nj2va Posted January 29, 2015 Author Share Posted January 29, 2015 At 108, -10 sfc runs from extreme NE MD southwest to WV. What a run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Too soon. Too soon for what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 In case you're wondering if temps will support snow, early Monday morning as we are getting raked, the temp at DCA is 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Haven't broke it out all year... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Holy Lloyd Christmas!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Angela T Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Can a member please post the GFS maps? Not snow maps, just the model run itself. Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 What say you now, Mitch : I'll eat crow for snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Yes!!! Now I won't be able to sleep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Wow. Great run! Hope it's there during my morning coffee...for the next 3 days! Think we can up the QPF in the next day or so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Holy moly! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 29, 2015 Author Share Posted January 29, 2015 It seems like the pattern would support something along the lines of what the GFS is showing (amounts aside)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Can a member please post the GFS maps? Not snow maps, just the model run itself. Thank you. You can find them here -- http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/model-guidance-model-parameter.php?group=Model%20Guidance&model=gfs&area=namer&cycle=20150129%2000%20UTC¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&fourpan=no&imageSize=M&ps=area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Too soon for what? to get too excited and all JMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 I hope it doesn't go too far north. I remember Wes said a couple days ago that he preferred a northern track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rmcwahoo Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Man that run hurts for Richmond Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Angela T Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Neve Can a member please post the GFS maps? Not snow maps, just the model run itself. Thank you. [/quo Never mind. I saw the clown maps. I liked the surpressed look better. We get better snows around here with that type of pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benjammin Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Man that run hurts for Richmond It always hurts for Richmond. Almost always. Nothing new there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yuki neko Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 This is a full fledged MECS. Newbie question: What does MECS stand for? And while we're at it... SECS and HECS too Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 I hope it doesn't go too far north. I remember Wes said a couple days ago that he preferred a northern track. A lot has changed since then. The pv is much more assertive and it's close to a lock that a big cutter or runner is off the table. It could still happen but much less likely given latest guidance. We'll know for sure in 24 hours. The bigger risk is a squashed and sheared evolution that is a light or non-event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Newbie question: What does MECS stand for? And while we're at it... SECS and HECS too Thanks MECS = Major East Coast snowstorm (generally meaning widespread double digit totals) SECS = Significant (4-8" or so) HECS = Historic (among the top storms on record) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwonder Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Major East Coast snow Significant East Coast snow Historic East Coast snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Newbie question: What does MECS stand for? And while we're at it... SECS and HECS too Thanks Significant east coast storm Major east coast storm Historic east coast storm Biblical east coast storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 lol weenies it's good.. the pattern is good. moves fast.. not sure that's a mecs.. secs sure. but who cares it has only showed it one run in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 lock and load ... 8-12" ... map potential, not an actual forecast (yet) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Sweet run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 lol weenies it's good.. the pattern is good. moves fast.. not sure that's a mecs.. secs sure. but who cares it has only showed it one run in a row. We know the risks. There are plenty. But the 12z suite trended away from a rain event (except for the GGEM) and towards a light snow event. Now 12 hours later the first global of the suite says maybe. 12z jma might score the coup. haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 All these snow maps are 10-1. We would do A LOT better than that with those temps. Its probably an area wide foot of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 All these snow maps are 10-1. We would do A LOT better than that with those temps. Its probably an area wide foot of snow. thinking the same thing, but that's putting the cart before the horse I suppose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 thinking the same thing, but that's putting the cart before the horse I suppose Yeah. I guess I should have added "as depicted" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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