DAFF Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 How much of lake Erie is frozen over I wonder??? Drifting off the lakes might be crippling for some with these snow amounts. Perhaps EC is forecasting snow rates for Windsor.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 How much of lake Erie is frozen over I wonder??? Drifting off the lakes might be crippling for some with these snow amounts. Perhaps EC is forecasting snow rates for Windsor.... The lake enhancement off of some of the lakes could be a bigger deal. I know here along Lake Michigan we have the sand dunes that block all the snow from drifting too much farther inland. I should know, as two winters ago I went for a hike and went down a dune to end up in snow up to my shoulders! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 9z plume at JOT Mean close to 15 and nearly all members are from 13 to 17 inches At ord... Mean close to 18 and nearly all members in the 15 to 22 range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Locked and loaded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Big jump in the 9z SREF mean for YYZ. 0.55" of QPF, up from 0.36" at 3z. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Big jump in the 9z SREF mean for YYZ. 0.55" of QPF, up from 0.36" at 3z. Wow. Models converging here as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Detriot SREF plumes at 16 inches, Chicago over 18. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 How much of lake Erie is frozen over I wonder??? Drifting off the lakes might be crippling for some with these snow amounts. Perhaps EC is forecasting snow rates for Windsor.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 For the record... Detroit's biggest snowstorms. 1. April 6, 1886 , 24.5" 2 . December 1-2, 1974 , 19.3" 3 . March 4-5, 1900, 16.1" 4. February 28-March 1, 1900 , 14.0" 5 . December 18-19, 1929 , 13.8" Obviously some of the American guidance output would be very rare air for Detroit if it comes even close to fruition. Definitely potential there to crack top 3! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 31, 2015 Author Share Posted January 31, 2015 SREF mean is up to 18.1" at ORD... The spread is 10.7"-23.1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Nrn wave digging yet again more than the previous run through 12hrs and is wetter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 SREF mean is up to 18.1" at ORD... The spread is 10.7"-23.1" Wow. Looks like it is becoming quite the storm for you guys! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Looks like the rain/snow line makes it to even IKK now briefly.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Nrn wave digging yet again more than the previous run through 12hrs and is wetter. Its a bit stronger through 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Nrn wave digging yet again more than the previous run through 12hrs and is wetter. yup wetter again and it looks like a continuation of the tilt that the 6Z started Edit....by H36 still a little wetter in spots....net effect appears to be the QPF shield condensed a little bit in a few spots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Its a bit stronger through 24 hours. Going to be worse for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 WOW. Latest SREF mean for DTW now up to 16.1"! The lowest member is 11.6" and the highest is 21.4". If you just want to look at qpf, the mean is 1.02", the lowest member being 0.56" and the highest 1.29". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 WOW. Latest SREF mean for DTW now up to 16.1"! The lowest member is 11.6" and the highest is 21.4". If you just want to look at qpf, the mean is 1.02", the lowest member being 0.56" and the highest 1.29". About time you showed up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Just a friendly notice for those who may not be aware...SREF mean is almost always grossly inflated for events like these. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Looks a bit south at 27hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Still south at 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 An EC met just posted to twitter the Canadian is too far south - perhaps they'll be upgrading the forecasts with the 11am updates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobertSul Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 48+ hours out, sure. But the trend is undeniable and it performed very well for New England's blizzard last week. Just a friendly notice for those who may not be aware...SREF mean is almost always grossly inflated for events like these. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Just a friendly notice for those who may not be aware...SREF mean is almost always grossly inflated for events like these. Wait what ... Mike say it ain't so ... I have a 16.5" mean ... I'm taking it to the bank man!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 LAF,MIE took big hits on the plumes, nearly cut in half Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 48+ hours out, sure. But the trend is undeniable and it performed very well for New England's blizzard last week. I'm telling you now, if you're expecting widespread 12-18", you're going to be disappointed. SREF is using untenable SLRs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Wait what ... Mike say it ain't so ... I have a 16.5" mean ... I'm taking it to the bank man!!! I'm still waiting for the last 9" of the 21" the SREF had for YYZ for the February 8, 2013 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 I'm telling you now, if you're expecting widespread 12-18", you're going to be disappointed. SREF is using untenable SLRs. Have you looked at them? Don't look untenable around here and points east... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Definitely a bit weaker aloft on the 12z NAM at 36 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 An EC met just posted to twitter the Canadian is too far south - perhaps they'll be upgrading the forecasts with the 11am updates He seems to have mentioned the 12z RGEM which doesn't come out for a while. I wonder if EC runs it in house before releasing it to the public. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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