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Winter Med Range Discussion days 3-10 pbp II


buckeyefan1

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  On 2/11/2015 at 2:59 AM, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said:

What model shows west of the apps besides 18z goofus?

 

 

Like everyone has said above, the ensemble mean is clearly showing a west cut with this system. Does it have time to trend east, yes. But right now, the forecast track is west of the Apps, in my opinion. 

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Why are people still pretending like it's going to snow this winter?

 

Seriously, joke's over. Give it up.

 

Maybe on your Blue Ridge Escarpment you'll see snow this winter. Everywhere else? Nah bro.

 

Can't believe there are still some holding onto this false hope of a winter storm with yet another subpar setup.

 

You're really going to trust one lowly operational run over multiple other runs making up the entire ensemble? Come on, man.

 

Cold and dry. Cold moves out, moisture moves in. Moisture moves out, cold sets back in. Y'all ain't learned yet?

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  On 2/11/2015 at 3:49 AM, Jonathan said:

Why are people still pretending like it's going to snow this winter?

Seriously, joke's over. Give it up.

Maybe on your Blue Ridge Escarpment you'll see snow this winter. Everywhere else? Nah bro.

Can't believe there are still some holding onto this false hope of a winter storm with yet another subpar setup.

You're really going to trust one lowly operational run over multiple other runs making up the entire ensemble? Come on, man.

Cold and dry. Cold moves out, moisture moves in. Moisture moves out, cold sets back in. Y'all ain't learned yet?

Why is it so bad if people have some hope?

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  On 2/11/2015 at 3:53 AM, adivan said:

This pattern is unusual and it can change. Do you think this pattern holds for eternity? Come on.

 

Just in time, we'll see the pattern change to ruin severe weather season one would assume.  The 00z is running currently out to hour 75.

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  On 2/11/2015 at 4:18 AM, mp184qcr said:

Low might stay south, need more suppression. MIGHT pull it off... 

 

It might...Cad is in place w/ the high sliding east but another high coming down through the Dakotas that might help keep it south.

 

EDIT:  Nope, it's gonna cut.

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This is the biggest problem when people get overly excited over one or two good model runs in a day just to have the most likely situation show up 6-12 hours later.

 

It's almost like people ignore 10 bad runs for the 1 good run. Join the pessimistic side guys.  It is far less stressful.

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