Hoth Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 I'm assuming with the closer track the possibility of OES enhancement has been mitigated for Boston/Cape Ann? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Lots of confusion..lots of questions..tough one for most places I don't think the forecast is that hard...basically 6-10 south of the pike with a pellet-fest for a while tomorrow morning until you get maybe to HFD-PVD line and then you might go less south of that line. 8-12 (iso 12"+) north of the pike into S VT/S NH...maybe some pellets tickling BOS-ORH for a couple hours. Then maybe an inch or so on the back end..maybe 2 out east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuskiteam Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Somewhere near the Mass/NH border is going to do really well... High ratios and a good deal of precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Euro bumps total qpf over 1"+ up here now What is it spitting out over in GC? I thought of you as I was going down the road today. There were a couple of environmental cops out on their sleds--I thought that would be a great job for Jeff. ImageUploadedByTapatalk1422813828.982536.jpg I don't know what the colors represent, but I like being in that bulls-eye hole. It just feels right. Wonder if Maine never melts out this summer? Don't worry--the black flies are laying in wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Lots of confusion..lots of questions..tough one for most placesThankfully is not a tough forecast up here! Snow, snow, and more snow. Sorry, I gotta gloat a little after this past week. Still, hope everybody minimizes their taint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 I don't think the forecast is that hard...basically 6-10 south of the pike with a pellet-fest for a while tomorrow morning until you get maybe to HFD-PVD line and then you might go less south of that line. 8-12 (iso 12"+) north of the pike into S VT/S NH...maybe some pellets tickling BOS-ORH for a couple hours. Then maybe an inch or so on the back end..maybe 2 out east. yep with Mitch Berkshire Lollies and Dendrites PF like fluff, seems likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Beware of cstl front exhaust in Maine. That is a strong front. Incredible gradient. Not much distance between like 28 degrees and 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 I don't think the forecast is that hard...basically 6-10 south of the pike with a pellet-fest for a while tomorrow morning until you get maybe to HFD-PVD line and then you might go less south of that line. 8-12 (iso 12"+) north of the pike into S VT/S NH...maybe some pellets tickling BOS-ORH for a couple hours. Then maybe an inch or so on the back end..maybe 2 out east. Yeah agreed. This is a pretty average forecast in terms of difficulty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Portsmouth? They are like 20F at 18z on the Euro.Well now we know, different sources different outputs. Just adds to the confusion when both interpretations are correct based on what they are looking at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 nice image of lead system cold lay-down underway ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 yep with Mitch Berkshire Lollies and Dendrites PF like fluff, seems likely I could go for a 8" fluffernutter...our larger systems have been condo crushers after the Thanksgiving fluff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Yeah agreed. This is a pretty average forecast in terms of difficulty.what you got for SW CT BDR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 This might be the most difficult to forecast storm of the winter. It already is. The evolution of this event has changed dramatically, on a daily basis for the past week. 15 million will be getting a lot less snow than forecast 48 hours ago and for areas outside of Boston metro this will further decrease confidence in snow forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Thankfully is not a tough forecast up here! Snow, snow, and more snow. Sorry, I gotta gloat a little after this past week. Still, hope everybody minimizes their taint. You're right in it not being a tough one up here. Most people on the board will be doing well. CT/RI/SE Mass run some risk if things continue to march north, but time's running out on that train. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Sorry but that doesn't make sense. Big storms mean future big snowfalls are guaranteed? One storm, no matter how big, does not always represent an overall pattern for a season. The blizzard does pretty much guarantee we will do ok for our total snowfall this winter, and for that I am thankful. Well of course we're not in a pattern bringing feet of snow every week (I think). But to think the pattern hasn't changed from dry and cold to wet and cold is silly. It has. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Nothing absurd about it.................we are above average snowfall because of one storm. Before that, we were at historically low records for the amount of snowfall this winter.Doesn't matter it's distributed. Absurd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 I could go for a 8" fluffernutter...our larger systems have been condo crushers after the Thanksgiving fluff.the last 8 of my 28 was pure air, have 20 left which includes 3 from earlier and 1.5 from Friday. 39 in Jan with below normal. I remember posting Jan 10th after the epic meltdowns and persistence posts that it will be funny when we end up above normal snow and below normal temps. Its funny and I hope all learn something. This storm is playbook 94 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Albany's new map reflects latest trends: upped amounts in the capital region/northern Litchfield/VT zones; lowered totals in its lower HV valley and southern Litchfield area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 8-14 with ratio Lollies to 16, what separates this from standard SWFE rules is crazy east inflow and the cold. Congrats Dendrite Ginxy, what's good for Dendrite is good for me. We are 20-25 miles apart. Really cold air lurking up here. 15.7F at midday without a cloudy in the sky is pretty impressive almost 6 weeks past the solstice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Doesn't matter it's distributed. Absurd.I really thought I would not read another SNE meltdown this winter, guess what lolShould be another fun storm to nowcast. Those text numbers are absurd rates. Couple of things for the peeps on the edge, those marginal soundings get isothermal and you get QPF snowbombed once its lighter then you sleet drizzle but that is quickly replaced with cold wrap around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 the last 8 of my 28 was pure air, have 20 left which includes 3 from earlier and 1.5 from Friday. 39 in Jan with below normal. I remember posting Jan 10th after the epic meltdowns and persistence posts that it will be funny when we end up above normal snow and below normal temps. Its funny and I hope all learn something. This storm is playbook 94 I'm guessing, but I think if I manage a foot from this, I'll still be lagging annual norms. What I'm not guessing is that even if I manage a foot from this, I'll still really be sucking in respect to met-winter norms. Got a whole lotta catching up to do to raise the grade. The current D- is likely to get a boost tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 BTV and GYX extend warnings to Canadian border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 This one is mine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 I really thought I would not read another SNE meltdown this winter, guess what lol Should be another fun storm to nowcast. Those text numbers are absurd rates. Couple of things for the peeps on the edge, those marginal soundings get isothermal and you get QPF snowbombed once its lighter then you sleet drizzle but that is quickly replaced with cold wrap around Yeah the backend looks like a nice 1-3 spot 4 type deal..Those things very often surprise people Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 This one is mine You got it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 Good map, I think maybe 2-3" high here but I'd love to see this verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 You got it!Although I am very jelly of those giant amounts many of you got last week.I am not really concerned about the taint. Ratios should be good. But Ray's area could do better if there is any backlash stuff. A half inch could separate people for the jack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 This one is mineJack fetish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Yeah the backend looks like a nice 1-3 spot 4 type deal..Those things very often surprise people Congrats Lowell-Newburyport Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 What is it spitting out over in GC? I thought of you as I was going down the road today. There were a couple of environmental cops out on their sleds--I thought that would be a great job for Jeff. I don't know what the colors represent, but I like being in that bulls-eye hole. It just feels right. Don't worry--the black flies are laying in wait. 1.0"+, lol, I was out in the eviroment today on my sled............ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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