Chicago Storm Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Was the s/w fully sampled on the 18z RGEM? I'm almost certain off hour runs of models don't get new RAOB data. Not sure about satellite data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 That 54 hr RGEM map sure looks juicy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 I'm almost certain off hour runs of models don't get new RAOB data. Not sure about satellite data. To my untrained eye it looks like the s/w is fully over BC as of 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 That 54 hr RGEM map sure looks juicy! Much further south with the sfc low than the NAM. Actually surprised by that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 To my untrained eye it looks like the s/w is fully over BC as of 18z. Not following you. The wave may be physically over the NA landmass but no new sampling is being conducted or being inputted into models. AFAIA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Hoping for another slight north bump. Based on trends I won't rule that out just yet. Have a feeling I may end up on the fringe of this one. Will be a fluff job either way. First call 3" IMBY. Haven't had an event over 4" this winter so that's what I'm shooting for. Will be close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 I wasn't aware LAF shifted to I-70. lol, check your eyesight. RGEM meteogram for IND has no rain through 18z, with a little bit after that. A roughly east-west rain/snow line can't be over LAF and IND at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 RGEM does shove the freezing line a bit further north than some models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Through 33 hours the 18z GFS is slightly further north compared to the 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Looks like LAF and everyone north of I-70 will stay snow though. Wet snow at that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 18Z GFS coming in so far with a real nice jump north at 48h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 30, 2015 Author Share Posted January 30, 2015 18z GFS coming in wetter as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Looks like LAF and everyone north of I-70 will stay snow though. Wet snow at that. I was telling Tim that it's a good thing it's not windier here during the meat of the storm as it would increase the power outage risk. Although winds eventually pick up so can't rule it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 18z GFS similar to the Nam. Definitely further north than the 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 18z GFS coming in wetter as well. compared to 12Z GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Looks like the GEFs were prescient this time and not completely useless as usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 18Z GFS Snow Map: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Sharp cut-off for the GTA on the 18z GFS. Western regions are close to 4-6" whereas Eastern regions are around 2-3" based on the instantwx maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Looks like a solid 9-12" for most of LOT. Heavier stuff shifts east. Lock it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hoosierwx Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 This time yesterday I was looking at 5 inches of snow. This morning maybe 1-2 backside. Now we don't get below freezing until the moisture is long gone. No measurable snow in December, January, and continuing into February. Oh well, I was kinda rooting for more of an amped up storm even if it cut us down some. I guess I over did it. Good luck everyone, all I ask for in return is some pics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainman Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 I'm almost certain off hour runs of models don't get new RAOB data. Not sure about satellite data. No new raob data at 18z unless there are special soundings. There is new satellite data, but I have heard that the satellite data is best when it's calibrated by raobs in the 00z/12z runs. Go figure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Starting to get hard to contain my excitement at the potential that Detroit might get close to double digit snow totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Starting to get hard to contain my excitement at the potential that Detroit might get close to double digit snow totals. I'm right there with you. Looking more likely that it's coming to fruition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 This time yesterday I was looking at 5 inches of snow. This morning maybe 1-2 backside. Now we don't get below freezing until the moisture is long gone. No measurable snow in December, January, and continuing into February. Oh well, I was kinda rooting for more of an amped up storm even if it cut us down some. I guess I over did it. Good luck everyone, all I ask for in return is some pics. Yesterday I was looking at DAB and now several inches are possible. While those of us to the north are getting more excited I am still concerned about a south trend that has occurred many times this winter. I am optimistic ... yes but still going to be cautious as I want to see actual radar lighting up and satellite tomorrow afternoon before I get too excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 30, 2015 Author Share Posted January 30, 2015 Updated LOT map... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Starting to get hard to contain my excitement at the potential that Detroit might get close to double digit snow totals. I'm right there with you. Looking more likely that it's coming to fruition. They're pretty rare around here, I'm starting to get excited myself. The potential is definitely there. Just south of here, Cleveland's WFO has the Toledo metro area in the "8 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AREAS OF A FOOT OR MORE POSSIBLE" wording in their WSW. Fun to track at the least... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Updated LOT map... Solid, still think those might go up a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 They're pretty rare around here, I'm starting to get excited myself. The potential is definitely there. Just south of here, Cleveland's WFO has the Toledo metro area in the "8 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AREAS OF A FOOT OR MORE POSSIBLE" wording in their WSW. Fun to track at the least... It's been really the only thing to track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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