Shawn Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Seems GFS is wanting to move the high out way too fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 PERFECT storm track.. Looks similar to UKMET track As Franklin says, UKMet has the hot hand. Where it has really led the way is with the more easterly placed ridge out west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 North GA should love this run any\where north of 20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Continuing trend of more supressed further S/E. Watch the omega blowing up over eastern Ga with surface low at 120 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Looks like the atlantic is finally cooperating on this. Should hopefully help prevent this one from going inland too far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 GFS is just slightly too far North with the low for KCAE, but it is definitely a Southward trend. By 129, ending as snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 @129 nice snow for almost all of NC wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 I'm not buying the surface temps for CAD area's on the GFS. It's taking one of the farthest south tracks of all the models, yet it has some of the warmest surface temps??? I wonder if this new upgrade has something to do with it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.C. Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 The low pops in the freakin' gulf on GFS. This would be incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 what a long duration event, at 132 snow for almost all of nc down into sc. oh my. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 I'm not buying the surface temps for CAD area's on the GFS. It's taking one of the farthest south tracks of all the models, yet it has some of the warmest surface temps??? I wonder if this new upgrade has something to do with it? Yeah, it was a little warmer at the surface, but all in all, an excellent run for where we are Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 132 RDU/Chapel Hill/etc Jackpot...~7" should be all snow....this is literally a few members from the 12z ensemble (1000mb low hugging coast) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 This GFS ensemble mean is going to be wicked here in a little bit. Good trends. Get a chunk of snow on the back for almost all of SC/NC. NC gets much more for the whole deal of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Ladies and gentlemen, that is what I'm talking about. We have a bonafide winter storm threat here, at long last! Good south trends again. That airmass in place means business. Let's do this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 I'm guessing the DGEX will have some 20 and 30 inch totals in Central NC... Anybody have the snow map? Edit: Maybe more like 12 to 20 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 132 RDU/Chapel Hill/etc Jackpot...~7" should be all snow....this is literally a few members from the 12z ensemble (1000mb low hugging coast) Half of the 12z members on ewall actually had this look...by the way, Boston gets more snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 This GFS ensemble mean is going to be wicked here in a little bit. Good trends. Get a chunk of snow on the back for almost all of SC/NC. NC gets much more for the whole deal of course. Probably going to be better for you guys down south. Isn't going to take much for you to get into the snow game on this. I have to pinch myself and say, "it's only the 18z". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 I'm guessing the DGEX will have some 20 and 30 inch totals in Central NC... Anybody have the snow map? Edit: Maybe more like 12 to 20 inches. Comes out around 8pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 18z GFS def a nice wintry mess particularly for NC/SE Va, NW SC/N Ga get in on action too. Much less amplified/juicy compared to GGEM/ECMWF, actually not much different the UKMET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Half of the 12z members on ewall actually had this look...by the way, Boston gets more snow Oh ok I didn't count them, I just looked at the spaghetti, tons of 1000mb coastal looks...I don't know if you saw that post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 18Z GFS is a crush job for Atl North in GA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Wow, 18z GFS misses my area altogether. Just a light dusting of snow. I wanted a south trend, but this is TOO much. :/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Slight warm nose right around 850-900 at RDU around hour 120 could mean snow mixed with sleet or sleet, jsut north of Triangle would likely be all snow per GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NGA WINTER Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 18Z GFS is a crush job for Atl North in GA. Would be a great trend south for us. But it looked warm? Maybe it was just me. Great trend though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 then clipper snows Thursday afternoon, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.C. Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 I think the GFS overdoes the warm air injection north here with that 1023 High sitting right where it needs to, but what do I know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 18Z GFS is a crush job for Atl North in GA. It was actually light on precip there, but yeah, a good run for where we are Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
farleydawg79 Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Would be a great trend south for us. But it looked warm? Maybe it was just me. Great trend though! Agreed....much too warm based on sfc temps. May have snow to start, change over to IP/ZR, then rain, then back to snow as the model is showing...looking forward to the ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Ride king ukie, consistency! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 12, 2015 Share Posted February 12, 2015 Dare I say this, But Frosty needs a little jog north and west! lol To suppressed for N.foothills of NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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