND CLOSURES * BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW MAY REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO A FEW CAR LENGTHS AT TIMES...RESULTING IN SOME ACCIDENTS AND SLIDEOFFS PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * THE MICHIGAN DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION REMINDS MOTORISTS TO ADJUST SPEEDS BASED ON THE CONDITIONS... AND TO TAKE IT SLOW IN ICE AND SNOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eureka22 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 The 12 inch map blown up for archival purposes. Doesn't happen that often around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 It has been great seeing the suppose to be sunny/warm WM Phoenix Open being played in the rain yesterday and occasional rain today knowing that moisture is being feed into this storm!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Cold sector is starting to fatten up. Such a great feed of moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 At least they're touting possibility of 12"+ now... True. They still have the Muskegon area under 2 to 5 inches only, even though all the models show 6 to 12 inches for the area. They are the most stubborn NWS station! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Foot line up to the Toronto lakeshore on the 18z NAM Kuchera augmented map. Don't believe it for a second but for eye candy sake. And god bless the DTW-TOL corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 The ball's in your hands now, DTX: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxhstn74 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Super Snow For Super Bowl Sunday...Looking Better! http://weatherhistorian.blogspot.com/2015/01/super-snow-for-super-bowl-sundaylooking.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Foot line up to the Toronto lakeshore on the 18z NAM Kuchera augmented map. Don't believe it for a second but for eye candy sake. And god bless the DTW-TOL corridor. Wow. DTW going to get smoked with this storm. Would be nice to get an over achiever like the Dec 11th storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Foot line up to the Toronto lakeshore on the 18z NAM Kuchera augmented map. Don't believe it for a second but for eye candy sake. And god bless the DTW-TOL corridor. Say what ... you don't believe it ... man you're really busting my bubble today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjwise Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 The ball's in your hands now, DTX: US_1.png They're going WSW southern three tiers per latest AFD. WATCH HEADLINES WILL BE UPGRADED TO A WARNING WITH THE AFTERNOON FORECAST PACKAGE AND AN ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED FOR THE I-69 CORRIDOR ALL BEGINNING 06Z TONIGHT AND ENDING 12Z MONDAY. THE EXPIRATION IS EXTENDED OVER THE WATCH VALID TIME TO ENCOMPASS A SLIGHTLY SLOWER SYSTEM DEPARTURE. THE ADDITION OF THE M-59 CORRIDOR TO THE WARNING IS BASED ON THE EXPECTATION OF SNOWFALL TOTALS REACHING OR EXCEEDING 6 INCHES IN THE 9 TO 12 HOUR PERIOD FROM ABOUT 21Z SUNDAY TO 09Z MONDAY MORNING...BUT ALSO WITH A HIGH LIKELIHOOD THAT EVENT TOTALS WILL REACH 8 INCHES ALONG THE I-96/696 CORRIDOR. TOTALS WILL EASILY EXCEED 8 INCHES FOR THE 24-30 HOUR EVENT FROM ANN ARBOR TO DETROIT AND SOUTH TO THE OHIO BORDER. THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR DOUBLE DIGIT ACCUMULATION REMAINS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE I-94 CORRIDOR WHERE ONSET WILL BEGIN FIRST TONIGHT SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT AND END CLOSER TO SUNRISE MONDAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Super Snow For Super Bowl Sunday...Looking Better! http://weatherhistorian.blogspot.com/2015/01/super-snow-for-super-bowl-sundaylooking.html Excellent writeup as usual, always a big fan of your work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Say what ... you don't believe it ... man you're really busting my bubble today. I'm setting my disappointment line at 3". Anything north of there is sweet gravy. What's yours? 10". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 always fun to watch.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 They're going WSW southern three tiers per latest AFD. "TOTALS WILL EASILY EXCEED 8 INCHES FOR THE 24-30 HOUR EVENT FROM ANN ARBOR TO DETROIT AND SOUTH TO THE OHIO BORDER." Those are always nice words to hear... Aaaand according to my weather radio, warning is now issued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 I know its easy to go 8-12" because 6-10/8-12 is the common range given for many a big snowstorm here, but I think its going to be depend how things start out tomorrow. Depending how much snow has fallen by the 1pm observation may dictate if they actual go all into those amounts. I mean, if we are at like 3-5" by lunchtime tomorrow and have another 20 hours of snow to go (with the heaviest to come Sunday evening), they will have no choice to bite on 12"+ amounts. Temps will be in the teens most of the storm and it wont be pixie dust, so I imagine some fluff to the snow ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STL Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 always fun to watch.... WX porn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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