Cold Rain Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 It sounds like there seems to be some overall excitement about next week. But it seems like it sounds as if the models are uncertain. It sounds like we were supposed to be getting more snow next weekend, but it seems like the models are maybe not showing as much anymore. It seems like the models have a hard time keeping the storm but it sounds like there's still a possibility but it's not looking so hot right now, I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Even Fishel mentioned the chance of something on Tuesday. He mentioned the euro ensemble (as he always does) and how a lot of the members had "something" for Tuesday so he would watch it. And then he even mentioned the potential for something else as well...but that's all he said about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 It sounds like most folks think we have a great chance at some winter storms next week. But the specifics on the models seem to be putting out lower numbers now. I thought the day 8/9 storm was supposed to be a big dog, not 2.5 inches. It's a mean brick an 8 day mean of 2.5 is really good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 20, 2015 Author Share Posted February 20, 2015 It sounds like there seems to be some overall excitement about next week. But it seems like it sounds as if the models are uncertain. It sounds like we were supposed to be getting more snow next weekend, but it seems like the models are maybe not showing as much anymore. It seems like the models have a hard time keeping the storm but it sounds like there's still a possibility but it's not looking so hot right now, I guess. You are getting wayyyy to good at that The 18z gfs brings back my sprinkles on Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 DGEX clobbers Virginia. Looks good for I-85 north and west in nc and the upstate of sc. Someone should post the clown map for entertainment purposes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 DGEX clobbers Virginia. Looks good for I-85 north and west in nc and the upstate of sc. Someone should post the clown map for entertainment purposes. Another biblical storm from the dgex. A broken clock is right twice a day, right??? Still waiting to see it put lollipops of 100" somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 You are getting wayyyy to good at that The 18z gfs brings back my sprinkles on Monday Hopefully you guys will cash in next week. Really surprised that we haven't been able to get one ounce of blocking all winter. It's kind of unbelievable, actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 At this point, certain features can swing hundreds of miles in any direction from run to run. As long as we see the main elements still in place, we will have a good chance. It constantly amazes me that, even after just having a storm that clearly demonstrated the above, some people still fixate on details over a week out. If some members of our forum were shepherds, the story of the boy who cried wolf could never have been written. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 It's a mean brick an 8 day mean of 2.5 is really good2.5 inches is not alot ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Is the DGEX predisposed towards only showing biblical snowstorms with epic QPF? It seems like it never shows run-of-the-mill winter storms. It's either 20" or nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Is the DGEX predisposed towards only showing biblical snowstorms with epic QPF? It seems like it never shows run-of-the-mill winter storms. It's either 20" or nothing. Right, but if it were a normal model it just wouldn't be the dgex. It's our "special" model. But in all seriousness, is there any value to this model? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Right, but if it were a normal model it just wouldn't be the dgex. It's our "special" model. But in all seriousness, is there any value to this model? It's only value is helping us understand why the NAM only goes to 84...bazziiinnngggg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Can anyone explain why the DGEX even exists? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 The 0z gfs started bringing the cutoff east and opened up at 117. All the energy is moving east. Gulf low off Ala coast at 147. This is a different solution from previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 The 0z gfs started bringing the cutoff east and opened up at 117. All the energy is moving east. Gulf low off Ala coast at 147. This is a different solution from previous runs. Looks like it's going to be too suppressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 suppressed, but its there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Looks like it's going to be too suppressed. It is...Makes the turn but looks to be wide right. More energy coming in from the west. Edit: Strange run tonight. Looks completely different that previous runs. It could still bring a storm on day 9 but doesn't look right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 looks like the gfs has 2 solutions that bear watching, the thurs storm then the sat/sun storm that it looks to have coming up now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 How far is too south? We now know the answer. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 How far is too south? We now know the answer. lol i like my lows in cuba this far out, just like the 2010 christmas storm lol. the first storm is close though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.C. Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I like this look... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I like this look... man, both the tues storm and the thurs storm are great looks. suppressed just enough this far out and cold air. here is the thurs storm: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 If next week were to go like the 0z gfs I would pin my hopes on the storm it showed for Thursday. We have all the energy from the cutoff in that storm. We also have the PV rotating south and east to supply some cold air. There ends up being a Saturday storm also w/ a lot of energy that phased together but our HP is sliding off the coast and the PV has rotated further north. I'm still not sure the GFS is correct w/ it's solution tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 The 2/24 GGEM system ends up crushing the NC OBX. Looks like we better fire up Brick's Oscar Meyer weenie bus and head to Cape Hatteras. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 If next week were to go like the 0z gfs I would pin my hopes on the storm it showed for Thursday. We have all the energy from the cutoff in that storm. We also have the PV rotating south and east to supply some cold air. There ends up being a Saturday storm also w/ a lot of energy that phased together but our HP is sliding off the coast and the PV has rotated further north. I'm still not sure the GFS is correct w/ it's solution tonight. The perfect world is in between those 2. The GFS is 1 day too quick with kicking out the southwest low. It was slower on last night's big 00z run. Models have been trending quicker with that southwest low, but have been fairly consistent with the timing of the cold high coming down mid-late week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 The perfect world is in between those 2. The GFS is 1 day too quick with kicking out the southwest low. It was slower on last night's big 00z run. Models have been trending quicker with that southwest low, but have been fairly consistent with the timing of the cold high coming down mid-late week. I agree Grit...The canadian opens up the Southwest low at hr 123 and starts moving it east. I like the timing better but we'll see where it goes. I'm only out to hr 135. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 The 00z GGEM has a storm on D7. Can't see precip maps yet, but it's there. It's not strong at 1010 mb over the FL peninsula and off of ILM, however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 The 00z GGEM has a storm on D7. Yeah, the trend so far tonight is to kick the southwest low east earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Canadian has the proper timing. UKMet and GFS are quicker with kicking out the southwest low, so not as good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 The drunk DOC is wintry weather happy tonight so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.