codfishsnowman Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 id like to see hfd to tan back over .75 as snow too.....i dont care if it sleers a bit after 10-12 inches....but whos to say this wont trend to a 4 to 6 and sleet to the pike....in which case ill really loose it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 That said I think we're all riding too much on small RGEM details. If some of those snow accum maps verified this year I'd be on my way to a record.....heck I may be anyway but you know what I mean. Interesting you say that ... because I have been bemused at how quite often there is an over-zealous nit-picking with all guidance that goes on around here... It's so bad at time, because one model nailed a system to ~ 90% accuracy and the other only 83%, the 83% is denoted a suck fest. I'm like, whaaat - When in all fairness, it's a matter of forgetting that these are "models" - they are not intended to be fixed exacting paradigms, but offer solutions that may or may not be approached - and we choose; and if we want to pick nits, save that for which model to use. And caveat emptor there, as well, as there's a tendency that is clear and embarrassing to auto-pick the snowiest solution. Ha. but it's true. (not you per se...just the objective observation). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Minimum potential: Maximum potential: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 What do you folks think about Hingham? I'm sure we'll have some pingers, but looks like a solid 6-8", no? Yeah and maybe an inch or two after it flips back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 if id gotten 18 plus in the blizzard and an inch friday i wouldnt be so worried Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Nice GFS along I-90 (I use that as distinct from the Pike as I think the Pike connotation is primarily in Boston/Metro-west and not inclusive of western areas). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 GFS pounds late morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 the mins are a little ugly and all the way to the mass border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 GFS pounds late morning. It almost looks like it wants to give a parting CCB? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 It may really rip between 12-15z BOS-ORH region...there's a pretty defined 850mb warm front bent back in N CT and N RI over to SE MA...just north of that will probably see some enhanced rates for a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 the mins are a little ugly and all the way to the mass border Well they consider that the lower 10% likelihood and the max the upper 10%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 You just had 30 inches of all snow. Sleet may not make it to you . Prob south of HFD PVD exactly. I don't really care at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Nice GFS along I-90 (I use that as distinct from the Pike as I think the Pike connotation is primarily in Boston/Metro-west and not inclusive of western areas).i agree even though the pike is four miles from my house.....i think of the pike from ct ma border to almost noho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Well they consider that the lower 10% likelihood and the max the upper 10%. ok i got it, i meant nh vt border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 It almost looks like it wants to give a parting CCB? The mid level lows are too far north. It's probably an inch or two as the cstl front sags south after 19z or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 The mid level lows are too far north. It's probably an inch or two as the cstl front sags south after 19z or so. 6-12/8-14. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 A challenging week of forecasting for the Upton crew with NYC sitting in a pretty precarious position with this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 6-12/8-14. I think 8-11 is good for Logan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 GFS = Game Over for me hoping. Even North of me gets to rain now. The 850-1000 Thickness 0C, 850 0C, And 10M Temps 0C All go past me. From OTS to past me. And ticking all the more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 GFS = Game Over for me hoping. Even North of me gets to rain now. The 850-1000 Thickness 0C, 850 0C, And 10M Temps 0C All go past me. From OTS to past me. And ticking all the more.image.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Looks like a pretty straight-forward map in my eyes. I see 8-12 from the latitude of the CT/MA line into SVT/SNH up through the mid-coast. 6-10 south and north of that region, less along the coast line. Some fun for all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 What do you guys think for Westerly, RI? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Minimum potential: image.jpg Maximum potential: image.jpg I think 7-7.5 inches of snow is a pretty good floor for any system. So quickly the weenies forget what it's like to be in a bit of a drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 What do you guys think for Westerly, RI? I'll defer to the pros and would love to hear their thoughts from the south coast beaches but my 25 years experience tells me 4 inches for you, followed by heavy rain and temps hitting 34-35. I'm thinking 3 inches for me and temps briefly hitting 36-37. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Looks like a pretty straight-forward map in my eyes. I see 8-12 from the latitude of the CT/MA line into SVT/SNH up through the mid-coast. 6-10 south and north of that region, less along the coast line. Some fun for all. Mike, is this the biggest (potential) snow out this way since Nemo? I can't remember lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 if this thing is coming this close against the arctic air there should be some convective snow and sleet right?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Scott what are you thoughts on down here? Do we rain? Do we still have a chance of 6-8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowlieSnowstormson Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Hopefully the models shift back south to better hit some of our more favored regions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Wow - the RGEM is quite warm at 850mb. Would imply about a 50/50 snow and sleet combo for HFD and even KTOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 I'll defer to the pros and would love to hear their thoughts from the south coast beaches but my 25 years experience tells me 4 inches for you, followed by heavy rain and temps hitting 34-35. I'm thinking 3 inches for me and temps briefly hitting 36-37. I agree with this statement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.