SnowGoose69 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Lol...I wouldn't mind a uk track with the cold as strong as it is north of the low center but I can only see surface and qpf which is very high. The UKIE has a blizzard of 93 front end thump for some places that would changeover, its ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Over just west of the elbow Is the low center where the L is or the center of the central closed contour which is my take? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Ukie would definitely ping to the pike with that track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Dendrite loves the NAM And the GGEM and UKMET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 And the GGEM and UKMETI meant ukmet blah time for bed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 These 980 ish pressures are giving me goosebumps, blizzard conditions twice in a week? Monday Monday da da, da da da Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Is the low center where the L is or the center of the central closed contour which is my take? Good question and don't know the answer to that Jerry, Just going where they place the L Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 These 980 ish pressures are giving me goosebumps, blizzard conditions twice in a week? Monday Monday da da, da da da I know, Don't think this one has as much wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 I like the qpf bomb trend. Don't fear the tainter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Cmc and gfs are close...heck even the nam is. If the euro is the same we're probably honed in other than minor variations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 These 980 ish pressures are giving me goosebumps, blizzard conditions twice in a week? Monday Monday da da, da da da1019mb high, though? NBD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Cmc and gfs are close...heck even the nam is. If the euro is the same we're probably honed in other than minor variations. Solid warning event for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 1019mb high, though? NBD Also why minor tics N not a surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Those runs coming closer are trending to a helacious front end thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Those runs coming closer are trending to a helacious front end thump. Cmc in particular is hinting at that followed by shutting down the heavy stuff after a fine dump? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Cmc in particular is hinting at that followed by shutting down the heavy stuff after a fine dump? Well as it gets shunted E, the flow at 850 turns NE so it's a win there. That's a good look to have widespread light to moderate snows before ending. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Well as it gets shunted E, the flow at 850 turns NE so it's a win there. That's a good look to have widespread light to moderate snows before ending. As long as I hit my 6-12 I'm happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Well as it gets shunted E, the flow at 850 turns NE so it's a win there. That's a good look to have widespread light to moderate snows before ending. How far north do the pingers get on the CMC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 How far north do the pingers get on the CMC? Maybe just at the SNE south coast based on 850 temps and knowing the warmer layer may be above that and further north? Tough to say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Expect 12-16 inches for most of southern and central New England, except 6-12 in southeast MA with mixing and phase change briefly to rain. 8-12 for northern New England. Max wind gusts 55-60 mph near Atlantic and 35-45 mph inland. Severe blowing and drifting given the snow pack and low temps. Max temp may make 45 F in ACK and 37 F just south of BOS, 32 F at BOS where snow may briefly mix with freezing rain at height of storm. Heaviest snows once again ORH to Tolland. (phase of moon = N Max the best for severe storm development) near-blizzard conditions, would consider a blizzard warning for e MA, ne CT and n RI, s NH and coastal ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Expect 12-16 inches for most of southern and central New England, except 6-12 in southeast MA with mixing and phase change briefly to rain. 8-12 for northern New England. Max wind gusts 55-60 mph near Atlantic and 35-45 mph inland. Severe blowing and drifting given the snow pack and low temps. Max temp may make 45 F in ACK and 37 F just south of BOS, 32 F at BOS where snow may briefly mix with freezing rain at height of storm. Heaviest snows once again ORH to Tolland. (phase of moon = N Max the best for severe storm development) near-blizzard conditions, would consider a blizzard warning for e MA, ne CT and n RI, s NH and coastal ME. Temps will be nowhere near 37F just south of Boston, nor 32F at Boston. Please site evidence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Temps will be nowhere near 37F just south of Boston, nor 32F at Boston. Please site evidence. Judging most of the models I would be surprised that any temperatures would be above 28-30 except for immediate south coast and the cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 GGEM looks a bit slower with the system than the GFS or NAM. Allows for more energy to phase in too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Expect 12-16 inches for most of southern and central New England, except 6-12 in southeast MA with mixing and phase change briefly to rain. 8-12 for northern New England. Max wind gusts 55-60 mph near Atlantic and 35-45 mph inland. Severe blowing and drifting given the snow pack and low temps. Max temp may make 45 F in ACK and 37 F just south of BOS, 32 F at BOS where snow may briefly mix with freezing rain at height of storm. Heaviest snows once again ORH to Tolland. (phase of moon = N Max the best for severe storm development) near-blizzard conditions, would consider a blizzard warning for e MA, ne CT and n RI, s NH and coastal ME. Easy there, killah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Judging most of the models I would be surprised that any temperatures would be above 28-30 except for immediate south coast and the cape. Boston will be lucky to hit 25°F at the height of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Easy there, killah lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Looking at the thermal profiles for the 00Z suite so far including NAM, GFS, and GEM..mixing makes it into SE CT for a brief time as sleet then back to snow. All snow for the rest of CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 tic, tic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 tick, tick :/ I'd be shocked if the ECMWF doesn't tick north, that's not so important tonight considering the overwhelming model support on a N trend. What's more important are the 12Z runs tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 :/ I'd be shocked if the ECMWF doesn't tick north, that's not so important tonight considering the overwhelming model support on a N trend. What's more important are the 12Z runs tomorrow. Its a hair slower then 0z and looks like it will tic north, That i can see early on, Would not be surprised if the models tic back south at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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