ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 RGEM looks pretty similar to the NAM through 36h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 I agree with everyone wrt .6-.9'' of QPF generally given it's a SWFE and it's moving, but looking at BUFKIT snow growth looks very good up around here, so I think that's where some of these higher numbers are coming from though I'd go 8-12''. The local NH station is going 10-18'' for southern NH which is ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Should rgem and nam be completely discounted? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 These strict SWFE rules aren't applicable, this as modeled is hybrid. Making the final QPF,snow totals not so set in stone, adding in the potential for some high ratio snow 14 is indeed plausible IMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 These strict SWFE rules aren't applicable, this as modeled is hybrid. Making the final QPF,snow totals not so set in stone, adding in the potential for some high ratio snow 14 is indeed plausible IMHO. Not in sne...outside of oes areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 RGEM looks maybe a bit faster than 12z, but no noticeable tick. If anything, maybe a hair colder extrapolating. Looks like 0z RGEM is a tic north of its 12z run Looks like 0z RGEM is a tic north of its 12z run In the words of cool hand Luke, "what we have here is a failure to communicate.." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Hi Res NAM a bit higher on QPF than regular version particularly in eastern Mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Should rgem and nam be completely discounted? only if it doesn't give you snowSent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Hi Res NAM a bit higher on QPF than regular version particularly in eastern Mass. ccb?Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 In the words of cool hand Luke, "what we have here is a failure to communicate.." It's warmer, that is for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 ccb? Sent from my iPhone Probably oes from Boston down to the s shore is my guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 In the words of cool hand Luke, "what we have here is a failure to communicate.." I don't see a difference other than maybe the low being faster and therefore precip and WAA faster creating a notion where it may be north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 In the words of cool hand Luke, "what we have here is a failure to communicate.." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 FWIW, RGEM pinned the rain down here pretty well the other day. That's just rainzo almost into the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 It's warmer, that is for sure. http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/2015020100/ I_nw_r1_EST_2015020100_041.png Gross. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 RGEM looks a bit colder than 18z...but warmer than 12z. Though 12z run only made it to 12z Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 That RGEM picture is certainly colder vs 18z...by a hair. 18z had taint further north. 0z keeps it a few miles south of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Scoot may be comparing to 18z. Jeffwas using 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 That's similar to 18z. I can only see black and white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Scoot may be comparing to 18z. Jeffwas using 12z. Yes, I am using 12z off the CMC site Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Scoot may be comparing to 18z. Jeffwas using 12z. I was comparing 12z, but yes it was a hair colder than 18z. I was limited to black and white which is why I said I couldn't see a huge difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 It's colder, it's warmer, it's colder, it's warmer. Let me know when someone can read the map correctly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 so close looks like i would stay all snow and you would briefly change over still looks good though just cant have it warm up anymore Gross. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 I was comparing 12z, but yes it was a hair colder than 18z. I was limited to black and white which is why I said I couldn't see a huge difference. I hate them dam blk/wht maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 It's colder, it's warmer, it's colder, it's warmer. Let me know when someone can read the map correctly. Verbatim this run you are non-snow from 15z to about 22z. Warmer than the 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 It's colder, it's warmer, it's colder, it's warmer. Let me know when someone can read the map correctly. Which probably means, not a big difference..at least the trend appears to have leveled off on the RGEM and NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Tough forecast to be honest. I think it's mostly snow off the south coast but taint is possible to the pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Well knowing bias here, Euro is probably going to get this one more correct, expecting slow continuation of these models to trend to a Euro colder solution. Euro may tick North with extent of deeper precipitation as this is getting SStream injection but will probably stay cold. Impressive press of cold air creating over the region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 All I know right now is that after 2 00z models, their warming has ceased and have potentially begun to cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 You can also see 00z was a bit faster too which may skew perception of mid level temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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