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2-1-15 to 2-2-15 Snow and Mix to Snow Storm


Clinch Leatherwood

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Nice and simple for now, although probably will introduce a southern zone with 3-6/4-8 and mixing tomorrow if the models don't tick south tonight(Which I have a feeling they will, it seems like a lot of times in these types of events you see the models overdo the warmth in the midrange and then inside of 24 you see a slow but steady cooling trend). 

 

I'll probably sketch out something more region wide later.

post-8652-0-94605300-1422753447_thumb.jp

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Looks about right, these 10-14" 8-16" 9-14" numbers i've seen from various outlets just seem way overdone. 6-10 is a lot more down to earth and reasonable for what will likely play out.

I think a lot of outlets are banking on ratios to verify those widespread 10"+ numbers, which I don't really see being higher than 10:1 in CT from my quick look at soundings earlier. Maybe in the far northern tier, but they should have a bit less QPF as well and so the end result is similar. North of the pike though different story as far as ratios go. 

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