Thundersnow12 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Looks like the Euro lost the 1.4" liquid area but it's a bit further north with the 1" and 1.2" liquid contours across northern IL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjwise Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 9z SREF is rediculous @ KRFD, mean ~15.3 in, max 21 in, min 11 in ; no members below 10in... One Cluster.. Very Interesting, same is true for the rest of N ILL... 9Z sref is pretty wild on a strip extending from SEMI across to Northern Ill, barely any sub-foot ensemble members. Given the juiciness of the 12Z NAM, I'm interested to see if the ensembles hold serve in the next SREF run or if turds are introduced into the punchbowl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 12z vs 0z total QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 9z SREF is rediculous @ KRFD, mean ~15.3 in, max 21 in, min 11 in ; no members below 10in... One Cluster.. Very Interesting, same is true for the rest of N ILL... 15-17" along I-94 into Michigan as well going east. Basically the same range you mentioned, basically between I-80 in Ohio and I-96 in MI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 For the region that matters: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Glad to see IND continuing to wait and see how all this just might play out.. Up to 39 IMBY, feeling pretty nice outside! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjwise Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 For the region that matters: untitled.png DTX is going to have to raise totals significantly in PM update. They are way undershooting OP NAM, OP GFS, SREF, and OP EURO at this point. I think they'll go with a 12" upper end headline for southern counties. EDIT: This will also have the unusual feature of temps in the teens during nearly all of the event. Usually the juiced events locally are fingernail biters too for marginal temps. (Jan 4/5 2014 was one of those with rain/snow line just over the border in ohio)). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Still can't decide on the timing of all this. I have a party in Joliet at 7 tonight. Drive home to DKB might be dicey at 11. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Glad to see IND continuing to wait and see how all this just might play out.. Up to 39 IMBY, feeling pretty nice outside! Tough forecast around IND...really only the Canadian suite on their side in terms of big snow so it's hard to feel good at this point. I think Brandon mentioned there could be quite a north/south gradient around there and no reason to doubt that at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Looks like the Euro lost the 1.4" liquid area but it's a bit further north with the 1" and 1.2" liquid contours across northern IL which in all honesty prolly means even more for most in chi-metro as it may not be handling the LE banding as well as some of the other high res guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Yeah Indy is tough. I could see Noblesville getting 6 to 7" with downtown getting 3 or so of slop and the far South side getting almost none. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 For the region that matters: untitled.png First time that the Euro has shown DTW in the 15"+ contour. 13" or bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Tough forecast around IND...really only the Canadian suite on their side in terms of big snow so it's hard to feel good at this point. I think Brandon mentioned there could be quite a north/south gradient around there and no reason to doubt that at this point. Found this from eastern. Thought you'd get a laugh lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Man, the 4km NAM depicts some solid low level convergence much of Sunday for MKE. Really like the lake enhancement. There is a sharp peak of convergence between 03z and 06z as low level winds back and a single band develops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 12z GEFS bumped the 850 mb u-wind (easterly LLJ strength) anomalies to 3-4SD early tomorrow evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 For the region that matters: untitled.png Looks like a good hit for many people! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Screenshot_2015-01-31-10-43-51-1-1.png Found this from eastern. Thought you'd get a laugh lol. lol, can't say I remember typing that but it was a while ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Torchin' at 33 here in Detroit currently. But I doubt it affects much as temperatures this far north are going to be very cold come tomorrow morning.Actually pretty beautiful out today. Outside of the high clouds skirting in, you'd never know such a big storm was headed this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Someone should start a thread to guess storm totals. This storm seems to give everyone a nice dosage of snow would be fun to see who can come closest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Torchin' at 33 here in Detroit currently. But I doubt it effects much as temperatures this far north are going to be very cold come tomorrow morning. Actually pretty beautiful out today. Outside of the high clouds skirting in, you'd never know such a big storm was headed this way. Thats a sign that something big is brewing... like a heatwave outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Someone should start a thread to guess storm totals. This storm seems to give everyone a nice dosage of snow would be fun to see who can come closest. Tim's way ahead of you. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/45568-contest-january-31-february-2-total-snowfall/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 12z GEFS bumped the 850 mb u-wind (easterly LLJ strength) anomalies to 3-4SD early tomorrow evening. Last 3 runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 lol, can't say I remember typing that but it was a while ago. Lol yea i seen it earlier. Got a good laugh. I don't think you was a moderator then even. Anyways good luck to all you guys on the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 12z GEFS bumped the 850 mb u-wind (easterly LLJ strength) anomalies to 3-4SD early tomorrow evening. Full of GHD nostalgia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Thats a sign that something big is brewing... like a heatwave outside 35 on the "bank clock" now. Last 3 runs gfs.gif Very nice. Thanks for this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
*IndyMeso* Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Yeah Indy is tough. I could see Noblesville getting 6 to 7" with downtown getting 3 or so of slop and the far South side getting almost none. I'm in a tricky spot for sure. In the last 24 hours I have seen ranges of 3-10 inches in just Hamilton County alone. As said before I'm keeping my eye on the temps but I'm going to go less than you. This north trend is just too much to hold out hope for. My call for Noblesville: 3.5 inches. Just a county north could end up with 5-6 and Indy getting 2-3. It's going to be a tight gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Tim's way ahead of you. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/45568-contest-january-31-february-2-total-snowfall/ Sorry was on my phone didn't even realize. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 If LOT pulls the trigger on blizzard warnings, will be interesting to see if it's just the lakeshore counties or area wide. Stronger winds are not perfectly correlated with the entire length of the storm but certainly the back half or so looks windy with strongest gusts probably in areas near the lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Latest snowfall map update should be on the web within the hour. Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Latest snowfall map update should be on the web within the hour. Sent from my SM-G900V Do we get a sneak peek? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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