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  On 1/30/2015 at 9:51 PM, Always in Zugzwang said:

At this point, f** it, I almost wish it would just become a cutter.  That's where it was a few days ago anyhow.

 

  On 1/30/2015 at 9:51 PM, Ian said:

lol terrible

 

At least it's going to miss by a long shot.  If Philly north all got a foot of cold powder this would sting.  With this look you gotta be west of Cleveland to feel safe.

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Look at it this way. As someone already mentioned, 0Z last night was the start of the trend. If a reverse trend can begin tonight, then we'll be right back where we were 24 hours ago. It's low probability, but who knows...

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  On 1/30/2015 at 9:56 PM, Bob Chill said:

I'm most interested in how far northwest this thing can go now. I'm not sure it's done. 

It'll probably go back to what the models had before they gave us some sexy snowmap. Was it ever a lakes cutter? SW PA low seems fair game at least.  :axe: 

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  On 1/30/2015 at 9:56 PM, Bob Chill said:

I'm most interested in how far northwest this thing can go now. I'm not sure it's done. 

ive never seen such a dramatic turnaround/jump so close to the start of an event. its just mindboggling how we blew this

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  On 1/30/2015 at 9:56 PM, BTRWx said:

Look at it this way. As someone already mentioned, 0Z last night was the start of the trend. If a reverse trend can begin tonight, then we'll be right back where we were 24 hours ago. It's low probability, but who knows...

I know there's no way we're getting this one back to how it looked yesterday. 

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  On 1/30/2015 at 9:56 PM, Bob Chill said:

I'm most interested in how far northwest this thing can go now. I'm not sure it's done. 

That would be a plus for the model, imo. Either the trend continues consistently in one direction or a full pendulum occurs and...see above

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  On 1/30/2015 at 9:57 PM, clskinsfan said:

Its ridiculous that I wasted 5 days of my life tracking this ****ing disaster. We barely get a god damn snow shower before it soaks us. I might have had more snow this morning with the streamer that parked over me.

Was thinking that as it came down. Too bad it is true.

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  On 1/30/2015 at 9:57 PM, Ian said:

It'll probably go back to what the models had before they gave us some sexy snowmap. Was it ever a lakes cutter? SW PA low seems fair game at least.   :axe:

 

Every run today has bumped up heights in front of the vort from it's previous cycle. Until I see that stabilize, I'm thinking this one is going to bum out a lot more people than just our area. 

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  On 1/30/2015 at 9:59 PM, Bob Chill said:

Every run today has bumped up heights in front of the vort from it's previous cycle. Until I see that stabilize, I'm thinking this one is going to bum out a lot more people than just our area. 

NYC already refusing to put up watches and getting ragged for it. :P 

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  On 1/30/2015 at 9:58 PM, BTRWx said:

That would be a plus for the model, imo. Either the trend continues consistently in one direction or a full pendulum occurs and...see above

 

Unless models are totally blowing h5 inside of 24 hours (very unlikely), there is no way this is swinging back appreciably. 

 

The reasons we had sweet runs yesterday and the day before aren't verifying anymore. 

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  On 1/30/2015 at 9:57 PM, clskinsfan said:

Its ridiculous that I wasted 5 days   months of my life tracking this ****ing disaster. We barely get a god damn snow shower before it soaks us. I might have had more snow this morning with the streamer that parked over me. 

FYP--adjusting for the winter as a whole (or hole as it is).

 

MDstorm

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  On 1/30/2015 at 10:03 PM, Bob Chill said:

Unless models are totally blowing h5 inside of 24 hours (very unlikely), there is no way this is swinging back appreciably. 

 

The reasons we had sweet runs yesterday and the day before aren't verifying anymore. 

All models wrong in unison makes for happy snow weenies though. 

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