pcbjr Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Hell would freeze over before that Euro control run would verify. Too bad we can't get a look like that within 3 days. The only upside I see is that it's in my 10-19th projection. Can you post a map or maps, or is it pay site and not allowed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 It has got the Nashville snow hole, you can probably book it. All kidding aside, the 7 to 14 day period is probably the next opportunity at something in the Southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 hm...newest gfs run may be catching on to the threat for next week on the euro. not far off from something big. EDIT: it stalls offshore the obx and deepens to 994mb before moving away after hr 174, obx gets hammered as it deepens offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 It has got the Nashville snow hole, you can probably book it. All kidding aside, the 7 to 14 day period is probably the next last real opportunity at something in the Southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 hm...newest gfs run may be catching on to the threat for next week on the euro. not far off from something big. EDIT: it stalls offshore the obx and deepens to 994mb before moving away after hr 174, obx gets hammered as it deepens offshore. Would have been a fun run had it closed off earlier, it closes off right after this frame, March 09 redux... Edit: If it's not one thing it's another the kicker system ain't going to help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 euro has shown this storm the past 2 days with remarkable consistency in regards to the low location. will be interesting to see if the gfs and other models start to sniff something out over the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 PGV with the jackpot, naturally, on the 18z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Can you post a map or maps, or is it pay site and not allowed? It's pay.. and its the control run of an ensemble run.. really just something funny to look at. I haven't seen it do anything good this season so far when it comes to Winter weather. It's just nasty, it'd probably have Winter weather your way too though. (jk) Way out there and nutty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 It's pay.. and its the control run of an ensemble run.. really just something funny to look at. I haven't seen it do anything good this season so far when it comes to Winter weather. It's just nasty, it'd probably have Winter weather your way too though. (jk) Way out there and nutty. What I figured lol Here's hoping, anyway! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Temps next week don't look to support snow for Atlanta. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Temps next week don't look to support snow for Atlanta.Looks good for Carrollton though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 All new weather video....Do we finally have wintry weather in the forecast for PARTS of the mid south and SE? -Chris https://www.facebook.com/ChriswxmanSimmons Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Somebody correct me if I'm wrong, but all the storms crashing into the Pacific NW, are causing are problems! The ridge is not strong enough or tall enough to stop this? If the ridge is strong, WA/OR should be dry and moisture deflecting into Canada and into AK! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 anybody got a pbp for the 0z gfs....or is it that bad? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 anybody got a pbp for the 0z gfs....or is it that bad?Still nothing for Thursday and Friday, I'm only out to 90 on free site, nothing looks to be cooking the next 2-3 days after... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 here comes our energy swinging down at 120. a tick further west. lets see how it turns out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Looks like clippers to me , dropping in on Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Lanie Pope says nada. End of discussion. I will take my avg February hi temps with sunshine and cash out on winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Imo the 5h map looks better than the surface maps. At hr 162 you have a 500 closed low going across SC. I expected a little more on the surface map. Something to watch in future runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Somewhat more like the drunk doc I guess....still not really understanding what its trying to show/do around here. Doesn't look like much if anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 similar run to 18z, still trying to sniff out what the euro has been showing. much warmer than 18z though thru 144. northeast gets crushed...again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 At the surface on Tues, there's a low over Bricks house, and a monster 1029 high over WI! No Bueno for anybody, but maybe the high will end up about 25 MB stronger and the low about 125 miles SE, then we are in bidness! Don't worry about no cold air around, that will work itself out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Imo the 5h map looks better than the surface maps. At hr 162 you have a 500 closed low going across SC. I expected a little more on the surface map. Something to watch in future runs. Pretty sick flizzard, anyways. Nice weenie stripe of flizzard in central NC! March '09 repeat inbound....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Pretty sick flizzard, anyways. Nice weenie stripe of flizzard in central NC! March '09 repeat inbound....... LOL...Nah, not this year. It's just going to sit around Baja and spin for a while. It actually goes southwest to get the favorite spot for the closed lows this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 LOL...Nah, not this year. It's just going to sit around Baja and spin for a while. It actually goes southwest to get the favorite spot for the closed lows this season. Please maintain faith in the flakes. The flakes will never fail you, except most of the time. BTW, 00z UKMET at hr 144, FWIW: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Well atleast the models are starting to look like crap in the 8-10 day range, and not giving us false hope! We all know how lows over central NC are going to go, and it won't be in our favor. With those lame 1020 highs coming from Canada, I just can't find a positive in the LR GFS , except that at day 15, we will be more than half way through Fab Feb and bringing up March 1960 , to keep the faith! Pathetic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Well atleast the models are starting to look like crap in the 8-10 day range, and not giving us false hope! We all know how lows over central NC are going to go, and it won't be in our favor. With those lame 1020 highs coming from Canada, I just can't find a positive in the LR GFS , except that at day 15, we will be more than half way through Fab Feb and bringing up March 1960 , to keep the faith! Pathetic Past hour 300, there is a ice/snow storm just for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 Well atleast the models are starting to look like crap in the 8-10 day range, and not giving us false hope! We all know how lows over central NC are going to go, and it won't be in our favor. With those lame 1020 highs coming from Canada, I just can't find a positive in the LR GFS , except that at day 15, we will be more than half way through Fab Feb and bringing up March 1960 , to keep the faith! Pathetic The D7-8 "threat" would be from a ULL trailing behind the surface low, so the surface low tracking over us isn't necessarily a disaster. For example, recall during two recent ULL snowstorms (March 2009 and January 2013), we saw heavy rain change to heavy snow. Of course, it's just a fantasy threat that has about a 5% chance of panning out, at best. --- Anyways, the 00z GGEM has a closed ULL tracking through S NC/N SC. However, it's not very strong at 552 dm and is inconsequential. EDIT: Looks like it might have a changeover to some snow, at least solely basing it on 850s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 I remember the Mar 09, scored about 8 inches. Do not remember Jan 13, must have been rain here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 4, 2015 Share Posted February 4, 2015 I remember the Mar 09, scored about 8 inches. Do not remember Jan 13, must have been rain here Looks like it was. In both events, the immediate foothills got screwed over. It was a pretty fun changeover here. Heavy rain to heavy snow and it started sticking just like that, even with temperatures of 33-34. Then the power went out and the fun kind of stopped since it was at night and you couldn't see the snow anymore, but it was memorable in a sense. It was strange to see it drop 3-5" of snow around here while Mt. Airy barely got anything but heavy rain. Holy crap at that immediate leeside screwzone in March '09... Of course, the Fab Feb 13, 2014 winter storm also had a trailing ULL destroy portions of the foothills after the "main" system rolled through the day before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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