RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 12:46 AM, The 4 Seasons said: WFSB is going gangbusters 8-16 statewide except 4-8 SE corner immediate shore. (CT) Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 12:45 AM, ineedsnow said: hartford north should i would think but im waiting until 0z to see how things trend[/quote Yup. Being in the valley, you never know. But this air mass won't be easy to penetrate. Gfs overdoes the ML warmth so I'm discounting that. Curious on the 0z rgem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 12:46 AM, The 4 Seasons said: WFSB is going gangbusters 8-16 statewide except 4-8 SE corner immediate shore. (CT)Well thats rip and read GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 12:32 AM, weathafella said: BOX stressing latitude is evident in placing PVC in the 10-14 area while pvd is 6-8/8-10 I'm willing to bet PTown doesn't get 10-14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 it was put out before then On 2/1/2015 at 12:49 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Well thats rip and read GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Paste job for borderline areas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 12:42 AM, leesun said: So WBZ goes 4-8 where BOX goes 10-14. Somebody is going down. That's a wide range Are we sure that's what bz's forecasting? That map looks like it's presenting a possible scenario--note that it has a question mark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 12:52 AM, BRSno said: Paste job for borderline areas? I don't see this as pasty. Unless the mix zone got close and the snow briefly gets wetter. I guess further south it could be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 12:49 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Well thats rip and read GGEM Yeah either that or Euro track with NAM QPF blend (Fox 61 6-12 statewide including shore and SE corner) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Weekend on air personalities.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 12:58 AM, Ginxy said: Weekend on air personalities....It is refreshing to see that even they realize they aren't to use GFS in any of their forecasts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 12:46 AM, The 4 Seasons said: WFSB is going gangbusters 8-16 statewide except 4-8 SE corner immediate shore. (CT)Gangbusters, except that if everyone gets 8 then it verifies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Why didn't they just paste the 21z RPM for the forecast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 12:17 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Look at all these big hits. Seems like we've got consensus Consensus from those maps is 2-14" IMBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 No temp issues up here........lol, May be low single numbers day, Below zero monday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 1:00 AM, BostonWX said: Why didn't they just paste the 21z RPM for the forecast? Damn! How accurate has that model been this year? That's pretty discouraging on the snow side south of the Pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 rpm is disgusting. I'll throw in the towel on winter if it verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 1:00 AM, BostonWX said: Why didn't they just paste the 21z RPM for the forecast? Where's the viewing appeal in that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 1:05 AM, Clinch Leatherwood said: Damn! How accurate has that model been this year? That's pretty discouraging on the snow side south of the Pike. LOL---what's it doing away from the coast in ME? That's whack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 1:05 AM, Clinch Leatherwood said: Damn! How accurate has that model been this year? That's pretty discouraging on the snow side south of the Pike. It's pretty horrendous verbatim, but it has sniffed out trends pretty well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 1:05 AM, Clinch Leatherwood said: Damn! How accurate has that model been this year? That's pretty discouraging on the snow side south of the Pike. Yeah, if that verified, then OKX would be in deep doo doo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Nice dryslot for dryslot on the RPM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 1:13 AM, dryslot said: Nice dryslot for dryslot on the RPM lol. So you're the man behind the wheel of the RPM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Nice and simple for now, although probably will introduce a southern zone with 3-6/4-8 and mixing tomorrow if the models don't tick south tonight(Which I have a feeling they will, it seems like a lot of times in these types of events you see the models overdo the warmth in the midrange and then inside of 24 you see a slow but steady cooling trend). I'll probably sketch out something more region wide later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Looks about right, these 10-14" 8-16" 9-14" numbers i've seen from various outlets just seem way overdone. 6-10 is a lot more down to earth and reasonable for what will likely play out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 6-10" with sleet mixed here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 2-4" FE dump, followed by sleet then plain rain here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 1:22 AM, The 4 Seasons said: Looks about right, these 10-14" 8-16" 9-14" numbers i've seen from various outlets just seem way overdone. 6-10 is a lot more down to earth and reasonable for what will likely play out. I think a lot of outlets are banking on ratios to verify those widespread 10"+ numbers, which I don't really see being higher than 10:1 in CT from my quick look at soundings earlier. Maybe in the far northern tier, but they should have a bit less QPF as well and so the end result is similar. North of the pike though different story as far as ratios go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Everyone's favorite srefs are a bit colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 1:08 AM, moneypitmike said: Where's the viewing appeal in that?You, me, Hippy and PF would take that, verbatim, in a heartbeat. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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