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Contest: January 31-February 2 Total Snowfall


Chicago WX

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Haven't had one of these in awhile, so let's do one. Guess the total snowfall for this storm (we'll put the dates as Jan 31 thru Feb 2 right now) for the following sites. Winner gets snow. Deadline to enter is 3:00pm Saturday 1/31.

 

Chicago IL (ORD)

Cleveland OH (CLE)

Columbus OH (CMH)

Detroit MI (DTW)

Fort Wayne IN (FWA)

Grand Rapids MI (GRR)

Indianapolis IN (IND)

Milwaukee WI (MKE)

Moline IL (MLI)

Peoria IL (PIA)

 

Bonus question: total snowfall for LAF

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Haven't had one of these in awhile, so let's do one. Guess the total snowfall for this storm (we'll put the dates as Jan 31 thru Feb 2 right now) for the following sites. Winner gets snow. Deadline to enter is 3:00pm Saturday 1/31.

 

Chicago IL (ORD).......9.1"

Cleveland OH (CLE)......9.5"

Columbus OH (CMH)......4.4"

Detroit MI (DTW).......5.7"

Fort Wayne IN (FWA)....11.7"

Grand Rapids MI (GRR)......3.3"

Indianapolis IN (IND)......4.9"

Milwaukee WI (MKE)......8.0"

Moline IL (MLI)......12.7"

Peoria IL (PIA).....10.8"

 

Bonus question: total snowfall for LAF....7.0"

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Chicago IL (ORD) 13.2"

Cleveland OH (CLE) 12.2"

Columbus OH (CMH) 3.2"

Detroit MI (DTW) 13.3"

Fort Wayne IN (FWA) 12.2"

Grand Rapids MI (GRR) 9.7"

Indianapolis IN (IND) 1.4"

Milwaukee WI (MKE) 8.8"

Moline IL (MLI) 10.7"

Peoria IL (PIA) 4.6"

Bonus question: total snowfall for LAF 4.3"

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Chicago IL (ORD). 12.9"

Cleveland OH (CLE). 8.4"

Columbus OH (CMH). 2.1"

Detroit MI (DTW). 14.4"

Fort Wayne IN (FWA). 9.8"

Grand Rapids MI (GRR). 12.8"

Indianapolis IN (IND). 0.9"

Milwaukee WI (MKE). 8.9"

Moline IL (MLI). 12.0"

Peoria IL (PIA). 10.7"

Bonus question: total snowfall for LAF. 3.1"

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Chicago IL (ORD):   11.4"

Cleveland OH (CLE):  10.8"

Columbus OH (CMH): 5.1"

Detroit MI (DTW): 9.4"

Fort Wayne IN (FWA): 9.0"

Grand Rapids MI (GRR): 8.5"

Indianapolis IN (IND): 1.8"

Milwaukee WI (MKE): 11.0"

Moline IL (MLI): 9.8"

Peoria IL (PIA): 7.8"

 

Bonus question: total snowfall for LAF:  6.1"

 

:weenie:  :weenie: :weenie:  

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Chicago IL (ORD): 13.6"

 

Cleveland OH (CLE): 9.4"

 

Columbus OH (CMH): 2.6"

 

Detroit MI (DTW): 12.5"

 

Fort Wayne IN (FWA): 12.7"

 

Grand Rapids MI (GRR): 8.9"

 

Indianapolis IN (IND): 3.3"

 

Milwaukee WI (MKE): 10.8"

 

Moline IL (MLI): 10.6"

 

Peoria IL (PIA): 9.3"

 

Minneapolis:  :(

 

 

 

Bonus question: total snowfall for LAF: 8.0"

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I've always found that going broad brush conservative with totals 48 hours out is generally best 75% of the time. Hopefully I'm wrong this time.

Chicago IL (ORD) 9.6"
Cleveland OH (CLE) 8.2"
Columbus OH (CMH) 1.8"
Detroit MI (DTW) 9.7"
Fort Wayne IN (FWA) 8.4"
Grand Rapids MI (GRR) 4.9"
Indianapolis IN (IND) 3.2"
Milwaukee WI (MKE) 11.3"
Moline IL (MLI) 8.7"
Peoria IL (PIA) 4.8"

Bonus question: total snowfall for LAF 5.9"

 

Editing these up a bit, but not going crazy

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Chicago IL (ORD) 11.5"

Cleveland OH (CLE) 9.5"

Columbus OH (CMH) 1.5"

Detroit MI (DTW) 12.5"

Fort Wayne IN (FWA) 11.0"

Grand Rapids MI (GRR) 4.5"

Indianapolis IN (IND) 1.5"

Milwaukee WI (MKE) 7.0"

Moline IL (MLI) 9.0"

Peoria IL (PIA) 8.5"

 

Bonus question: total snowfall for LAF 2.0"

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Chicago IL (ORD) 11.6"

Cleveland OH (CLE) 13.4"

Columbus OH (CMH) 8.6"

Detroit MI (DTW) 7.8"

Fort Wayne IN (FWA) 10.5"

Grand Rapids MI (GRR) 13.6"

Indianapolis IN (IND) 8.4"

Milwaukee WI (MKE) 7.2"

Moline IL (MLI) 13.6"

Peoria IL (PIA) 14.2"

 

Bonus question: total snowfall for LAF 11.6"

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Chicago IL (ORD) - 13.8"

Cleveland OH (CLE) 12.4"

Columbus OH (CMH) 4.4"

Detroit MI (DTW) 10.0"

Fort Wayne IN (FWA) 13.5"

Grand Rapids MI (GRR) 6.0"

Indianapolis IN (IND) 3.3"

Milwaukee WI (MKE) 9.7"

Moline IL (MLI) 9.0"

Peoria IL (PIA) 8.8"

 

Total snowfall for LAF: Lucky 7.7".
 

 

 

cruel

:lol: I'll still take it...

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Chicago IL (ORD) 13.8"
Cleveland OH (CLE) 13.2"
Columbus OH (CMH) 2.4"
Detroit MI (DTW) 12.9"
Fort Wayne IN (FWA) 13.3"
Grand Rapids MI (GRR) 8.9"
Indianapolis IN (IND) 0.9"
Milwaukee WI (MKE) 9.1"
Moline IL (MLI) 10.9"
Peoria IL (PIA) 8.4"

Bonus question: total snowfall for LAF 7.1"

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Chicago IL (ORD) 13.2"

Cleveland OH (CLE) 12.2"

Columbus OH (CMH) 3.2"

Detroit MI (DTW) 13.3"

Fort Wayne IN (FWA) 12.2"

Grand Rapids MI (GRR) 9.7"

Indianapolis IN (IND) 1.4"

Milwaukee WI (MKE) 8.8"

Moline IL (MLI) 10.7"

Peoria IL (PIA) 4.6"

Bonus question: total snowfall for LAF 4.3"

 

Nice call a day in advance! You were going with a north shift yesterday.

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Haven't had one of these in awhile, so let's do one. Guess the total snowfall for this storm (we'll put the dates as Jan 31 thru Feb 2 right now) for the following sites. Winner gets snow. Deadline to enter is 3:00pm Saturday 1/31.

 

Chicago IL (ORD).......12.6"

Cleveland OH (CLE)......11.5"

Columbus OH (CMH)......2.1"

Detroit MI (DTW).......12.1"

Fort Wayne IN (FWA)....8.8"

Grand Rapids MI (GRR)......7.9"

Indianapolis IN (IND)......3.0"

Milwaukee WI (MKE)......9.4"

Moline IL (MLI)......13.0"

Peoria IL (PIA).....10.8"

 

Bonus question: total snowfall for LAF....5.2"

 

 

2nd call and final.

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Chicago IL (ORD). 15.8"

Cleveland OH (CLE). 13.5"

Columbus OH (CMH). 5"

Detroit MI (DTW). 13.5"

Fort Wayne IN (FWA). 12"

Grand Rapids MI (GRR). 9"

Indianapolis IN (IND). 2.5"

Milwaukee WI (MKE). 9"

Moline IL (MLI). 12"

Peoria IL (PIA). 10"

Bonus question: total snowfall for LAF. 5"

:yikes: my southern and northern forecasts not looking good at all based on the latest shift north :yikes:

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I don't have time to do an overall tally, but just did the individual city winners (or closest too). Perfect guesses at CMH, FWA, and IND. BuffaloWeather had the most correct individual closest guesses, but was technically past the entry deadline by 6.5 hours :lol: ...alas, I'm easy and we won't penalize him. Congrats go to him. 

 

January 31-February 2 actual snowfall totals (winners)

 

Chicago IL (ORD) 19.3" (BuffaloWeather with a guess of 16.1")

Cleveland OH (CLE) 8.1" (BadgerStateWX, BuffaloWeather, and Trent with guesses of 8.2")

Columbus OH (CMH) 1.5" (Chicago WX with a guess of 1.5")

Detroit MI (DTW) 16.7" (BuffaloWeather with a guess of 17.3")

Fort Wayne IN (FWA) 9.8" (Baum and dmc76 with guesses of 9.8")

Grand Rapids MI (GRR) 9.1" (Whitelakeroy with a guess of 9.0")

Indianapolis IN (IND) 2.2" (BuffaloWeather with a guess of 2.2")

Milwaukee WI (MKE) 12.0" (BuffaloWeather with a guess of 12.6")

Moline IL (MLI) 14.4" (KokomoWX with a guess of 13.6")

Peoria IL (PIA) 6.4" (BuffaloWeather with a guess of 5.1")

 

Bonus question: total snowfall for LAF 4.7" (Whitelakeroy with a guess of 5.0")

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I don't have time to do an overall tally, but just did the individual city winners (or closest too). Perfect guesses at CMH, FWA, and IND. BuffaloWeather had the most correct individual closest guesses, but was technically past the entry deadline by 6.5 hours :lol: ...alas, I'm easy and we won't penalize him. Congrats go to him. 

 

January 31-February 2 actual snowfall totals (winners)

 

Chicago IL (ORD) 19.3" (BuffaloWeather with a guess of 16.1")

Cleveland OH (CLE) 8.1" (BadgerStateWX, BuffaloWeather, and Trent with guesses of 8.2")

Columbus OH (CMH) 1.5" (Chicago WX with a guess of 1.5")

Detroit MI (DTW) 16.7" (BuffaloWeather with a guess of 17.3")

Fort Wayne IN (FWA) 9.8" (Baum and dmc76 with guesses of 9.8")

Grand Rapids MI (GRR) 9.1" (Whitelakeroy with a guess of 9.0")

Indianapolis IN (IND) 2.2" (BuffaloWeather with a guess of 2.2")

Milwaukee WI (MKE) 12.0" (BuffaloWeather with a guess of 12.6")

Moline IL (MLI) 14.4" (KokomoWX with a guess of 13.6")

Peoria IL (PIA) 6.4" (BuffaloWeather with a guess of 5.1")

 

Bonus question: total snowfall for LAF 4.7" (Whitelakeroy with a guess of 5.0")

 

Didn't realize I missed the deadline but thanks for going easy on me! Wooo I won!!! :thumbsup:

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Had a bit of time so here's a report on your average (absolute) station errors:

 

Forecaster ______ ORD _ CLE _ CMH _DTW _ FWA _ GRR_ IND _ MKE _ MLI _ PIA __ avg abs error _ LAF

 

__ actual amts ___ 19.3 __8.1 __1.5__16.7 __9.8__9.1 __2.2 __12.0 __14.4 __6.4____ avg ____ 4.7

 

 

BuffaloWeather ___ 3.2 __0.1 __1.9 __0.6 __0.3 __4.6 __0.1 ___0.6 ___1.5 __1.3 ____1.42" __ 1.4

dmc76 __________ 6.4 __0.3 __0.6 __2.3 __0.0 __3.7 __1.3 ___3.1 ___2.4 __4.3 ____2.44" __ 1.6

Brewers _________ 5.7 __1.3 __1.1 __4.2 __2.9 __0.2 __1.1 ___1.2 ___3.8 __2.9 ____2.44" __ 3.3

snowstormcanuck _ 6.7 __3.4 __0.6 __4.6 __1.0 __1.2 __0.8 ___2.6 ___1.4 __4.4 ____ 2.67" __ 0.5

Whitelakeleroy ____ 3.5 __5.4 __3.5 __3.2 __2.2 __0.1 __0.3 ___3.0 ___2.4 __3.6 ____2.72" __ 0.3

stebo ___________ 6.1 __4.1 __1.7 __3.4 __2.4 __0.6 __0.8 ___3.2 ___3.7 __1.8 ____2.78" __ 0.4
Maxim __________ 5.5 __5.1 __0.9 __3.8 __3.5 __0.2 __1.3 ___2.9 ___3.5 __2.0 ____2.87" __ 2.4

Schaumburg Stormer 7.9__2.7 __3.4 __7.3__ 0.8 __1.4 __0.4 ___1.0 ___4.6 __1.4 ____3.09" __ 0.4

 

Trent ___________ 9.7 __0.1 __0.3 __7.0 __1.4 __4.2 __1.0 ___0.7 ___5.7 __1.6 ____ 3.17" __ 1.2

Chicago Wx ______ 7.8 __1.4 __0.0 __4.2 __1.2 __4.6 __0.7 ___5.0 ___5.4 __ 2.1 ____3.24" __ 2.7

Roger Smith ______ 8.8 __1.1 __4.0 __7.2 __1.8 __0.9 __2.7 ___2.2 ___4.4 __1.9 ____3.50" __ 1.5

IthielZ __________ 5.3 __4.3 __2.9 __6.7 __3.7 __3.1 __ 1.1 ___2.3 ___5.4 __2.4 ____3.72" __ 3.0

Baum ___________ 8.1 __0.9 __3.1 _11.1__0.0 __1.3 __ 1.9 ___4.8 ___4.2 __2.1 ____3.77" __ 1.5
BadgerStateWx ___11.2 __0.1 __2.6 _12.3 __0.8 __3.4 __1.0 ___4.5 ___4.8 __4.3 ____ 4.50" __ 1.9
mimillman ________8.3 __4.9 __4.7 __4.8 __3.8 __1.3 __5.2 ___3.0 ___2.8 __7.5 ____ 4.63" __ 2.8

KokomoWx ______ 7.7 __5.3 __7.1 __ 8.9 __0.7 __4.5 __6.2 ___4.8 ___0.8 __7.8 ____ 5.38" __ 6.9

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