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2-1-15 to 2-2-15 Snow and Mix to Snow Storm


Clinch Leatherwood

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What happened to all the talk of bitter cold during this storm. Now it's going to plain rain here? Is it just not pushing far enough south?

 

The low is moving over the Cape and islands..well at least the islands. No cold is gonna be able to escape that track. Meanwhile it will be in the low teens and single numbers NW of BOS. You are still gonna get a dumping of 4-7 I think and then maybe an inch or two after it flips back. It's not going to go to 50 or something like that.

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The low is moving over the Cape and islands..well at least the islands. No cold is gonna be able to escape that track. Meanwhile it will be in the low teens and single numbers NW of BOS. You are still gonna get a dumping of 4-7 I think and then maybe an inch or two after it flips back. It's not going to go to 50 or something like that.

I'm not a met but why isn't this a situation where the low redevelops farther south as it bumps into the cold?
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I'm not a met but why isn't this a situation where the low redevelops farther south as it bumps into the cold?

. Strong primary low is trying to cut up into New York State but hits the brick wall of cold and has to develop along that boundary. Just so happens that boundary is basically the south coast from nyc to ack.
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. Strong primary low is trying to cut up into New York State but hits the brick wall of cold and has to develop along that boundary. Just so happens that boundary is basically the south coast from nyc to ack.

 

If you look at the national radar, I think you're seeing the effect of the system hitting the cold dome as the northeastern returns do in fact hit a brick wall as they are heading east. 

 

http://www.weathertap.com/radar/national/winter_ani

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Still sticking with 4-7" for much of CT. Bufkit soundings continue to not look very favorable for significant accumulations. This is from 12z GFS for BDL:

35856426-E367-4D6F-A8AE-1E9668AB38CB_zps

Snow growth will be poor, ratios will be crap for the most part, and the duration of the heaviest precip is not long at all...and can you count on 1.5" to 2" per hour for that entire duration?

Plus mixing may end up being a bit more of a concern than thought.

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I'm not a met but why isn't this a situation where the low redevelops farther south as it bumps into the cold?

 

It is that situation. Mid levels lows are tracking just about overhead (850) or in southern NH (700), so we're lucky this surface low isn't tracking farther north than it is.

 

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