moneypitmike Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 11:56 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Looks like warmth wins. Take down all Wsw in SNE. Rains to Maine . It's just a glorified warm front I believe there is a really reasonable point between that absurdity and the EC that will play out. Don't overplay the warmth, but it's foolhardy to ignore it. 9.3/-6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Did BOX have a bizarre winter storm warning a little while ago mentioning up to 2 feet in Northern Worcester County? I swear I saw that but the 3:23 warning doesn't show that Looks like I picked the wrong day to stop sniffing glue. And BOX map was updated again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 The absolute key is the secondary reinforcement of Arctic air. Watch that tomorrow, if Pf is 10/-5 look out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 11:59 PM, Ginxy said: The absolute key is the secondary reinforcement of Arctic air. Watch that tomorrow, if Pf is 10/-5 look outWasnt sure if folks were ignoring that. It actually clears the south coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 12:02 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Wasnt sure if folks were ignoring that. It actually clears the south coast What's this meltdown over? No one is concerned about rain at the coast - nothing to stop the flood of warmth at 800mb though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 I think 8-10 looks good here Maybe some sleet at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 12:04 AM, CT Rain said: What's this meltdown over? No one is concerned about rain at the coast - nothing to stop the flood of warmth at 800mb though.Huh??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Good luck all 10-14" final call here Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 WBZ has cut way back. 2-4 here, 4-8 for ct ri and ma south of the pike and up to cape Anne. West of orh and nw ct more. 2-4/ southern 1/3 of ri Seems reasonable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 I don't agree with Uptons call of 10-14" for my hood. Why are they blowing their loads so early with their maps?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 12:11 AM, Clinch Leatherwood said: WBZ has cut way back. 2-4 here, 4-8 for ct ri and ma south of the pike and up to cape Anne. West of orh and nw ct more. 2-4/ southern 1/3 of ri Seems reasonable ya not expecting more than 4" here at most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 WBZ's latest thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 still a good hit per them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 11:59 PM, Ginxy said: The absolute key is the secondary reinforcement of Arctic air. Watch that tomorrow, if Pf is 10/-5 look out Oh I'll certainly be that. Guidance has it below zero and snowing up here on Monday. I know why you guys want the cold pattern. While 15F-25F would be fine, when we are zero degrees SNE is cleaning up. Still, that doesn't make it ok to ignore mid-level warmth in some spots. The cold surface air is what is makes sleet more likely than freezing rain in those areas where some small area in the column goes above freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Look at all these big hits. Seems like we've got consensus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Updated BOX map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 12:11 AM, Clinch Leatherwood said: WBZ has cut way back. 2-4 here, 4-8 for ct ri and ma south of the pike and up to cape Anne. West of orh and nw ct more. 2-4/ southern 1/3 of ri Seems reasonable Seems that the stations out here have it pretty easy--they're going 6-12" through the whole viewing area. No fuss, no muss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 BOX stressing latitude is evident in placing PVC in the 10-14 area while pvd is 6-8/8-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherWilly Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 2-4 is going to end up being too low on the south coast, but I may change my mind by 10-11 pm tonight. It's going to take a long time to override this cold air mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 12:15 AM, Clinch Leatherwood said: WBZ's latest thoughts. meh rip and read Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 12:32 AM, weathafella said: BOX stressing latitude is evident in placing PVC in the 10-14 area while pvd is 6-8/8-10dumbfounded,lol, where have we seen that before, probably the funniest thread ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 12:17 AM, powderfreak said: Oh I'll certainly be that. Guidance has it below zero and snowing up here on Monday. I know why you guys want the cold pattern. While 15F-25F would be fine, when we are zero degrees SNE is cleaning up. Still, that doesn't make it ok to ignore mid-level warmth in some spots. The cold surface air is what is makes sleet more likely than freezing rain in those areas where some small area in the column goes above freezing. Arctic cold front means block is stronger forcing baroclinic zone offshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 upper levels warm quick has nothing to do with surface temps On 2/1/2015 at 12:32 AM, WeatherWilly said: 2-4 is going to end up being too low on the south coast, but I may change my mind by 10-11 pm tonight. It's going to take a long time to override this cold air mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 12:34 AM, Ginxy said: meh rip and read So WBZ goes 4-8 where BOX goes 10-14. Somebody is going down. That's a wide range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 12:37 AM, Ginxy said: Arctic cold front means block is stronger forcing baroclinic zone offshore But with the Gulf Stream - quickly everything can change and the next thing you know boom it's raining on Mount Washington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherWilly Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 12:39 AM, ineedsnow said: upper levels warm quick has nothing to do with surface temps It's going to take a longer time for the upper levels to warm than some of the models are showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 On 2/1/2015 at 12:39 AM, ineedsnow said: upper levels warm quick has nothing to do with surface temps I'm thinking we stay all snow . What do you think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 idk ive seen them warm very fast before with the same kind of air mass On 2/1/2015 at 12:43 AM, WeatherWilly said: It's going to take a longer time for the upper levels to warm than some of the models are showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 hartford north should i would think but im waiting until 0z to see how things trend On 2/1/2015 at 12:43 AM, leesun said: I'm thinking we stay all snow . What do you think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 WFSB is going gangbusters 8-16 statewide except 4-8 SE corner immediate shore. (CT) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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