Brick Tamland Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 You talk about it. Howuch do we get? Someone at the other board said close to 1.5 inches of snow. Ratios were 17:1 to 19:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Someone at the other board said close to 1.5 inches of snow. Ratios were 17:1 to 19:1. Nice... I didn't realize they were that high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 You talk about it. How much do we get?Trace, so you still have zero snow for the winter! . Nothing like arctic front snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 The clipper bears watching. It could put down a quick inch or two for some spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 It's somewhat there on 0z GFS , Wed night clipper for NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Have something to watch for Wednesday, Friday, and next Monday. Good times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Looks a little warm to me (around 32) for good ratios to last or make much difference. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 The clipper bears watching. It could put down a quick inch or two for some spots. This system bears watching for two reasons: 1.) The temperatures are SO COLD, that the ratios will be INSANE and you would be surprised where certain lucky places will see a couple of inches where others will not, however... 2.) I remember the proverbial "fly in the ointment" storm from 2003 (or was it 2002?)!! This storm was setup almost like this one a few days before. Two days before the storm, the models called for a dusting, then the next day was 1-2". The models held on to that up until 2 hours into the storm, GSP reconized that a ULL had formed (I cannot remember if there was any help with blocking? I do not believe there was) and then the sky opened up! There was a widespread snow and MANY PLACES received 8-12"! Also, there was thundersnow. All from a pesky ULL that formed AFTER the snow had started. This was one of the best winter storms I had ever witnessed, until my FAV, which was in February, 2004! 17" IMBY! W Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Have something to watch for Wednesday, Friday, and next Monday. Good times. Yeah, it would be nice for once, just for once, to maximize our potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 NAM showed thundersnow with Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Looks a little warm to me (around 32) for good ratios to last or make much difference. TW I wonder if there is any potential for re-development, thanks to the arctic blast being on the heels of this little system? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 NAM showed thundersnow with Wednesday. Yeah, that's not gonna happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Yeah, that's not gonna happen. Heating of the day FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 This system bears watching for two reasons: 1.) The temperatures are SO COLD, that the ratios will be INSANE and you would be surprised where certain lucky places will see a couple of inches where others will not, however... 2.) I remember the proverbial "fly in the ointment" storm from 2003 (or was it 2002?)!! This storm was setup almost like this one a few days before. Two days before the storm, the models called for a dusting, then the next day was 1-2". The models held on to that up until 2 hours into the storm, GSP reconized that a ULL had formed (I cannot remember if there was any help with blocking? I do not believe there was) and then the sky opened up! There was a widespread snow and MANY PLACES received 8-12"! Also, there was thundersnow. All from a pesky ULL that formed AFTER the snow had started. This was one of the best winter storms I had ever witnessed, until my FAV, which was in February, 2004! 17" IMBY! W I think that was 03? It started snowing hard here about midnight at about 42, was 22 by 6 am, had about 3-5 here , but Cowpens had like 10+ or something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 I think that was 03? It started snowing hard here about midnight at about 42, was 22 by 6 am, had about 3-5 here , but Cowpens had like 10+ or something That was a Lee trough bomb wasn't it? EDIT: Maybe this one? http://www4.ncsu.edu/~nwsfo/storage/cases/20030123/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Yeah, that's not gonna happen.Care to elaborate, packbacker ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 That was a Lee trough bomb wasn't it?I think so, they were saying 1-3 early on, changed to 2-4 at dinner time , lots of people just N and E of me had a foot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 0z gfs has a winter storm for GA at 99. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Care to elaborate, packbacker ? Ha! Let's chat about that on Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Now NC snowstorm at 114 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 GFS throttles western NC on Sat, GSO and points west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Now NC snowstorm at 114 Is there a high pressure up there somewhere? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Gfs looks good for the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Looks same as today's event looked 5 days out. HP slIdes out and it cuts. But nice front end for W-NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Just looked at the models on tropical tidbits, the CMC was the only one I saw that showed anything wintry for the upstate for either the weekend system or next week. All the others just showed rain. Central NC had a little better shot on a couple of the runs. Right now, looks like the cold will be gone just in time for the weekend system, at least for the upstate, with temps progged into the 40s and 50s for Sat and Sun. Not the best look for the upstate, but I think NC will have a better shot. Here to hoping I will finally see my first flake of the season (lots of sleet today but no snow). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Is there a high pressure up there somewhere? http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015021700/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_eus_16.png I see a high where i dont want it to be... and a low where I don't want it to be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015021700/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_eus_16.png I see a high where i dont want it to be... and a low where I don't want it to be That doesn't look very good. I'll check the run once the entire thing is available. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 That doesn't look very good. I'll check the run once the entire thing is available. This was for today 5 days or so ago...same look http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/navm.html?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2015021200&fh=138&xpos=0&ypos=26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 GFS has 2 to 3 inches of snow for RDU on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Saturday system probably be a mix bag , or snow to rain.. Then that might set the stage for a gulf low first of next week per JB He said he didn't know how far north it could get right now? So that may be a Ga. SC eastern NC snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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