MidlothianWX Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 This may be the weenie in me talking but I wouldn't worry too much about the NAM. It's been all over the place with whacky solutions and thermal profiles. Even Wes on the radio show said that it was sort of a crummy model. 12z GFS and RGEM look pretty good for the metro area. Anywhere from 2-2.5" QPF. 850 line approaches PTB but then backs off on both models. Not sure if there is a warm nose somewhere else though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavyMatt Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Mix of large and small flakes coming down at a fairly decent rate in New Kent. Sticking immediately to everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 TWC cut their snow totals for RIC this morning for whatever reason and still haven't ajusted them back up yet, even in the face of overwhelming model support for this being "the big one" over a majority of the state, Richmond included. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmiser Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Heavy small flakes in King William County. Sticking quickly... you have to love a frozen ground! Nice to see some winter action. Enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cng885 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Snow just about stopped here in Blacksburg. 6.5 inches so far. Dry slot really taking a toll. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 9:40 snow started 25f 10:40 0.4" 25f 11:40 0.9" total 1.3" 24f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dswx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 RGEM accumulation is why Richmond needs its own board: from 24 inches or so in west end of city/bon air/midlo/short pump....to maybe 8 or 9 inches in the Tri-Cities. This is going to be close I strongly agree with this as I rarely make any posts here essentially because most discussions center on DC, MD and points north in the "Mid-Atlantic" section. Snow report: 1 inch as of 11:45 am, Bellevue, northside of Richmond, VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rmcwahoo Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I'm not far from you, I'm in the West End by UR/St. Chris What are your thoughts on how long we can keep the snow in here? And I'm interested in thoughts on tomorrow too. That could be a lot of fun because we won't have to worry about any mixing then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 KRIC 221654Z 05006KT 1/4SM R34/1800V3500FT +SN FZFG VV010 M04/M05 A3020 AO2 SLP234 SNINCR 1/1 P0006 T1039105 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralVaGirl Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Mailman just came by- 3-4 hours early Don't know if we'll see him tomorrow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rmcwahoo Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 My parents live on the oceanfront in Virginia Beach: heavy snow, giant flakes. Obviously that will be short lived, but I like hearing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 The air must be kinda dry. We've gone from big flakes to dust over the last 10-15 minutes. Hopefully the whole storm won't be like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dswx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Right now I think we got through tomorrow evening for precip. Obviously all snow much more likely north and west of the city with the evil mix affecting areas south and east. ;-) I'm not far from you, I'm in the West End by UR/St. Chris What are your thoughts on how long we can keep the snow in here? And I'm interested in thoughts on tomorrow too. That could be a lot of fun because we won't have to worry about any mixing then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 2"last hour it was coming down 9:40 snow started 25f 10:40 0.4" 25f 11:40 0.9" total 6 hour board total 1.3" 24f 12:40 2.0" 26f 6 hr. board total 2.4" hourly 3.3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Nice Jaime, congrats, natural snow FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Nice Jaime, congrats, natural snow FTWthanks man 9:40 snow started 25f 10:40 0.4" 25f 11:40 0.9" 24f 6 hr. board total 1.3" 12:40 2.0" 26f 6 hr. board total 2.4" 1:40 0.5" 26f 6 hr. board total 3.0" hourly 3.8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 thanks man 9:40 snow started 25f 10:40 0.4" 25f 11:40 0.9" 24f 6 hr. board total 1.3" 12:40 2.0" 26f 6 hr. board total 2.4" 1:40 0.5" 26f 6 hr. board total 3.0" hourly 3.8" Yeah, this light stuff doesn't pile up very fast. I wonder if we'll get any that stays consistently heavy for an extended period? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 A little over 3" right now. Steady snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Id agree a tad over 3 inches in my part of glen Allen.. Hopefully we can avoid the first dry spot that is west of the area right now we look to be in a good spot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Id agree a tad over 3 inches in my part of glen Allen.. Hopefully we can avoid the first dry spot that is west of the area right now we look to be in a good spot I think we'll be good on this front end stuff. Check out this beautiful loop: http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/radimg/anim_nrc.gif Moisture streaming up from the Atlantic. Transfer will be underway shortly. The question here is whether or not we get under the death band tomorrow morning. All of the models have it in the general vicinity of RIC but the meso models are a tad warmer than the globals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rmcwahoo Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Man that radar is sweet. Wonder if we can put up 6-8 inches by like 9 or 10? Seems doable. Tomorrow will definitely tell the tale as to whether or not this becomes historic, and really by that I mean the 33 year drought at RIC finally comes to an end! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rmcwahoo Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Small note that my NWS grid forecast has gone from 2-4 overnight to 4-8. So I'll take that as a positive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 9:40 snow started 25f 10:40 0.4" 25f 11:40 0.9" 24f 6 hr. board total 1.3" 12:40 2.0" 26f 6 hr. board total 2.4" 1:40 0.5" 26f 6 hr. board total 3.0" 2:40 0.3" 25f 6hr. board total 3.4" hourly 4.1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Slowed down to a flizzard/light snow over VCU. Not sure why, since the radar looks great. Hopefully some heavier pockets will move through shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralVaGirl Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I don't have a snow board, but I had 3.25" on the walk at 2 PM. (West End, Tuckahoe) Sounds like some ice mixing in, but snow is still steady. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MACoastWx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 What an impressive storm! Glad to see most everyone is cashing in, even those in the SEVA/HR/ESVA right now. Hard to fathom that I am sitting here at 25.2 F with heavy, dry powder falling and 5-6 hrs from now its supposed to be raining with surf temps rocketing. Short range models still very persistent with the nwd prog of the 850 0c line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hikingfool85 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Got 4.2" here in Far western Henrico, near the Goochland county line on Patterson. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeVa Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Euro says 4" down near ORF and 20" up near Williamsburg. 30-50mile shift east of the low track has huge implications. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nnweather757 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 2.5 inches of snow in Newport News. Still coming down light to moderate. Haven't seen the Euro clown maps, but I'l assume that Newport News and Suffolk are right in the middle of that crazy difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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