yoda Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 1044 H nosing into the N Plains at 57 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Absolutely Wes...especially for us east of the fall line and along/south of Rte. 50.. Brian, if the 18Z GFS low track and 500 vort track verify, even I'd be all snow. My worry is that the track could still end up a tad north of the GFS track, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Looks a little north with the vort out west, but that doesn't necessarily mean anything. Does seem slightly more amped...maybe back to the 12z version Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Looks like the precip shield is further north at 57 compared to 18Z. Less push from the HP? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 at 1AM, 850 temp and thickness at BWI is now identical to the 12Z run....how often does that happen either with or without a storm coming? not very I would imagine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Precip shield is definitely north on the north side, into Chicago. 850 line is about the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Precip shield is definitely north on the north side, into Chicago. 850 line is about the same. THat's important. NAM definitely looks more "juiced" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 push from the Midwest cold not what it was on 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 looking at 60 hr sim/rad, it looks to correct south with the shield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 We are not getting the Sunday afternoon love on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 1044 in C Plains at 66... 1032 in Quebec... very light precip in LWX CWA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Just a weird quirk Tbh. I studied hard during my years in the Rockies because snow setups are basically range specific. Since I was addicted to powder skiing I spent a lot of time understanding exactly what to look for to get good snow in my specific county. I was really good at it. It's no different with my yard here. Unfortunately much less prolific. Haha Eta: what matt said. I'm a one trick pony in small region. It really is silly but fun. Just exactly what my son is doing out there now. Hoping this hangs together and decides to let the rest of the area enjoy some snow this time. The 'wall' from 'Shoe' across to DC has been all north of last month or so...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 which run does the NAM give us 3 inches of qpf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 We are not getting the Sunday afternoon love on this run. ughh...I hope ur wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 The nam jumps around and goes amp crazy at times. Not worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Looks like light snow at DCA hr 69 or just after Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Surface low in central KY. Not where we want it for a + event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 50/50 is not as assertive this run from 18z, that's for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 The nam jumps around and goes amp crazy at times. Not worried. agreed, more than the globals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 you guys are worried about the NAM 60 hours out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 850 temps are a hair colder in most locals vs. 12z, including Louisvile, KY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Meh, 78 kinda sucks riding the 0c 850 line... but its the NAM at LR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 you guys are worried about the NAM 60 hours out? I was hoping someone would at least verbalize it, even though we all know it....so thanks...this is something to pass the time...it couldn't be more irrelevant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 81 is ugly, luckily it's the 81h panel on the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 looks good to me http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fnam%2F00%2Fnam_namer_078_sim_radar.gif&model=nam&area=namer&storm=&cycle=00¶m=sim_radar&fhr=078&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&ps=model&use_mins=no&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150130+00+UTC&scrollx=0&scrolly=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 And we all lose the 850's at 81. Scary run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 you guys are worried about the NAM 60 hours out? No, just following along. This run is a bust. Raining at 9z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Looks like the old miller b screw you track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 I'm almost laughing at this solution with liquid. Now's the time for the NAM to go awry. http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015013000&time=INSTANT&var=PTYPE&hour=078 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 I was hoping someone would at least verbalize it, even though we all know it....so thanks...this is something to pass the time...it couldn't be more irrelevant But you know people are going to panic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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