Thundersnow12 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 yeah...NMM may bust a few 1.5+ lolli's in LOT by the looks of it through H34 Looked like 1.75" lakeside and 1.50" lakeside on the ARW, very impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 That map included a 10.6" report from DTW, and a 9.9" report from Wyandotte... Yeah....we each got 0.4" after 7am tho for total of 11.0 and 10.3 in wyandotte. Gee I wonder where that 8" came from...Dearborn or Grosse Pointe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 My gosh. 2" liquid for lakeside/Alek on the NMM and 1.50" on the ARW. Extremely impressive. Love beefing up amounts as we get closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Looked like 1.75" lakeside and 1.50" lakeside on the ARW, very impressive yeah...keeps going up as the plume works through.... ALEK going on jeb snowmobile rides monday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 12z GEFs seem fairly supportive of the OP GFS run. edit: just saw the mean. It's almost identical. Normal spread with the individual members between a few that are a little more amped, and a few that are a little more progressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 yeah...keeps going up as the plume works through.... ALEK going on jeb snowmobile rides monday morning I'm extremely happy about my location on the southside a block from the lake. Think I can pull off some of the higher totals in the CWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 12z GEFs seem fairly supportive of the OP GFS run. Oh boy. If the Euro jumps that way this place is going to be nuts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMidwest Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Here are some other models: HopWRF, which has axis of snow over N ILL, but too generous with snowfall amounts: The other is the WGN RPM Model which has the axis again further north over the IL/WI stateline, more realistic snowfall values then the hop, and nice L.E. for Lake, Cook, and Kenosha counties: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Yeah....we each got 0.4" after 7am tho for total of 11.0 and 10.3 in wyandotte. Gee I wonder where that 8" came from...Dearborn or Grosse Pointe? Yeah, but that sounds about right for this side of town into the immediate NE suburbs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 saw this on facebook. Looks like a blind squirrel almost found a nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Here are some other models: HopWRF, which has axis of snot over N ILL, but too generous with snowfall amounts: hop.png The HopWRF wins for most offensive color scheme. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMidwest Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 The HopWRF wins for most offensive color scheme. x INF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 saw this on facebook. Looks like a blind squirrel almost found a nut HAHA, yeah I posted that on Jan 15th, and honestly did cross my fingers.. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STL Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 So caught up with the models that i forgot to look at the Radar. Looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Nice 10" band by 15z works for me and loving that sfc low location Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 So caught up with the models that i forgot to look at the Radar. Looks good. Yes it does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Everytime I check it's wagons north. Could be Jan 5th redux. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Through 12 hours, the 12z Euro already appears a tad bit more amped up than 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 9z SREF plumes were disappointing here but with the 12z NAM looking very good and the RGEM continuing to show a big hit, it raises my optimism a bit. I think yesterday's call of 7-10" here is still feasible at this point and will hold off on a final until later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Through 24 hours there isn't a big difference with the Euro...although it does appear a little bit stronger with the sfc low and gets heavier QPF a bit farther north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjwise Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 NWS forecast says 6-9" as of right now for DTW, 9Z SREF says 12-22" (mean: 16"). That's actually a pretty tight spread for the SREF when it comes to these sorts of situations. Wow. I think DTX has been wagering on a southerly path to say the least. Will be interesting to see what they do this PM. WSW for the southern tier of 4 counties seems a safe bet at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 So caught up with the models that i forgot to look at the Radar. Looks good. Wagon's wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Blind squirrels are finding lots of nuts these days. Didn't the Canadian have this storm about 240 hours back? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Yeah stronger sfc low in CO at 12hr and larger/wetter expansion of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 NWS forecast says 6-9" as of right now for DTW, 9Z SREF says 12-22" (mean: 16"). Wow. I think DTX has been wagering on a southerly path to say the least. Will be interesting to see what they do this PM. WSW for the southern tier of 4 counties seems a safe bet at least. WPC seems to be banking on a southerly route as well. I've noticed their maps have the 8 and 12" chance contours mostly to the south of MI. Will be interesting to see if they stick to their guns or budge them a bit north more in line with what the NAM and GFS have shown recently which is quite displaced from where their best chances for the big snows are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 NWS forecast says 6-9" as of right now for DTW, 9Z SREF says 12-22" (mean: 16"). Wow. I think DTX has been wagering on a southerly path to say the least. Will be interesting to see what they do this PM. WSW for the southern tier of 4 counties seems a safe bet at least. I'm thinking they'll include the 3rd row of southern counties in the Warning as well, with Advisories a row of counties or 2 more of there. PRobably will have wording for 6-10" in their headline, with 8-12" in their headline for the Ohio Border counties... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 I'm thinking they'll include the 3rd row of southern counties in the Warning as well, with Advisories a row of counties or 2 more of there. PRobably will have wording for 6-10" in their headline, with 8-12" in their headline for the Ohio Border counties... Sounds about right to me. I think they forecasted 6-10" when the Super Clipper hit too. That almost always is the higher-end of what they forecast (and usually they're right) except for on GHD when they were saying 10-15". That was the most I've ever seen them put in a warning outside of the blizzard of 1999. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 I'm thinking they'll include the 3rd row of southern counties in the Warning as well, with Advisories a row of counties or 2 more of there. PRobably will have wording for 6-10" in their headline, with 8-12" in their headline for the Ohio Border counties... 4 rows with warning, maybe not far western part of the state. Sad thing is, I'll miss the whole storm. I'm in the UP, 3 feet in Paradise right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 4 rows with warning, maybe not far western part of the state. Sad thing is, I'll miss the whole storm. I'm in the UP, 3 feet in Paradise right now. Thanks for taking one for the team!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMidwest Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 9z SREF is rediculous @ KRFD, mean ~15.3 in, max 21 in, min 11 in ; no members below 10in... One Cluster.. Very Interesting, same is true for the rest of N ILL... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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