Ji Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 NAM building a SE ridge like its summertime. lets see what the GFS/GGEM say today. NAM is useful at 6-12 hours out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 This run is hilarious...we may not even get much precip Good, as far as I'm concerned, in that case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 NYC is borderline.It's a New England winter now. Those rarely turn for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Could be dry slotted and downright mild if the NAM is right. What a reversal from yesterday!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 lets see what the GFS/GGEM say today. NAM is useful at 6-12 hours out You forgot to put the Euro in there too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Even NYC, NJ and Long Island lose snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 NAM does give me an inch lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 USA_APCPIPER_sfc_078.gif where have i seen that before? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 It's a New England winter now. Those rarely turn for us. Might be far enough north to affect the dendritic growth in Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Too bad it's not late spring...could get tornadoes in this pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Boston gets the jackpot again on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 What are the chances that the NAM leads the way days before an event? Watch the GFS now completely suppress it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 12z is the furthest north yet and the worst h5 look. We're still bleeding. yeah, I hadn't seen the later maps we're done if the other models are close to this let all the snow haters out there get their way, I just hope they enjoy freezing their azzes off at 5 degrees, snow or not! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 This run is hilarious...we may not even get much precip This. Could end up a glorified frontal passage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 What are the chances that the NAM leads the way days before an event? Watch the GFS now completely suppress it. Better chance of being struck by lightning twice in Siberia than seeing the GFS come south this run. Pattern is locked up and I don't believe it's coming back. Maybe a few fluctuations here and there but our chances for a moderate snowstorm are finished. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Looking good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 What are the chances that the NAM leads the way days before an event? Watch the GFS now completely suppress it. I know you're saying this a bit tongue-in-cheek, but at this point I'd be utterly shocked if the GFS did that. On a related note, I'd have taken those more suppressed solutions the other day with 1-3" or 2-4" followed by the very cold air than what we're seeing now (even if areas to the south jackpotted instead of us). At least that would be more wintry-looking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 USA_APCPIPER_sfc_078.gif Classic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Better chance of being struck by lightning twice in Siberia than seeing the GFS come south this run. Pattern is locked up and I don't believe it's coming back. Maybe a few fluctuations here and there but our chances for a moderate snowstorm are finished. You also thought we wouldn't torch yesterday. I think anything is possible still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Better chance of being struck by lightning twice in Siberia than seeing the GFS come south this run. Pattern is locked up and I don't believe it's coming back. Maybe a few fluctuations here and there but our chances for a moderate snowstorm are finished. Absolutes? Love it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Looking good! told ya' Captain as much as I would have loved to eat crow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 I know you're saying this a bit tongue-in-cheek, but at this point I'd be utterly shocked if the GFS did that. On a related note, I'd have taken those more suppressed solutions the other day with 1-3" or 2-4" followed by the very cold air than what we're seeing now (even if areas to the south jackpotted instead of us). At least that would be more wintry-looking. exactly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 You also thought we wouldn't torch yesterday. I think anything is possible still. I don't believe I commented on yesterday's system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Might as well start seeing that GL low that was in the models a few days back re-appear, at this point. We're practically back to where we were then after a two day interlude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 What on earth is causing this crazy reversal? A few days ago we were looking at a suppressed storm in the Carolinas, and now we're looking at a Pittsburgh rain storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 What on earth is causing this crazy reversal? A few days ago we were looking at a suppressed storm in the Carolinas, and now we're looking at a Pittsburgh rain storm. Others can add more detail (and perhaps more accurately), but in short the confluence isn't as strong and thus the big high isn't pushing down as much over the top of the system. It's mostly moving in behind the storm. So it cuts up to our northwest. That, and I believe the shortwave is being depicted stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 I don't believe I commented on yesterday's system. My mistake. I was caught off guard by the quote about issuing winter weather headlines later today until things flipped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Can we please keep the banter in the banter thread? Thanks. This one is for serious model analysis.........and tears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 what are you guys worried about? We have 2 great models that still show snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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