CAPE Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Lol at all the NAM micro analysis. Noise. This thing is gone. Let it go. Western ridge amplitude/placement sucks. SE ridge isnt going to magically disappear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windman18 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 2:34 PM, mdsnowlover said: out of curiosity what is the mb reading of the high in canada and se? The one in the southeast looks to be 1026mb moving se. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Sleets a coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 2:41 PM, lemonserpent said: The one in the southeast looks to be 1026mb moving se. that's the reading for the high in canada, on the graph it appeared as though the se reading was 1007, interesting, you would think it would go farther south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 2:41 PM, leesburg 04 said: Sleets a comingnam is dry for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 2:41 PM, lemonserpent said: The one in the southeast looks to be 1026mb moving se. masco maybe right here, arctic airmass maybe stronger than read by models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windman18 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam/2015013112/nam_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_12.png Northern MD looks to get 9-12 hrs of frozen precip and some don't even change to rain. Low is in Garrett count as opposed to west central pa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 2:45 PM, Ji said: nam is dry for us Exactly Ji! That's the troubling part IMO. I'm as blindly optimistic as anybody here, but I see nothing encouraging in the latest NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 2:45 PM, Ji said: nam is dry for us 0z tonight grasshopper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 2:48 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: Exactly Ji! That's the troubling part IMO. I'm as blindly optimistic as anybody here, but I see nothing encouraging in the latest NAM I'm not looking at models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 NAM isn't really any better. A 998mb low in Western MD is not a good thing for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Looking at 2m and 850 temps, I think the NAM came in a little warmer this run around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 2:51 PM, leesburg 04 said: I'm not looking at models Just keep updating me on the Leesburg model. I trust it more anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 2:48 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: Exactly Ji! That's the troubling part IMO. I'm as blindly optimistic as anybody here, but I see nothing encouraging in the latest NAM Its even warm on the backside where there is some precip. 6z GFS suggested a changeover to snow briefly, although that rarely ever works out. If the GFS can tick towards the Euro, and the Euro holds or comes in a tad colder, N MD maybe could do ok with frozen/freezing precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 2:53 PM, PhineasC said: NAM isn't really any better. A 998mb low in Western MD is not a good thing for us. It's not good. I guess the only hope is that it's wrong as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windman18 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Anybody know what the euro showed last night? Better or worse than the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Am assuming the "snow" accums for northern MD would be mostly sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 RGEM also looks to be warmer. GGEM will almost certainly follow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Hoping my 1-2" frozen snow cover can survive the wall-to-wall sunshine today, and that winds are light tomorrow evening. If both of those things happen, frozen precip can hang on quite a while here in the valley tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Staged Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Does GFS stand for Goes Further South this run? That northern High is a wuss and is scared to push that little low around (trying to start a fight) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Not much different from 6z. A touch slower and a little deeper low. I do think the cold will be tougher to scour out than the models show right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 3:47 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: Not much different from 6z. A touch slower and a little deeper low. I do think the cold will be tougher to scour out than the models show right now. It's still shifting nw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 2:08 PM, leesburg 04 said: I've been more right than wrong this year...just sayin...my dart board has been money!! Remember...dumbest model wins...and I'm pretty dumb....for a model sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 3:50 PM, Ian said: sleet He's riding this analog hard: [From Raymond Martin's winter storm site] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 3:50 PM, Ian said: sleet <3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 Poor SNEEE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 3:56 PM, leesburg 04 said: <3 Might be all rain here lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 This storm has already sleeted all over us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 31, 2015 Author Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 3:49 PM, Bob Chill said: It's still shifting nw. Good call yesterday by you saying it's still correcting north. I was a bit intrigued looking at the GFS 850s as they eventually crash here with some precip still around but the surface is in the mid 40s (below 850 still above probably anyways). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 31, 2015 Share Posted January 31, 2015 On 1/31/2015 at 4:10 PM, WxWatcher007 said: I don't see many reasons why that wouldn't continue. How north can it go? Lol there is a reason but i sure can't explain it!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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