clskinsfan Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 NAM a little weaker with the northern vort it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Panel 33 looks better than panel 39 on the 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 8:05 PM, Ian said: Pre appalachians wiggle.. NW clustering is new run v last night at same time. If its gonna be NW, a little more NW might be beneficial. Less dry slot, more front end thump.........possibly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 All signs on the NAM at 33 is its coming south this run. http://www.txtornado.net/NAM/new_slp_nam_all_18.htmNEW http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=033ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F18%2Fnam_namer_033_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif&model=nam&area=namer¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150130+18+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=areaOLDhttp://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fnam%2F12%2Fnam_namer_039_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif&model=nam&area=namer&storm=&cycle=12¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&fhr=039&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&ps=area&use_mins=no&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150130+12+UTC&scrollx=0&scrolly=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 8:18 PM, Bob Chill said: This is a good depiction of what Ian, matt, and myself said we should root for. I'm hugging it. 48.JPG What, you mean more wound up system...thus better front-end thump? (And, possibility of re-development just looking at that single surface map.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 8:18 PM, Bob Chill said: This is a good depiction of what Ian, matt, and myself said we should root for. I'm hugging it. 48.JPG lol.. i knew those full size EPS members were a bad idea. we do need full sized snow ones though.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 7:48 PM, interstate said: <p> I do not know where LWX comes up with this Sunday A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a high near 35. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Sunday Night Snow likely before 1am, then snow, freezing rain, and sleet. Low around 20. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Monday Snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 23. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Lol...good question Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 8:18 PM, Bob Chill said: This is a good depiction of what Ian, matt, and myself said we should root for. I'm hugging it. 48.JPG I agree, but who's the jackass that picks those colors? I can barely read that thing. BTW, we need that low just a little more south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 8:20 PM, Ravens94 said: All signs on the NAM at 33 is its coming south this run. http://www.txtornado.net/NAM/new_slp_nam_all_18.htm I hope so. NEW http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=033ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F18%2Fnam_namer_033_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif&model=nam&area=namer¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150130+18+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=area OLDhttp://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fnam%2F12%2Fnam_namer_039_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif&model=nam&area=namer&storm=&cycle=12¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&fhr=039&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&ps=area&use_mins=no&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150130+12+UTC&scrollx=0&scrolly=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 8:21 PM, Ian said: lol.. i knew those full size EPS members were a bad idea. we do need full sized snow ones though.. Crap, I thought that was the mean!!!!!!!!!! LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Precip shield again looks more west @hr 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 8:23 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: Crap, I thought that was the mean!!!!!!!!!! LOL yeah i was confused for a second too having seen the mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 8:23 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: Crap, I thought that was the mean!!!!!!!!!! LOL Nope. Just the sweetest cherry out of 51 to pick from. AiZ is right, it jumps the coast in time and continue to pummel after the lull. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 8:24 PM, Ian said: yeah i was confused for a second too having seen the mean.I like it but the stamps are also cool, especially the new close in ones on DC. Weatherbell is far and away the best data source. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 8:20 PM, interstate said: Panel 33 looks better than panel 39 on the 12z Looks worse to me. We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 h5 heights are a little lower in the east.............lol.................a tiny bit. With a little less phase in the middle? I'm grasping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 8:21 PM, ers-wxman1 said: Lol...good question I know, right?? On the point-and-click for my area (SS/Chevy Chase area), it has for Sunday night: "Rain and snow before 1AM, then snow and freezing rain. Low around 24." And for Monday: "Snow likely. Mostly cloudy with a high near 26." Now I know the point-and-clicks are automated, but WTF is up with the reasoning for that forecast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 8:25 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: Looks worse to me. We shall see. What are you looking at... I am look at the 500s only Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 8:25 PM, UVVmet84 said: I like it but the stamps are also cool, especially the new close in ones on DC. Weatherbell is far and away the best data source. it is very nice.. tho GFS comes out awful slowly lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 8:27 PM, Ian said: it is very nice.. tho GFS comes out awful slowly lately. True I have noticed that, I'd prefer all the goods without any trade offs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Looks similar to 12z to me thru 45.. maybe a little slower with the main body mainly. low forming over Mo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 8:26 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: h5 heights are a little lower in the east.............lol.................a tiny bit. With a little less phase in the middle? I'm grasping. Hey... all we need is 10 miles south each run and we are golden...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 8:29 PM, Ian said: Looks similar to 12z to me thru 45.. maybe a little slower with the main body mainly. low forming over Mo. I am only at 39... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 8:25 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: Looks worse to me. We shall see. Overall moisture plume looks to be in a similar position, but heavier stuff shifted slightly southwest hr 45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 8:29 PM, Ian said: Looks similar to 12z to me thru 45.. maybe a little slower with the main body mainly. low forming over Mo. We're getting close to the point where any jog south will be offset by a jog north the next cycle. I haven't seen a single thing since I woke up that leads me to believe were in the game for much. A little on the front and maybe a touch on the back and a big S sandwich during intermission. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Almost a mirror image of 12Z at hr 48, unfortunately http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2015013018&time=INSTANT&var=PTYPE&hour=048 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Looks similar to 12z, by the time precipitation reaches us, the 0 850s are north of DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 8:31 PM, Bob Chill said: We're getting close to the point where any jog south will be offset by a jog north the next cycle. I haven't seen a single thing since I woke up that leads me to believe were in the game for much. A little on the front and maybe a touch on the back and a big S sandwich during intermission. Yep..... just bored on a Friday afternoon killing time. The run sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 It's cool - it's the 0z run that will reverse course from last night's 0z run. Clearly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 On 1/30/2015 at 8:36 PM, Ian said: Yep..... just bored on a Friday afternoon killing time. The run sucks. Indeed. Pretty much a wrap now, boys and girls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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