LovingGulfLows Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 How often does ATL get clippers, LOL, 12z GFS day 7 says its possible We got one a long time ago in 2009 or 2010? It was only .5 to 1 inches across the metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 This is a millet a with the second wave and pretty decent event piedmont east, with 4 to 5ish in central nc. The ukie, which has led the way has looked similar with a miller a track up se coast if my memory is correct. It's just more juiced up. So it appears the 2nd shortwave diving down monday into tuesday is the one that's going to bring the goods. Euro amps it most and is, was futher est inland at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 well that sucks since it gives you a decent snow Whats crazy is..your right...IF** the drunk doc comes further south....well...then..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Weird. Will be interesting to see if UKMET/GGEM hold serve in an hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wild Weather Monger Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 We got one a long time ago in 2009 or 2010? It was only .5 to 1 inches across the metro. 2009. Solid 6 inches here on 78 between Atlanta and Athens. A bit more to my east. Deformation band rotated right overhead here. Would have been twice that much had it fallen at night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Weird. Will be interesting to see if UKMET/GGEM hold serve in an hour or so. That still isn't bad. It isn't as big of a storm as we have had all day, but it is still a pretty good impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Basically his pitch was "one of the models that gave us the most snow this morning, now has 0 over us". Then went on to state "I've seen guys putting together rain/snow lines. That's absolutely ludicrous at this point". Now, i realize that wasn't a specific jab, but having just watched your video, where you do a great job as usual explaining it's not a forecast, etc. it felt like a shot. its all good...I have a pretty good feeling that that area, as of now....has a pretty good shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 lol, UKMet is north of its last run. Has sfc low in northern Bama at hr96 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 lol, UKMet is north of its last run. Has sfc low in northern Bama at hr96 LOL...see there ya go... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 The 00z UKMET is out! Looks like it came north... LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Nogaps goes BOOM!!!! Plenty of cold to go around as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 The 00z UKMET is out! \ \ Looks like it came north... LOL. Yeah, suppression is not going to be the miss here, still an inland track with any kind of amped solution is going to rain on us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 GGEM looks pretty stout right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Ukie looks like evergreen Alabama to Charleston track to me. Not to much more north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 The 00z UKMET is out! Looks like it came north... LOL. Looks colder! Than it's previous run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Yeah, suppression is not going to be the miss here, still an inland track with any kind of amped solution is going to rain on us. I agree...I was actually glad to see the suppression on the 0z gfs. I don't like seeing the ukie north but there are a log of model runs to go. But if there is a miss I think it'll be north and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Looks colder! Than it's previous run I don't know Mac, it shouldn't be colder out front in our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 2009. Solid 6 inches here on 78 between Atlanta and Athens. A bit more to my east. Deformation band rotated right overhead here. Would have been twice that much had it fallen at night. That was March 2009. That was the massive bowling ball ULL. There was a smaller event in December 2009 or December 2010 that produce a very insignficant snow for the Atlanta area and it came from a clipper that came unusually south, between .5-1.5 inches across the metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 GGEM is further south than the 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 FWIF, the Nogaps is a Historic SE snow storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 So he ignores all the other runs throughout the day and goes with the last GFS, which still does have snow for us? I don;t know what his deal is this winter, but he has been hating on everyone for discussing the weather on social media and boards like this. I don't know anything about Fishel but there is a lot of reason to be skeptical right now. Cutter, suppressed, now the UK which was south is coming north. The models are all over the place and it's a strange storm with not a lot of analogs. Usually a low coming from where this originates would end up as a Miller B but this stays south. There's a reason why everyone thought this was going to cut, they usually do. I don't think there's much to say right now other than it seems likely that some people will get their best storm of the season (which isn't saying much). The front end whatever it is should at least make it snow some places that haven't seen snow. After that, who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 GGEM is further south than the 12z It's a nice Miller A, yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 The 00z UKMET appears to be a Miller B from what I can tell. Probably all-frozen for the CAD regions of NC, but not sure about others. The Canadian is slightly disturbing for me. More GFS-like. Not much precip up this way! HUGE change from the massive blockbuster event with all P-types at 12z... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 What does it say when the Nogaps is the most amped solution, although the UK looks a little north of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Canadian still south...So far sn in N. Ala., Atlanta north in Ga. and I'd say Columbia west in SC. Just moving in NC. Edit: Decent snows for most of NC. It's not the same wild run as 12z but not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Canadian Snow Map....there is sleet and frz rain south of the snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 When you look at the GFS/GGEM/Navgem/UK from the 1000 foot view they are starting to converge, some weaker east and some that are more amped up solutions. For day 4-5 they are not so far apart unless you are nitpicking your specific backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 So this 0z suite is interesting? GFS goes supression and a few others are trending back northward, slightly! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 So this 0z suite is interesting? GFS goes supression and a few others are trending back northward, slightly! The GGEM is much further south than the 12z run. I mean, my area went from 7" of snow and 0.75" of ZR to ~2" of snow from 12z to 00z, for example. It's probably a good trend for the majority of the board, however. Wow at the 00z NAVGEM, though. Huge storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 The GGEM is much further south than the 12z run. I mean, my area went from 7" of snow and 0.75" of ZR to ~2" of snow from 12z to 00z, for example. It's probably a good trend for the majority of the board, however. It would be much worse if the GFS/CMC were showing apps runners at this point from day 4, we would be dead in the water, no chance. If you want snow this is about what you want to see from 96-120 hours, if you are in the SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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