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January 31-February 2nd Winter Storm Part 2


Chicago Storm

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  On 1/31/2015 at 1:44 PM, DAFF said:

How much of lake Erie is frozen over I wonder??? Drifting off the lakes might be crippling for some with these snow amounts.

 

Perhaps EC is forecasting snow rates for Windsor....

The lake enhancement off of some of the lakes could be a bigger deal.

 

I know here along Lake Michigan we have the sand dunes that block all the snow from drifting too much farther inland. I should know, as two winters ago I went for a hike and went down a dune to end up in snow up to my shoulders!

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  On 1/31/2015 at 1:32 PM, IthielZ said:

For the record... Detroit's biggest snowstorms.

1. April 6, 1886 , 24.5"

2 . December 1-2, 1974 , 19.3"

3 . March 4-5, 1900, 16.1"

4. February 28-March 1, 1900 , 14.0"

5 . December 18-19, 1929 , 13.8"

Obviously some of the American guidance output would be very rare air for Detroit if it comes even close to fruition.

 

Definitely potential there to crack top 3! :mapsnow:

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  On 1/31/2015 at 2:03 PM, Thundersnow12 said:

Nrn wave digging yet again more than the previous run through 12hrs and is wetter.

 

yup wetter again and it looks like a continuation of the tilt that the 6Z started

 

Edit....by H36 still a little wetter in spots....net effect appears to be the QPF shield condensed a little bit in a few spots

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48+ hours out, sure. But the trend is undeniable and it performed very well for New England's blizzard last week.

  On 1/31/2015 at 2:14 PM, snowstormcanuck said:

Just a friendly notice for those who may not be aware...SREF mean is almost always grossly inflated for events like these.

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  On 1/31/2015 at 2:17 PM, on_wx said:

An EC met just posted to twitter the Canadian is too far south - perhaps they'll be upgrading the forecasts with the 11am updates

 

He seems to have mentioned the 12z RGEM which doesn't come out for a while. I wonder if EC runs it in house before releasing it to the public.

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