dailylurker Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 same here, but a lot of ppl are not weird like us.That's the best part. I like to put all my snow into one big pile so I can make it last as long as I can. I have a shady spot just for it. Weird? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 The 18z gfs members suggest that just about anything is still on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 What the GFS is showing really isn't bad at all. .10+ liquid in the form of white powder across much of the region. Sure beats a Cleveland Steamer. And there is room for this to juice up a little bit if any bit of that southern stream energy in the southwest can interact or if the ridge out west can strengthen up. I like where we stand on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 The 18z gfs members suggest that just about anything is still on the table. Any big hits? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Any big hits? A couple look like decent events...nothing I'd call big Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Saturday should be telling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 You will take your 2-3" and like it. I will take my cartopper coating and I'll like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 I'd take a strung out couple inches for sure. I'm with those who'd prefer that over a messy few inches followed by drizzle. To each his own. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 I'll take anything that's not cold rain or a missed opportunity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 I'd take a strung out couple inches for sure. I'm with those who'd prefer that over a messy few inches followed by drizzle. To each his own. If I could get 5-6" followed by freezing drizzle I'd take it happily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 srefs look like they are in the flat, cold camp I know, I know, but wtf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 29, 2015 Author Share Posted January 29, 2015 srefs look like they are in the flat, cold camp I know, I know, but wtf Yeah, 500 map looks flat. Almost time to extrapolate the NAM. It's out to 35 on IWM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Yeah, 500 map looks flat. Almost time to extrapolate the NAM. It's out to 35 on IWM. 1045 H nosing into the Plains and okay moisture out ahead of it... I think we would do okay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 NAM is a whole lot of something. Doesn't look as flat with the H5 map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 29, 2015 Author Share Posted January 29, 2015 1045 H nosing into the Plains and okay moisture out ahead of it... I think we would do okay Yeah, I'd take our chances with the setup shown on the NAM at 84. It looks pretty ampy, too. ::ducksforcover:: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 NAM is a whole lot of something. Doesn't look as flat with the H5 map I don't believe that would end up raining on us, and should be snow. But the 200mb map suggests it wouldn't be a monster, more like overrunning http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=084ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F00%2Fnam_namer_084_200_wnd_ht.gif&model=nam&area=namer¶m=200_wnd_ht&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150129+00+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 NAM is a whole lot of something. Doesn't look as flat with the H5 map This should probably be in banter. #$$#% extrapolating the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 of course, speed up that secondary vort behind the main one, and it would probably cut nicely....our throats and to our west http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=084ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F00%2Fnam_namer_084_500_vort_ht.gif&model=nam&area=namer¶m=500_vort_ht&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150129+00+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 NAM is a whole lot of something. Doesn't look as flat with the H5 map Looks a bit like yesterday's 18z gfs....perhaps a bit more amped in the mid section. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 12 hrs is an eternity in the weather world Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Looks a bit like yesterday's 18z gfs....perhaps a bit more amped in the mid section. 50/50 hanging in there though at 84....just don't extrapolate!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Seriously. We'll see a monster on the GFS, lose it on the euro, see hopes of an extrapolated storm on the 6Z NAM (and again at 12Z) but lose the 0Z GFS monster on the 6Z run. 12 hrs is an eternity in the weather world Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 We're gonna be fine on this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 We're gonna be fine on this one that sounds familiar, let me think.......oh yeah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 that sounds familiar, let me think.......oh yeah lol. classic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 that sounds familiar, let me think.......oh yeah LMAO. Now that is funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Titanic time is over. GFS is running, but I'm glad you lived to tell us about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 on a positive note, this is the updated NAO/EPO, etc. graphs link I posted that was updated last night note the PNA does not go neutral and the NAO stays negative for a few more days ftp://ftp.cdc.noaa.gov/Public/gbates/reforecast2/teleconn/4panel.png we'll see if it ends up making a difference in the end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Decent 1046 H moving into the Northern Plains at 78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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