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2-1-15 to 2-2-15 Snow and Mix to Snow Storm


Clinch Leatherwood

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The 12Z suite is in very good agreement with this storm. GFS farthest south, NAM farthest north. CMC more inline with NAM, EC closer to GFS with track.

 

CMC ensemble mean is farther south than OP, GFS ensemble is fairly close to OP run.

 

GFS MAV #s are all 8s for all CT stations.

 

With such a large precip shield as is associated with these type events a 30 mile shift north or south will have minimal effects as compared to a miller B type storm.

 

Most of the snow looks to fall during the daylight hours in SNE and is out of here by Monday evening.

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The 12Z suite is in very good agreement with this storm. GFS farthest south, NAM farthest north. CMC more inline with NAM, EC closer to GFS with track.

 

CMC ensemble mean is farther south than OP, GFS ensemble is fairly close to OP run.

 

GFS MAV #s are all 8s for all CT stations.

 

With such a large precip shield as is associated with these type events a 30 mile shift north or south will have minimal effects as compared to a miller B type storm.

 

Most of the snow looks to fall during the daylight hours in SNE and is out of here by Monday evening.

 

 

I would say the Ukie is furthest north...but otherwise yeah, pretty darn good agreement.

 

 

EC ensembles are almost perfectly matched with the OP run.

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I would say the Ukie is furthest north...but otherwise yeah, pretty darn good agreement.

 

 

EC ensembles are almost perfectly matched with the OP run.

 

 

I didn't get a chance to look at the UKMET (it's always on the back of my radar for some reason). Just totally forgot about it. But looking at it on wxbell, its definitely the farthest north. EC ensembles look great too.

 

I suppose watches will be out with tomorrow mornings shift.

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