WEATHER53 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 We will know by late Sunday morning. 30.20+ with northerly winds and we are good, 30.05- and easterly or southerly and no snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Pittsburgh was forecasted to get 28F. Still in the teens. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Wonder if this could end up a sleety mess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Can we agree on no more snow maps....at least til the time of a model run at which an event is over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bari Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 7:01 PM, leesburg 04 said: Wonder if this could end up a sleety mess anything but 33 and rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 6:22 PM, zwyts said: They're totally bootleg...we see them every +NAO winter and they are near useless....we are much better off getting a faux western block like the one you championed before 2/12/14 Yeah those EPO breaks into the west NAO regions can be pretty effective. Perhaps that would happen this year if the AO was so freakin positive! On 1/30/2015 at 6:42 PM, Tenman Johnson said: Also, I think the cold high has slowed. Today was supposed to be low to mid 30's and dropping by noon, instead it is 40ish and temperatures beginning to drop just in last hour. You're right; it has slowed. These changes at the surface are definitely a sign of the slight adjustments we are seeing with the upper air features. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 I don't think todays temps mean anything. We end up warmer than forecast shortly after frontal passage on NW-WNW winds more often than not. ETA: I'll go with what HM said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Over/under on how much farther northwest the 18Z NAM brings the surface low? Might as well see, at this point it's like watching a wreck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 7:40 PM, Always in Zugzwang said: Over/under on how much farther northwest the 18Z NAM brings the surface low? Might as well see, at this point it's like watching a wreck.Think it actually shifts around 30-50 miles SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 7:40 PM, Always in Zugzwang said: Over/under on how much farther northwest the 18Z NAM brings the surface low? Might as well see, at this point it's like watching a wreck.[/quote 40 miles NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 7:40 PM, UVVmet84 said: Think it actually shifts around 30-50 miles SE. Yeah, I don't think it will be as extreme as 12Z (we got dry-slotted almost completely). Though I don't necessarily think any changes at this point even to the SE will make much difference for a lot of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 7:40 PM, Always in Zugzwang said: Over/under on how much farther northwest the 18Z NAM brings the surface low? Might as well see, at this point it's like watching a wreck. My guess is it catches onto something and NAM's us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 I do not know where LWX comes up with this SundayA chance of snow. Cloudy, with a high near 35. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Sunday NightSnow likely before 1am, then snow, freezing rain, and sleet. Low around 20. Chance of precipitation is 90%. MondaySnow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 23. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 7:47 PM, interstate said: My guess is it catches onto something and NAM's us We already got NAM'd, just not in the normal way we think of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 7:48 PM, interstate said: I do not know where LWX comes up with this SundayA chance of snow. Cloudy, with a high near 35. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Sunday NightSnow likely before 1am, then snow, freezing rain, and sleet. Low around 20. Chance of precipitation is 90%. MondaySnow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 23. Chance of precipitation is 60%. low near 20 hahahahhaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 EPS mean definitely is worse than last night...not by a ton...but worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 7:43 PM, ers-wxman1 said: On 1/30/2015 at 7:40 PM, Always in Zugzwang said: Over/under on how much farther northwest the 18Z NAM brings the surface low? Might as well see, at this point it's like watching a wreck.[/quote 40 miles NW probably...15z SREF is awful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 7:57 PM, Ji said: last night the big changes came at 00z......tonight is probably break or break Same range we lost the last storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 The Euro members are pretty ugly. Kinda surprised the mean looks that good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 7:58 PM, Ian said: The Euro members are pretty ugly. Kinda surprised the mean looks that good. Just pick the most favorable one and clearly that is will lead the way at 0z. A reverse of what happened the least favorable GFS member led the way last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 8:01 PM, NE Balti Zen said: Just pick the most favorable one and clearly that is will lead the way at 0z. A reverse of what happened the least favorable GFS member led the way last night. Member #48 drops 10-20" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 8:01 PM, NE Balti Zen said: Just pick the most favorable one and clearly that is will lead the way at 0z. A reverse of what happened the least favorable GFS member led the way last night. Pre appalachians wiggle.. NW clustering is new run v last night at same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 NAM late today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 EPS looked basically identical to the op run in all the important ways imho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 8:06 PM, zwyts said: NAM late today? Only out to panel 12... Looks better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 8:05 PM, Ian said: Pre appalachians wiggle.. NW clustering is new run v last night at same time. My God that looks awful! Complete opposite of yesterday afternoon when there were a couple or so to the NW and a big cluster to the E/SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 24 panel basically the same... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 8:05 PM, Ian said: Pre appalachians wiggle.. NW clustering is new run v last night at same time. New one has a couple more L to the SW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 8:05 PM, Ian said: Pre appalachians wiggle.. NW clustering is new run v last night at same time. no way to stop the the Appalachian wiggle gif either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 This is a good depiction of what Ian, matt, and myself said we should root for. I'm hugging it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.