NorthArlington101 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 12z Thursday 12z Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Almost identical to 6Z at hr 49 with the precip shield eta: Much colder though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Surface reflection initialized even further west. Weird pattern...moisture plume starts in the desert Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 I didn't look at 6z but it doesn't look any better than 0z did thru 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 This isnt gonna be much of a difference...lets stop the extreme model extrapolation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 QPF into DC metro by 51 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Low developing quicker.. west of memphis at 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Eh, warmer than 0z thru 57... can't be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Eh, warmer than 0z thru 57... can't be good. It's discouraging for sure, but for some reason I'm not ready to quit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Its's tons better than the NAM for sure. Super Bowl snows on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Eh, warmer than 0z thru 57... can't be good. Unless...wedges? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 AT 60 its south no doubt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 A touch south of 6z. Better than the Nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 It's discouraging for sure, but for some reason I'm not ready to quit. I think now we root for a stronger low and more front end thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Almost identical to 6Z at hr 49 with the precip shield eta: Much colder though nvm, snow to lots of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Its's tons better than the NAM for sure. Super Bowl snows on this run. Tons? I am on my phone and can't see maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Low starts cutting through WVA again at hr 66, not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 It's almost the exact same as 0z but the low is a little stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Eh, warmer than 0z thru 57... can't be good. AT 60 its south no doubt :axe: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 I think now we root for a stronger low and more front end thump. Pretty much what I was thinking. I mean this run is south of 6z but like 20 miles south. Low is a little stronger though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 MSLP is going to go right over us looking at 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 :axe: We're not comparing the same run maybe ... I never looked at 6z.. those runs suck anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 I think now we root for a stronger low and more front end thump. Sounds to me the bleeding stopped with the gfs.....I know Bob I know...H5 the worst since H5 was invented...but the play by play sounds like no worse than 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 People are comparing different things here. It is better than the NAM, but the NAM was just about as bad as could be. The GFS allows for a little bit of frozen (not necessarily snow) on the front end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 It's almost the exact same as 0z but the low is a little stronger. I changed my mind, Im ready to give up. These models all seem to be doing the same thing. Probably overestimated the cold push south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Plenty of cold rain by hr 72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 how are you guys getting these runs so fast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 SIDE by side comparing 6z to 12zhttp://www.stormvistawxmodels.com/img/gfs/current/12z/GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ma_f72.pnghttp://www.stormvistawxmodels.com/img/gfs/current/06z/GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ma_f78.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Pretty much what I was thinking. I mean this run is south of 6z but like 20 miles south. Low is a little stronger though. A good reason not to run too high early. You can maybe still salvage something up front if we can push good moisture out ahead of it. Not something that works out here a ton but maybe. Glad I'm not mapgirl. She's like 10 feet away from a big hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 MSLP is going to go right over us looking at 72 Yeah. NAM was perhaps the extreme northwest case. GFS is more or less similar to previous couple of cycles though somewhat stronger as others pointed out. Meh, maybe it will bomb out on the coast and give us some nice wrap-around bands LOL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.