deltadog03 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Yep was even closer to something big for NC....should be something to keep an eye on through the weekend. very much so...better hit up that way. Here comes the southern smasher..Energy about to eject fully intact by hr 144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Euro actually puts down 1-3 for NC and probably 2-4 for RDU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 I agree for the most part but the GFS and Canadian bring warm air up over the eastern half of NC and turn it to rain. If it's already showing rain for those portions this far out it's not a good sign. Valid point but those things can be changed very easily in future runs. For example the speed of the low could be faster or the high could also hold longer. Another factor could be the track of the low and lots of times that will determine P-types. With this being so far out, things will change. We just have to hope the changes are in our favor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Looks like some light snow for NGA, upstate and into NC by 18z TUE and 00z WED. VERY light. I assume that system could set up the 50/50 Low for the next storm, would you agree? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Euro actually puts down 1-3 for NC and probably 2-4 for RDU. If I get a couple inches on Tuesday and a 5 inch hit Friday....all is forgiven for the first 3/4 of the winter. Me and Cohen will hug it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownheel Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Euro actually puts down 1-3 for NC and probably 2-4 for RDU. Seems a little bit like the 2000 setup (I know, hopeless optimist). Simply massive cold air injections along with 7-10 days of successive light to moderate events (sleetfest early this week, convective snow yesterday, perhaps a little bit on Saturday, 1-3/2-4 ish Mon-Tues next week followed by the Hammer of Thor late next week, the 2015 version of the Crusher. I would be quite happy with that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 I assume that system could set up the 50/50 Low for the next storm, would you agree? Thanks It bombs out to 966 over northern Maine at 162 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 I assume that system could set up the 50/50 Low for the next storm, would you agree? Thanks YES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UNCCmetgrad Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 I agree with those exact thoughts. It's highly encouraging to see the WPC say something like: THE MAIN THEMES REMAIN THE SAME: CONTINUED TRANSPORT OF ARCTIC AIR INTO THE EASTERN UNITED STATES AND PRIMARY STORM TRACK ANCHORED TO THE SOUTH. We are all pretty much forced all in for next week some time as Spring is right around the corner. Ending the season with a bang for everyone would be great. Totally agree with this last statement. Heat Pumps are NOT made for this kind of weather especially in a older house. Mine has not shut off since about 7or 8pm last night. Don't event want to think about next months electric bill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Totally agree with this last statement. Heat Pumps are NOT made for this kind of weather especially in a older house. Mine has not shut off since about 7or 8pm last night. Don't event want to think about next months electric bill.propane or wood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Light snow in AL, MS, little heavier back in Arkansas at 168 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Totally agree with this last statement. Heat Pumps are NOT made for this kind of weather especially in a older house. Mine has not shut off since about 7or 8pm last night. Don't event want to think about next months electric bill. We run a set of ventless gas logs to off set the heat pump when he goes below 20... Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Here comes the beast...some light snow over the SE on Thur with a weak piece...bid dawg back west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Totally agree with this last statement. Heat Pumps are NOT made for this kind of weather especially in a older house. Mine has not shut off since about 7or 8pm last night. Don't event want to think about next months electric bill. It has been painful. My emergency heat was cutting on with it set at 66. This is going to be a very painful month on the power bill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Euro looks like a classic. Clown maps aren't going to be insane but this is the look we want. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 SFC low in GOM, precip exploding over I-10 and spilling north. Light *ie Light* snow over into NGA, N AL and TN some into Upstate. VERY close to a raging ice storm for me and Shawn. Then the low throws moisture back over the Carolinas, but warms them up so it would be ice...a weird run...but, at least its there and suppressed is ok IMHO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Shawn should be happy CAE wins the fantasy snow on the Euro lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Euro looks like a classic. Clown maps aren't going to be insane but this is the look we want. AGREED...With that 1036mb+ high in control..this would hammer many...The hell with the clown maps right now... but, yes...many will be disappointed when they see them from this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 As usual the euro takes longer to bring out the sw cuff off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Euro looks like a classic. Clown maps aren't going to be insane but this is the look we want. Yep, 1039 HP kinda squashed it a little. This is what we want at this range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 SFC low in GOM, precip exploding over I-10 and spilling north. Light *ie Light* snow over into NGA, N AL and TN some into Upstate. VERY close to a raging ice storm for me and Shawn. Then the low throws moisture back over the Carolinas, but warms them up so it would be ice...a weird run...but, at least its there and suppressed is ok IMHO Hey Chris, maps I have access to look like snow for everyone west of 95. in NC...850's are cold enough probably 60 miles east of CLT or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 AGREED...With that 1036mb+ high in control..this would hammer many...The hell with the clown maps right now... but, yes...many will be disappointed when they see them from this run. All I want is the continued theme of a gulf low and nice big high pressure to the north holding hands as they gingerly walk across the US to the east. If that theme can continue through the weekend I'll be happy. Then we can start looking at trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Models are chaotic next week with storms in the southern stream (to be expected), but the cold keeps coming down. Here's the 850mb temp anomaly avg for days 5-10 on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UNCCmetgrad Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 It has been painful. My emergency heat was cutting on with it set at 66. This is going to be a very painful month on the power bill. Yep my auxiliary heat ran for most of the night once it reached about 15. We run a set of ventless gas logs to off set the heat pump when he goes below 20... Sent from my iPhone The last owner removed the fireplace/chemney. I should probably look into a couple of small kerosenes heater I suppose. Looking forward to late next week I think I'll take a miss on Tuesdays possible storm for the one at the end of the month. That system seems to have more of an upside as far as being a signature storm for most of the southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Models are chaotic next week with storms in the southern stream (to be expected), but the cold keeps coming down. Here's the 850mb temp anomaly avg for days 5-10 on the Euro agreed...honestly, I think you and many would agree....This is the PERFECT setup for a winter storm in the SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Shawn should be happy CAE wins the fantasy snow on the Euro lol. Starting to think when all is said and done, we are gonna have to possibly worry about ice this way sometime next week. You guys should fare better on the fluffy side of things. With that said, a weaker system as depicted may keep the WAA at bay.. and allow us to get some good flakes. If that thing over-strengthens ice is on the table at some point. Eric made a good point that in a setup like this, almost always there is some sort of ice involved at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 agreed...honestly, I think you and many would agree....This is the PERFECT setup for a winter storm in the SE. yeah delta, looks pretty good right now...just never know though with it being so far out...we're in the game for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevDodd Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Totally agree with this last statement. Heat Pumps are NOT made for this kind of weather especially in a older house. Mine has not shut off since about 7or 8pm last night. Don't event want to think about next months electric bill. Amen to the heat pump! Once ice is on the ground, it's a lost cause. We just shut ours off, hunker down with the heaters in one room, then race for the electric blankets in the other! If the storm next weekend comes in with ice again in the Sandhills, it'll be a long vacation for the heat pump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Sisk Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Starting to think when all is said and done, we are gonna have to possibly worry about ice this way sometime next week. You guys should fare better on the fluffy side of things. With that said, a weaker system as depicted may keep the WAA at bay.. and allow us to get some good flakes. If that thing over-strengthens ice is on the table at some point. Eric made a good point that in a setup like this, almost always there is some sort of ice involved at some point. I'll say again, the best snow I have experienced this winter was in your hometown on Nov 2. We were in town for a Gamecock football game...wakeup to huge snowflakes of heavy snow. End up with close to 4" on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLO Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 I'll say again, the best snow I have experienced this winter was in your hometown on Nov 2. We were in town for a Gamecock football game...wakeup to huge snowflakes of heavy snow. End up with close to 4" on the ground. Meanwhile 5 minutes away from there I got not a single flurry. I am pretty sure that snow melted in like 30 minutes. Most freakish thing ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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